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The possibility of him getting back together with Cathy imo gives him a much higher chance of survival in Frontier. If it wasn't for the Cathy/Ozma/Leon secondary triangle I would have expected Ozma to bite it around 12-16 and would've had Alto inheriting Strike 1similar to Hikaru/Roy.
Of course they could hook them back up and he could still die which is a good chance of happening if one of the main 3 don't also bite it. I've always felt Ranka was a chance of dying due to how she's connected to the Varja and all but a translated line from a promo increases the chances if it isn't said soon.
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