Quote:
Originally Posted by Xellos-_^
but why those 4 states? what makes those 4 states so special?
the 08 primary aside. 90% of the time the candidate who wins the first few states will win it all.
Why iowa and California? Why Sout Carolina and Not Florida? Why NH and not New Mexico?
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Iowa and New Hampshire are both for historical reasons and as I've been slowly hearing and reading more of, there are apparently some political reasons for Iowa too. NH has it written into their state constitution that they will be the first
primary in the nation. (NH does not count caucuses as primaries.)
Now the problem with these two is, as the RBC said, they are mostly middle class whites. Thus they added South Carolina because they wanted a state with a large African American voting population and it would add a representative voice in the South. They added Nevada for a western state with a sizable non-upper class white population.
Edit:
I actually went and looked up the stats.
NH has a 75% Nomination rate for Republicans, and a 50% Nomination rate for Democrats.
Iowa has a 66% Nomination rate for both parties.