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Old 2012-09-05, 09:20   Link #941
Aya Reiko
Cutengu
 
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Shameimaru's lap
09/05: Round 1 - Group F, Day 1

F01

1st 247 Hercule Barton @ Detective Opera Milky Holmes
2nd 236 Ryuuko Mifune @ Denpa Onna To Seishun Otoko
3rd 114 Horizon Ariadust @ Horizon In The Middle Of Nowhere

F05

1st 296 Kanna Tanigawa @ Ano Natsu De Matteru
2nd 209 Karen Araragi @ Ghostory
3rd 127 Mikoto Urabe @ Mysterious Girlfriend X

F09

1st 279 Ryuuka Shimizudani @ Saki
2nd 268 Tsumugi Kotobuki @ K-On!
3rd 110 Haruna @ Kore Wa Zombie Desu Ka?

Images
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Bad Guesses:

Yae ...Haruka, & Eru
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Last edited by Aya Reiko; 2012-09-05 at 09:35.
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Old 2012-09-05, 09:47   Link #942
ion475
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
Well, Milky Holmes is certainly weaker than I thought. Ryuushi is not that strong, but only lose by 11 votes.

Ryuuka-Mugi was close as expected. Saki win another one, to make sure F2-3 being crazy...

Otherwise, Kanna is way stronger than I thought...

All in all, a 2-1 day (Total 39-24). For next round...

Pick:
F02: <<岡橋初瀬@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A>>
F06: <<蒲原智美@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A>>
F10: <<千反田える@氷菓>>

Prediction: Sera (Mainly due to the Bansei split...), Haruka (Not picking against an Idolm@ster again), 気になります
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Old 2012-09-05, 09:49   Link #943
Ichuki
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Join Date: Sep 2010
Picks- Haruka, Dalian

Predctions- Yae, Haruka, Kininarimasu
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Old 2012-09-05, 10:26   Link #944
Wanderer
Goat
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Gnawing away at Rokkenjima
Picks (28-30-5), Predictions (44-19)

F02
Seraphim @ Kore Wa Zombie Desu Ka?: <<セラフィム(セラ)@これはゾンビですか? OF THE DEAD>>
Yae Kobashiri @ Saki: <<小走やえ@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A>>
Hatsuse Okahashi @ Saki: <<岡橋初瀬@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A>>

No pick

F06
Haruka Amami @ The Idolmaster: <<天海春香@THE IDOLM@STER>>
Satomi Kanbara @ Saki: <<蒲原智美@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A>>
Ohana Matsumae @ Hanasaku Iroha: <<松前緒花@花咲くいろは>>

F10
Yukari Hirai @ Shakugan No Shana: <<平井ゆかり@灼眼のシャナIII -Final->>
Eru Chitanda @ Hyouka: <<千反田える@氷菓>>
Dalian @ Dantalian No Shoka: <<ダンタリアン(ダリアン)@ダンタリアンの書架>>
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Old 2012-09-05, 10:26   Link #945
seemmeriast
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
I'm glad that Ryuuka won, but maybe her lost is more beneficial to Saki, so that they don't have to face split vote in second round.
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Old 2012-09-05, 13:37   Link #946
webkid94
Senior Member
*Author
 
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
What! When did Kanna get so strong? Hopefully Mio will get her time to shine against tough competition (Saki character + iM@S girl).

Picks
F02 - N/A
F06 - Haruka, going to assume every iM@S girl wins
F10 - KININARIMASU
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Old 2012-09-05, 17:50   Link #947
timbits
Harem Lead
 
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Calgary, Canada
Karen's loss was definitely strategic voting trying to take out a huge threat.
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Old 2012-09-05, 19:01   Link #948
Team Rocket Elite
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Close matches but I got everything right. Hecule does as well as I thought she would but I guess this could be Ryuuko and Hercule both being weaker than expected. It's nice to see Kanna do well. I thought she would have a lot more trouble. I wonder if she really did get boosted by Ryuuka. Tsumugi shows that getting close to Ryuuka in preliminaries was no fluke. Ryuuka shows that bearting Tsumugi in preliminaries was no fluke. It's too bad Ryuuka will just get sacrificed in Round 2 so Kuro will advance. I would have liked to have seen more of what Ryuuka can do.

Seraphim looked so bad during preliminaries I figured Yae would win despite the split and despite lower tier Saki characters not being as strong as they looked in preliminaries. Based on the poll tracker, I was pretty far off on this. I would have gone with Ohana earlier but I can't pick against Idolm@ster in a close match. Haruka should win this. I always liked Hirai Yukari a lot. It's too bad she'll get killed by Eru here. I guess I like Eru a lot as well, though.

Votes:
Kobashire Yae
Matsumae Ohana
Hirai Yukari

Predictions:
Kobashire Yae
Amami Haruka
Chitanda Eru

Quote:
Originally Posted by timbits View Post
Karen's loss was definitely strategic voting trying to take out a huge threat.
I wouldn't really call Karen a huge threat. She's not weak but she's probably only around top 10 in terms of strength in F Block.
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Old 2012-09-05, 19:05   Link #949
Ithekro
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Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Republic of California
Age: 36
And I wanted Mugi to win. But that's mainly because for some reason pot show and with the renewed manga, Mugi's character has grown on me verses the others. It might have to do with the newer character Sumire though.
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Old 2012-09-05, 19:10   Link #950
ion475
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
Quote:
Karen's loss was definitely strategic voting trying to take out a huge threat.
Kanna strength is fairly unknown, though. She was in a really weak prelim group and finish 3rd. Okay, Karen finished 3rd behind Toki and Saki also. Statistically, Kanna get higher percentage of vote, but is also in a group that's significantly weaken compare to Karen (Group 4 v. Group 5).

