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Originally Posted by Xellos-_^
actually NK has no chance in a real war with the US military. Despite the problems in afghanistan and iraq the US military excels in convention warfare and that is what the NK military is train for with out of date equipement. A convenation war would play right into the US military's strength.
Another is that there will mass defections form the NK army, a majority of the grunts of the army are made of peasants who join the army not for patrotic reason but to get food in the stomach. And recently the NK government don't even have enough food to feed its own army.
before anyone says the Chinese will help, they won't the Chinese economy is too entwine with the world economy. If NK was stupid enough to fire the first shot there will be no Chinese help.
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"Despite the problems?" I've said this before, and I'll say it again. Iraq is a desert, and the battles fought there against Iraq's real military (tanks and planes) were fought in a desert, where US troops and aircraft could be used to their full effect. On the other hand, North Korea has many mountains, forests, a smaller area to fight in, and more people than Iraq.
Part of what the North has been doing for the last 50 years is digging all kinds of fortifications and tunnels not just at the DMZ, but in the WHOLE COUNTRY. They even put weapons factories and airbases underground. And being by far the most militarized nation on earth, 5 million of the 23 million people who live in NK are either in the main army or some sort of militia, trained to hide in the mountains and tunnels and kill Americans and Southern "puppets" if war breaks out. [/i]5 million.[/i] Saddam's army had maybe a million men in 2003, and look at the problems we have there.
Furthermore, All North Koreans have been isolated from the outside world from 50 years, and being indoctrinated for that amount of time,
will fight to the death. Food isn't really such a big issue when your populace is (sadly) already used to famines, and the army has rations tucked away under mountains of solid rock. Iraq is bad? The US Army will lose many tens of thousands of men trying to conquer North Korea, not to mention facing the possibility of nuclear weapons.
Also why wouldn't China defend North Korea? You think they're the happy, US-friendly capitalist nation the media makes them out to be? China's only acting this way since there's no war in Asia right now. Once the map starts looking like a Risk board, China will switch it's
modus operandi faster than you can say "deficit." They will do anything within reason to make sure South Korea stays South Korea. North Korea is their only ally in Asia left. Everyone else are just trading partners. If North Korea is gone, China will be entirely surrounded by US bases, and there will be no one left in East Asia to attract the eyes of human rights people. By keeping North Korea around, China can sit at the 6-party talks and say that they are "concerned about Korean nukes just like everyone else is." North Korea makes China more normal, so China wants to keep things the way they are.
In any case, if China even so much as supplies North Korea with food/oil/weapons during a possible Second Korean War, there will be no way for the US and SK to win. With Chinese help (which is probable), the North's 5-million-man militia/army can just stay in their caves and bunkers for decades until the invaders leave.