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wontaek · 2011-06-20, 16:43

The favored should be Akemi Homura. The problem is that in history of AST, most ( maybe 70%? ) of leading contestants gets sniped before they reach quarter-final stage. Here are potential contenders other than Akemi Homura

2. Kuroneko : Some people say Ore Imo is more popular in Japan compared to outside of Japan.
3. Charlotte Dunois : When even Germans say Vive la France because of this girl, there must be something special about this girl. Someone should check out how dominating Charlotte's booth number is compared to everyone else in IS related doujinshi conventions.
4. Kaname Madoka : most logical choice for Homura fans to rally around if Homura gets ousted

5. Misaka Mikoto : She is the favored over Homura and others in KBM. In 2006 and 2009, KBM and AST crowned the same girl as the champion. There is slight chance that 2011 may be the same.
6. Elsea de Lute Irma : Her series's timing is great.She is cute. Need more?

7. Akiyama Mio : Everyone knows how she was sniped in past 2 years. AST voters have shown sympathy to those they have hurt in the past.

8. Tachibana Kanade : Similar case with Mio. Her ISML numbers are just too scary and there exist some chance it might carry over to AST

9. Haqua du Lot Herminium : She is supposed to be more popular than Elsie, but didn't get enough chance to show her stuff in the TVA. Still, she has a chance since comic book popularity matters in AST.

10. Ika-Musume : She is the perfect Submarine for Saimoe. Popular, but no one notices her underwater. She can be used as a torpedo to sink the favorites. If she is lucky enough, she might become haters' choice or weapon of revenge against other popular characters, and when that is added to her innocent fanbase, it might be just enough to win it all. Pencil her in as a dark horse and a spoiler.

That is my top 10 for AST list. The list is similar for KBM, by the way, but the ordering is different. KBM's start date has not been formalized, yet.

2011-06-20, 16:43	Link #20
wontaek Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Planet Earth Age: 54	The favored should be Akemi Homura. The problem is that in history of AST, most ( maybe 70%? ) of leading contestants gets sniped before they reach quarter-final stage. Here are potential contenders other than Akemi Homura 2. Kuroneko : Some people say Ore Imo is more popular in Japan compared to outside of Japan. 3. Charlotte Dunois : When even Germans say Vive la France because of this girl, there must be something special about this girl. Someone should check out how dominating Charlotte's booth number is compared to everyone else in IS related doujinshi conventions. 4. Kaname Madoka : most logical choice for Homura fans to rally around if Homura gets ousted 5. Misaka Mikoto : She is the favored over Homura and others in KBM. In 2006 and 2009, KBM and AST crowned the same girl as the champion. There is slight chance that 2011 may be the same. 6. Elsea de Lute Irma : Her series's timing is great.She is cute. Need more? 7. Akiyama Mio : Everyone knows how she was sniped in past 2 years. AST voters have shown sympathy to those they have hurt in the past. 8. Tachibana Kanade : Similar case with Mio. Her ISML numbers are just too scary and there exist some chance it might carry over to AST 9. Haqua du Lot Herminium : She is supposed to be more popular than Elsie, but didn't get enough chance to show her stuff in the TVA. Still, she has a chance since comic book popularity matters in AST. 10. Ika-Musume : She is the perfect Submarine for Saimoe. Popular, but no one notices her underwater. She can be used as a torpedo to sink the favorites. If she is lucky enough, she might become haters' choice or weapon of revenge against other popular characters, and when that is added to her innocent fanbase, it might be just enough to win it all. Pencil her in as a dark horse and a spoiler. That is my top 10 for AST list. The list is similar for KBM, by the way, but the ordering is different. KBM's start date has not been formalized, yet.