Spoiler for To save space:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arkwright
All right, I now have the basis of a theory for what happened during the first four games.
It still needs some details to work out, but I started out with the belief that the foundation of a theory should be a narrative, story-based reasoning for why things happen, and not simply how to explain individual events.
So this is the core idea I have at the moment. I'll probably come up with specific details on the individual murders at some point but I think most of them can be understood simply with the basic idea.
Spoiler for Theory:
-Battler is Kyrie's son.
-Jessica is actually Battler Ushiromiya, Asumu's daughter.
-Battler's sin refers to something he did at Rokkenjima that caused this information to be known to the outside. Not being told the consequences of what he did, he didn't regard the event as significant.
-Asumu may have died as a result of the truth being known.
-Kumasawa is the "Beatrice" who planned the events.
-Kumasawa's past is a blank slate, and if she had a close connection to Kinzo, of the suspects she is the most likely to have a large spare sum of money and yet no particular need to hold on to it herself.
-The original plan is for the Ushiromiya family to "disperse." With the adults all in rising financial trouble, the family in general will disappear from the island under the guise of a witch's ceremony, and their remaining family members will be reimbursed.
-Ange, the only person not present at the family conference six years ago, will be "spared" and then reunited with her parents in secret after the weekend is over.
-However, "because of Battler's sin," everything does not go as intended.
-In addition to Krauss, Natsuhi, Rudolf, and Kyrie, at the least, Eva, Rosa, and Kumasawa know of Jessica's true parents. There are two factions working against each other: Eva, Rosa, and Hideyoshi, who use blackmail to threaten Krauss and Rudolf, who have the assistance of most of the servants as Krauss is the acting head.
-Since she knows George is actually the first in line of the grandchildren for succession, Eva is in a good position until the letter regarding the epitaph is revealed. Since she believes Krauss has the gold, she fears she will lose her advantage, and this causes tensions to escalate.
-Kumasawa, upset with how things are unfolding, enlists Kanon with protecting Jessica and finding out what the other factions are planning.
-The "Dispersal" plan involves a catastrophic event on the last day of the conference which will cover up the actual details of what happened. It may be an explosion, a fire, poison gas. Kumasawa warns most of the family's adults ahead of time, but due to things spinning out of control, the ones who know about the plan rarely survive until the end of the game, leaving the clueless grandchildren still left in the mansion.
|
Something I don't understand:
1. Why Ange was spared? All the inheritance would go to her if all people on Rokkenjima died. Why wrote the letters-in-the-bottle to say none of them survived if Kumasawa planned not to kill all the people on the island. The motive of Kumasawa was not clear from your description.
2. What did Rudolf gain in return of giving Asumu's daughter to Krauss? And then they took Kyrie's son and raise him like their own? (Kyrie seemed to never know that Battler was her son, and Rudolf wanted to tell this to Kyrie and Battler in EP1)
3. If Battler knew Jessica was Asumu's daughter, why he was so surprised to know he was not Asumu's son?
4. Who killed Nanjo, Kumasawa and Genji in EP1(Kanon? if so, who attacked Kanon and why he would want to kill the threes and who told Maria to sing the song then?)? Who killed Kumasawa in EP2? Who wrote the pin on the door and why in EP3? Who killed Kumasawa and Godha in EP4?
5. Does it mean Virgilia and Beatrice were the same person? But there were two signiture on Maria's grimoire.
I suppose according to your theory, Eva and Hideyoshi murdered the six in EP1, then Kumasawa ordered Kanon to kill the two for the second twilight, but the following was not clear.
In EP2, Kumasawa ordered Shannon to impose as suit-Beatrice, Rosa was spared. Then somehow someone managed to kill Jessica and hide Kanon's body. The following was unclear.
In Ep3, Eva and Hideyoshi discovered Kumasawa's plan and worked with Rosa to kill all the servants. Then Eva and Rosa had a quarrel over the gold and she unintentionally murdered Rosa and killed Maria out of fear. The rest could be explained by Eva's doing but who killed George was not clear. So was the pin on the door.
In EP4, Kumasawa managed to persuade Krauss and Kyrie's help and killed Rosa, Hideyoshi, Eva and Rudolf? The rest was unclear. But I suppose it was Jessica who imposed Beatrice in the end for your theory.