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Call me unreasonably stubborn but I will persist with believing in a non-supernatural explanation. Rika could have just heard the plan which required exactly these people to be killed every year.
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When I played the game, this chapter strengthen my views on the logical explanation camp. Akasaka really goofed in several places. If some things were a bit more
sublte in the anime for this arc, I think more people will have a tougher time deciding (ie there was no wind controlling Rika, and I didn't imagine "Rika's" voice to be that different just quieter, more resound - although I do like it).
Here's a two facts to consider:
1) Mion's father is rumored to be a very powerful Yakuza leader and had an idea who Akasaka was
2) Akasaka goofed twice. 1st he mentions that he was on vacation yet he leaves his wife about to give birth during this time. 2nd his abet argument to do the "right" thing legally at the footsteps of the Central HQ of the Resistance.
In the game he makes a 3rd goof. He mentions that this was a planned vacation to tour the scenery around the village, yet he "forgets" to reserve a slot for this tour.
3) Rika specifically mentions Satoko's parents were "killed" but official reports say they just slipped.
Yukie, Akasaka's wife, also slip coincidentally falling at a bad angle. Was this really just by chance?
The nurse knew her habits.
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Yes, I am messing with your minds.
Take or leave these facts as they may or maynot be important.
But they are what swayed my opinion at this time in the chapter.
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And she might have a great acting talent to pull off Oyashiro-sama's voice or maybe multiple personalities or whatever. Yes, I know, it's a very weak argument.
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Logical Camp Argument
(This does not contain my views or knowledge on future chapters).
Rika is obviously scared. She can't trust people in the village. Even the the people she can, her closest friends, don't have the ability to save her. Akasaka does, but will he believe in such a crazy story? Especially when Rika will not be killed for years? Maybe it was the only way that she thought he will believe her... by scaring him, deeply ingraining the Oyashiro-sama's Curse in his head, hoping he will remember this in years to come. And it worked. Akasaka was deeply stunned by this...
Question: Why did Akasaka not come back in 1983?
Reason: the Sonozaki's pressured the local government/police force to stop publicizing these bizarre incidents to protect the image of the village and its citizens from harassment from fantatical magazines (this is an established fact in the game, I believe in various TIPs upto this point). To Akasaka living in Tokyo, he only heard of the first two ~ three of the incidents if he even followed the events in that area. So you see, indirectly, the Sonozaki's stop all outside influence in the later half of these murders.
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Why the hell didn't Ooishi or Akasaka shoot when the bad guys started running away? It's not as if people would have believed the criminals considering the policemen had found the kid with them. And how did Ooishi survived the disaster that killed everyone in Hinamizawa?
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My understanding is (and I could be wrong), an officer of the law cannot fire his gun unless he is directly is threaten. If the Suspects are running, they definitely aren't threatening him. If he fired, ballistics will show he shot them from behind (not good). Oishi is looking forward to that retirement (especially important to him at this time as those murders yet to take place). Akasaka was shot in the arm, virtually making him useless in the chase. If Oishi was to chase after them, he would have to face both guys on his own. One of them, he knows can fight really well. The odds were not in his favor. Plus he's old.
How did Oishi survived? Maybe he was out of town at the time. There's no definite answer to that. But if he was in Hinamizawa at the time, he would have died.
Just like the previous chapters, this is just one of the many possibilities what could have happen in the world of Higurashi. What's important is to string the constant shared information throughout and compare them to the variable events/information to see the light in this mystery.