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Gil's got no problem with cheating, yes, but not when it's a cheat that involves having his haughty self impersonate someone else, and an inferior king nonetheless. I don't see him being the one.
And the Irisviel kidnapping seems more intent on getting Saber and Rider to fight each other than on luring Kiritsugu IMO. Turning his opponents on one another does sound very much like Kirei. He and Gil could simply sit on the sidelines, watch the entertaining proceedings and only get personally involved if the situation calls for it.
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