After talking about things with Key Board, I accept his arguments that killing Sayaka already would hurry things too much. And so, while I maintain that things are going to happen exactly as outlined, I herewith stretch the timeline some, compared to my earlier estimation.
So, I guess that next episode, Sayaka and Kyoko will have an initial clash (not necessarily a physical fight, but I expect Kyoko to bully her, and Sayaka will bite back), and the climax in the second half is going to be that Kamijo doesn't love her back like Sayaka wishes for... and that Sayaka begins her slippery slope down. Then, in ep6 she's going to begin her descent... and once she does become a witch, Kyoko will take advantage of it, kill her and collect the grief seed.
This would give Sayaka a bit more time to shine, and her tragedy to unfold.
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