If anything, the only unexpected things is how wide the margin is (Kanna and Karen are statistical tie in my opinion, so I expect Hercule-Ryuushi or Ryuuka-Mugi margin). Nisemonogatari in general are pretenders anyway, though...

Last thing I wonder is whether the KitaEri madness (Kokoro incident) spill over to the match...
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Old 2012-09-05, 20:30   Link #951
stormtrooper
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Saimoe Planet
Picks:
Seraphim
Haruka
Chitanda

Gamble but hopefully it's worth it.
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Old 2012-09-05, 21:46   Link #952
Micchi
兄さんが望むなら...
 
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Ottawa, Canada
Picks: 0-3 (36-27)
Predictions: 1-2 (46-17)

Totally underestimated Kanna here. Or maybe overestimated Karen. Been a while since Nisemonogatari had a match.

Picks: Yae, Haruka, Eru
Predictions: Yae, Ohana, Eru

I'm curious as to how much Eru would win by...
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Old 2012-09-05, 22:24   Link #953
Coldlight
Sayaka★Magica
 
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Under the piercing blue sky, in somebody's friendzone
Hmm, I missed quite a lot of matches while my net was down, including the opening day of the more exciting Block F. I see I have cardboard waiting for me. Karen... ;_;

Ohana is the only girl who gets my support for today.
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Old 2012-09-06, 00:03   Link #954
ahelo
Criminal Unrequitor
*Graphic Designer
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
I am very curious to what will happen in this match.
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Old 2012-09-06, 04:11   Link #955
JW1
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: UK
The Chitanda match should be terminated as cruel and unusual punishment.
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Old 2012-09-06, 05:41   Link #956
Kyuu
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: 42 10' N (Latitude) 87 33' W (Longitude)
Age: 35
Quote:
Originally Posted by JW1 View Post
The Chitanda match should be terminated as cruel and unusual punishment.
Especially when it results in Dalian being one-and-done -- on debut -- and -- being the only character from her series too.
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Old 2012-09-06, 07:07   Link #957
ion475
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
Quote:
The Chitanda match should be terminated as cruel and unusual punishment.
Nah, they just need mercy rule...

Using just the tracker, though, I'm curious as to how much Kininarimasu will win by at the end. (Yes, double up Kininarimasu on purpose...)
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Old 2012-09-06, 09:17   Link #958
Team Rocket Elite
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
One of the problems with flooding the tournament with characters is the increases likelyhood of split vote. Yae would need a large portion of Hatsuse's votes, but the split might have cost her the win against Seraphim. Haruka nets another win for Idolm@ster, although Ohana put up a bit of a fight. Eru just killed her opponents.

Funami Yui shouldn't have any problems in the first match. She should be decently strong while her opponents are quite weak. One of the champion candidates Matsumi Kuro goes up today. She should be Saki's second in command and one of the strongest characters in the tournament. Splitting votes with Cela shouldn't stop her from advancing to Round 2 where she'll have a much tougher split with Ryuuka. While probbly not on Kuro's level, Shirakiin Ririchiyo is also one of the stronger characters in the tournament. Yoshika is unlucky to have drawn such a strong Round 1 opponent.

Votes:
Funami Yui
Matsumi Kuro
Shirakiin Ririchiyo

Predictions:
Funami Yui
Matsumi Kuro
Shirakiin Ririchiyo
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Old 2012-09-06, 09:23   Link #959
ion475
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
First, results...

F02:
1位 265票 セラフィム(セラ)@これはゾンビですか? OF THE DEAD (Seraphim@Kore wa Zombie Desuka? Of The Dead)
2位 223票 小走やえ@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A (Kobashiri Yae@Saki: Achiga-hen episode of side-A)
3位 60票 岡橋初瀬@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A (Okahashi Hatsuse@Saki: Achiga-hen episode of side-A)

F06:
1位 274票 天海春香@THE IDOLM@STER (Amami Haruka@The Idolm@ster)
2位 212票 松前緒花@花咲くいろは (Matsumae Ohana@Hanasaku Iroha)
3位 95票 蒲原智美@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A (WahahaGanbara Satomi@Saki: Achiga-hen episode of side-A)

F10:
1位 367票 千反田える@氷菓 (Chitanda Eru@Hyouka)
2位 101票 ダンタリアン(ダリアン)@ダンタリアンの書架 (Dantalian (Dalian)@Dantalian no Shoka)
3位 78票 平井ゆかり@灼眼のシャナIII -Final- (Hirai Yukari@Shakugan no Shana III - Final -)

=====================================
So, another 3-0 day (Total 42-24). For next round...

Pick:
F03: <<船見結衣@ゆるゆり>>
F07: <<松実玄@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A>>
F11: <<トオル@Aチャンネル + smile>>

Prediction: Yui, Kuro, Shirakiin. For F03, neither of Yui's opponent are particularly strong, so she should win here (although not with Chitanda margin...). For F07, Subaru is decently strong, but Kuro is totally on another level. For F11, Shirakiin is a level above the other 2 (Of course, sad b/c Tooru is in that group...)
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Last edited by ion475; 2012-09-06 at 10:59.
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Old 2012-09-06, 09:43   Link #960
Ichuki
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Join Date: Sep 2010
Picks- Yui, Ririchiyo-sama

Prediction- Yui, Kuro (but not surprising if she gets eliminated because of split vote), Ririchiyo-sama
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2012, anime saimoe tournament, saimoe, tournament

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