do the basic math.
Hamas fires 100 rockets for every 10 that actually hit a target city.
thats a 10% success rate.
now have Iron dome take out 90% of the rockets that would end up hitting the city.
so out of every 100 rockets, 1 will land in a city.
now figure that over the last decade, over 8000 rocket attacks resulted in 28 deaths in Israel, and it means on average it takes almost 300 rockets to kill one person.
and now it would take 3000 rockets.
on the other hand, Iron dome also helps identify the source of the rocket launch, and help make it easier to take out the people who launched the rocket.
over the last week, over 10 launch teams were hit in just 3 days.
now Hamas decision makers are faced with a new reality.
If things escalate into a full blown war, they would find themselves in fucked sandwich.
on the one hand, they have no effective way to attack Israel at all.
and Israel is capable of attacking them at will, with even greater ease.
they would end up losing hundreds of men, and would barely even cause property damage.
when THOSE are the conditions you face, you try your best to avoid escalating the situation.
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At about $100,000 each, assuming a 100% accuracy rate and no launch failures, intercepting just 100 Hamas rockets would cost Israel $10,000,000. Making those rockets would cost Hamas maybe $10,000, at most.
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a single Tamir missile costs 40,000 $, and its only going to drop with added sales.
intercepting 100 rockets would cost 4,000,000 $, which, from a defense budget prespective, its pretty negligible.
and the cost to Hamas would not be simply the cost of the missiles launched, but also the cost of the things lost in the Israeli retaliation.
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Originally Posted by Ithekro
That said, I still think the Gaza Strip needs to go.
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I'm all for it, but whose going to take it ?
