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Byakuya without his zanpaktoh has no chance of beating Ichigo. But no chance of winning does not = losing.
With his shunpo techniques and his kido he could run around like a little bitch and wait for Ichigo's hollow form to time out. At that point Ichigo wouldn't have enough offense to win, nor does Byakuya have any offense to speak of, so its a zero sum game.
Anyway, this comes down to what Ukitake said:
There are fights for your pride, and there are fights for your life.
Ichigo has won fights so far against Shinigami captains because they were fights for his life--i.e., his life was threatened if he didn't win. This wasn't the case for either Kenpachi or Byakuya.
If Byakuya was fighting for his life (and didn't give up versus Ichigo), then he'd do hit and run with kido and shunpo (thats what he's built for)...then it becomes a fight of attrition, who wins between him and Ichigo in a theoretical fight? Anyone's guess.
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