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Originally Posted by Neki Ecko
I think the states to look at for the GE is: Ohio, Penn, New Mexico, Colorado, Florida, New Jersey and potential switches from Red to Blue like Virginia and Georgia(finally, my state has a important part to play)
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I'd come back to this in a month or two. There is still way too much volatility in the general public. Clinton supporters have to decide where they will stand for one.
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Because Obama has to win at least one or two southern states to counteract if McCain wins a state like Ohio or Penn. I think that if Virginia and Georgia turns blue and goes for Obama then McCain have to win Ohio to offset those victories, also Wisc, Minn and Flordia plays a big part as well.
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There are so many ways that Obama can lose most of the classic swing states and still (realistically) win the election and he doesn't need a southern state to do it. He must hold on to at least one of PA/OH/FL/MI though unless he puts together something amazing.