Hum... I guess I'll start at the beginning.
Preivously, Nadeor told us to try and find the incident trigger.
So, in the first day:
- Eva has a certain plan that she wants to put into motion, probably with the objective of getting more money for herself. She knows something about Natsuhi and Krauss that we don't know about.
- Krauss is very greedy, and he wants to keep the money for himself. We know from one of the red statements that he loves Jessica, so he would do many things for her. However, his love for Natsuhi is questionable. He is also accused by Kinzo of not being able to tunk up of the consequences of his acts. Could this be a motive or a reason?
- About Rudolf, very little is known, so we don't know if he wants money or not.
- Although it seems Rosa needs money, she doesn't believe she can snatch any penny arguing with them. She could choose other methods, though. Also, with one of the red statements, we know she hates her siblings, and doesn't have that much of a connection with anyone else. But we know she's not the murderer, so she can be either an accomplice or the culprit. Her alibi is very weak anyway. Her knowledge of narcotics would help her if she wants to make Maria sleep for any reason, so she doesn't witness anything that Rosa doesn't want to.
The first twilight has many hindrances to it.
First, the only ones that can be safely ruled out of having been directly involved in it are the servants. Because,
1) Even though the three shown were "unconscious", they could be faking it.
2) Rosa's knowledge on narcotics. She could have drugged her child and left though the window. Same for Nanjo.
3) The other 6 just don't have any kind of alibi.
So, before anything else, WE NEED TO SORT OUT THE FIRST NIGHT, before we can try to solve the mystery itself.
But, one thing is certain. If someone died in the living room, it wasn't that night, but in the morning. So we can safely assume at least four of them were somehow moved (either by themselves or by someone moving them) out of the living room.
And into the woods. Which leads to my next point, maybe Krauss did see Jessica. But, from the red statement, if it was Jessica, she was just the accomplice. So she could have helped moving the bodies; maybe she doesn't know of the culprit's plan and thinks she's "being the accomplice" for another reason. Or she's luring the others; this is a very plausible possibility, because hanging six people needs time. Which makes me suspicious of Rosa, who purposedly stayed behind, although at this time no one was found dead yet. So, with this, we can rule out the ones that went to the woods. Meaning that one of the other 7 are at least the accomplices of the first twilight.
Rosa's actions are also quite weird, or at least the timeframe is. so she goes to the fridge, and takes out some cake for Maria. Since the fridge is found empty later on, this could suggest some things:
1) She drugged Maria (put something in the cake) so she would sleep. This way, Rosa can do whatever she wants, like helping hanging the first six.
2) The cake was the last thing on the fridge.
3) Maria and rosa decided to end the fridge's stash food.
4) Someone (or she) took the food out and took it to the forest or the place where "someone" is hiding.
The mud she found on the carpet is most likely dirt that someone left when they entered (after all, it's raining heavily outside.).
Later, they all returned to the guest hotel. (Genji seeing things at the forest, could have either been someone hiding, or just his imagination.) Of course, rosa is nowhere to be found (what a surprise.). I'm ignoring the ashes Nanjo found on his tray, they might have some significance, but I see none for now.
In the main building, dinnaly the first six are found. I have explained this before.. the culprit just used the windows, so this isn't really a closed room, despite what's written in the text. ...also, one of the red statements from nadeor bugs me. they are not definitly dead, but they are indeed dead. So.. what the heck? Does this mean that some of them are not dead, but faking it? their faces are perfectly fine, so body-faking is not possible. (I guess.) and Nanjo also confirms their deaths, so if they're not really dead... then Nanjo is an accomplice as well; maybe he is being blackmailed. After all, there's one thing you can't fake- heartbeats. and if someone did use a fake body, Nanjo would notice it.
Next up, Genji calls out Krauss alone. ...this is highly intruiguing, at least for me. why would he do it? There isn't much infomration on this yet, so I'm not going to analyse this further, but maybe Kinzo asked of this, or Genji is an accomplice (I doubt this though.) And finnaly, the second twilight, even though Krauss and Kinzo weren't really close. for this first scene, I doubt this didn't happen, because we have an omniscient point of view. We only know that Krauss was pulling the trigger. about their dialogue, maybe they were talking about the inheritance?
Now, after this, Rosa and Genji arrive. Notice that what we are told is told from rosa's perspective, so things might have not happened the way they say it did. ... And if that is so, then Genji is necessarily involved. (He could be being blackmailed.) I think Rosa's description is a little far-fecthed as well, because if what she said is true, then it would mean that she returned to the main building even before the first six were hanged, ...and was somewhere where she couldn't hear, see or smell anything of what was happening in the living room. ... And it would also mean that she didn't hear the six come in, see the bodies, leave, and then Genji and Krauss coming back. Sorry, but for me, this is just practically impossible. Either Rosa lied or she's paranoid, or she's involved with this.
they return to the main building and find that Kinzo and Krauss disappeared. Oh, what a big surprise. I wonder where they went. If we're unlucky, then Krauss, Rosa and Genji are all in this togheter, or Rosa is the one being blackmailed. Either way, the living room door that's opened seems like a red herring to me. I mean, DEAD people don't walk. Unless they're NOT DEAD. This kinda interferes with one of Nadeor's red statements.
Whoever left the letter in Kinzo's room, either:
1) Wanted the money to be distributed like this (and which one of the siblings in their right minds would want this, I guess)
2) Doesn't really care for the money, the will was written by Kinzo, and has a completely different intention.
However, someone left the witch's note in the same fashion as the first twilight. either this is the same culprit or some other culprit took advantage of it. However, if the there are two different culprit's, and the first twilight's culprit left the first note, I don't see why he/she would not want to continue the twilights; unless his/her plan was stolen. (EP3 anyone?)
and now, for one of the most controversial parts of this whole EPX!!!
"“I…Impossible…But…But how…Can this be…?”
Shannon and Kanon, who remained on the side, noticed something wrong about Nanjo, and both of them had a different look on their faces.
Sometime unnoticed, a murderous scent was delivered by somebody.
Then, when everyone started thinking, a shadow secretly moved behind Nanjo, and whispered something into his ears without anyone noticing. Nanjo immediately froze, and unable to speak another word due to the fear that pressed against him."
...........What?! ...I don't know how I'm suppoed to analyse this; I mean, Nanjo is not alone, yet "something"whispered" in his ear. And what did he notice? Could it have been some message he saw, or soemthing that wasn't supposed to be there and the writer is just "metaphorically speaking"?
And now for the final part, which is a complete meltdown. Motives for the final twilights are kinda unknown, but if we follow the red statements, then at least one of the servants is involved. Also, Rosa appears out of nowhere and knocks on the door of the main building. If I recall correctly, and if the background setting is the same, the meeting room isn't the only room in the guest hotel that has a TV. Pff, and what if rosa was the one to lock the door, purposedly? Once again, the windows of this room could have been used, but it is weird how the servants keys appeared there. ...One (very awkward) possibility is that one of them snatched the keys of the servant's room while Eva and Rudolf were talking, or that someone else entered the building without them noticing and stole them.