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Link #31801 | ||
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The True Culprit
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Maybe Yasu disagrees, but to me, loving someone definitively includes not wanting someone's suffering to continue unnecessarily, and since his entire situation is her fault she has a moral obligation to do something about it regardless. Quote:
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Link #31802 | |||||
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2011
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After all a person can acknowledge he made a mistake in his previous theory and... well discharge it for another that, according to him, is the one stright answer. If we never revised theories... well I don't think we would get very far and it would make discussing Umineko pretty pointless... Quote:
My theory is: - Tohya solved the message bottles - Tohya has recovered some memories of Rokkenjima and the people in it - he used his solution, his knowledge of facts post Rokkenjima and his memories to write the tales - it's possible that in the tales there are some facts that really happened on Rokkenjima... however I wish you good luck in figuring out which one exactly are. - No idea how much memory Tohya recovered while writing the tales and how much in denial he is about being Battler. The Meta might imply some turning points but as this depends on how you interpret them for now I'll let this up to speculation. So how Tohya writing forgeries based on Yasu's messages would insure he knows who the culprit in Prime is? But Tohya as a writer knows who the culprit is in his tale... and the culprit is Yasu. It's entirely possible that Tohya didn't wrote his tales giving at the end a straight answer so that when you read Banquet, Alliance and End you don't know who exactly the culprit is. It's possible in Banquet he tried to use the popular theory of Eva-culprit to 'cover up' his truth, so that people that read it were faced with a setting in which Eva was definitely suspicious and maybe she even killed Battler in the book too, but an Eva solution didn't solve every murder so that the fantasy of the witch is preserved unless you attack Banquet with the Yasu-culprit theory. Quote:
It's just an interpretation though. As I said I'm still considering theories over the Meta as none seems satisfactory enough as of now. Quote:
As in the Meta the gamemaster was also the one who made up the story I honestly didn't bother searching for a new definition. Quote:
Sure, likely Eva had been suspected and people in her and Ange's inner circle might have continued suspecting her even without the forgery craze but, after 10 years, if it hadn't been for the forgerers and the witch hunters likely the interest of the rest of the world would have died down which probably would have been good for Ange as she wouldn't have to continuously deal with conspiration theories. Interesting enough the fact that Eva was having financial problems might also prove she didn't receive the bank account code or refused to use it or it was only a thing presented in the games (this would imply that Ange's talking with people receiving it might have been purely fictional). Anyone has suggestions? Theories? Whatever else? |
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Link #31803 |
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Worldend Dominator
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Gobbled up by Promathia
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I personally disagree with applying Occam's Razor when it comes to storytelling. In general, I think it's useful for picking hypotheses in the natural sciences, but it shouldn't become the main justification for a theory in this story. Its use is hard to avoid in a story like Umineko, though.
That said, Shkanon is still the most plausible explanation for thematic and logical reasons. And personally, I think Ikuko was -intended- to be Yasu, and the moral issue was an oversight on Ryukishi's side. That said I choose to believe that Ikuko was a stranger for reasons described already. |
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Link #31804 | |
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Senior Member
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Link #31805 | |
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The True Culprit
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Link #31806 | |||||
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Goat
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Gnawing away at Rokkenjima
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But rereading it again I can pinpoint the thing about that particular part that I've always found strange: That is that it's the bottle the fisherman found that caused the bottle the police had to go public. What caused the police to release their bottle only after the fisherman's was found? Quote:
I don't simply 'discard given information', I just absorb it precisely. It's not "the police found a bottle", but rather "the police reported having found a bottle some years ago, and produced something that appeared to be that bottle." That's the 'information given'. I don't see a need for a hint that the police are lying, because I don't assume they are telling the truth. It's simply a matter or the relative plausibility of their story being true or false. Of course, all other things being equal, the police are a very trustworthy organization. But there are other factors. Ange in that same scene later surmised that the writer would probably have to be the culprit based on what she knew. So, three possibilities: A) The information she has is good, and her reasoning is good. This means the writer really is the culprit. Logistically, this is the most sensible explanation, by far. However, I find this difficult to accept from a narrative standpoint. B) The information she has is good, but her reasoning is bad. I don't think it is, because I share her reasoning that pre-incident authorship points to the writer being the culprit. C) The information she has is bad, but her reasoning is good. I'm pretty sure this means that the police lied. I prefer 'C' & 'B' to 'A' for entirely thematic reasons. And I prefer 'C' to 'B' for both logistic and thematic reasons. Basically, aside from discarding 'A' rather arbitrarily, my theory is actually based on deductive reasoning. Quote:
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EDIT: Bought what's out so far of the EP8 manga. Just finished chapter 6, and here's a couple spoilers got from it for anyone who doesn't already know them. Spoiler:
Last edited by Wanderer; 2013-01-30 at 09:07. |
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Link #31807 | |||
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Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2011
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Yasuko discusion stopped interesting me a while ago, but this EP8 news is very nice.
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I've actually always been against the conclusion that the letter was addressed to Natsuhi specifically, because I figured the culprit would have no way of knowing whether she would be the first to notice and read it, but I guess I've been proved wrong on this one! |
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Link #31808 | |
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Too Amnesiac For This
Join Date: May 2009
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It's a good thing she was taunting Natsuhi and not somebody of marginal intelligence like Eva or Kyrie. "I'll wait in the entrance hall" is practically code for "circle around from the other exit to the parlor and shoot me in the back of the head" for anyone with tactical sense. Not that this would've helped if the gun weren't loaded, though I imagine Kyrie would've checked that.
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Link #31809 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2011
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After watching through EP4, I realized that they said that one of the bottles was found on the island, and the other was found at sea later by the fishermen.
Yet, EP1 ends with the bottle being found five years later. I was a big proponent of Bottles = Episodes, but now this makes the ending to EP1 make no sense whatsoever. However, it does imply pre-incident authorship if the bottle was already there. I think someone made a joke about the contents of Natsuhi's letter when we were speculating about it earlier, mentioning the portrait specifically. As far as the fact that Natsuhi's gun was never loaded... wow, that wasn't anything I've ever expected. And I thought the VNs did confirm what Rudolf's "I will be killed tonight." meant.
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Link #31810 | |
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Too Amnesiac For This
Join Date: May 2009
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Link #31811 | |
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Worldend Dominator
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Gobbled up by Promathia
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EP1 and EP2 are retellings of the events (or alternate interpretations) by some author (PRESUMABLY Yasu). EP3-6 are supposedly forgeries by Hachijo Tohya. But what is the Meta-World, and how come EP2 and the forgeries share the same continuity? EP2 is really an interesting case. It is the intersection between "message bottle" and "forgery". In other words, the themes of the entirety of Umineko and the Shannon/Kanon deal is directly addressed in EP2. I think that EP2 is actually a "forgery" directly based on the message bottle. Think of it this way: if EP2's message bottle made any mention of Shannon and Kanon's love troubles (the beginning of EP2) then the 1998 characters would have a strong lead of Yasu as the culprit or would at least make special mention of them. Because this does not seem to be the case, I think EP2 is also a forgery in some sense. That is, EP2 is just a "story" built into the events of the second message bottle. EP1 is straight mystery, but since Beatrice/Battler make explicit mention of EP1's events in the later Episodes, maybe EP1 is a forgery too? I personally imagine EP1-EP6 (maybe further?) as a series of forgeries by Hachijo Tohya. EP1-EP2 are based on the message bottles, whereas the rest are either based "the result" (Eva surviving in 1998) or are pure fabrications. THAT is why we are given a straight thematic continuity ("Yasu is the culprit because of the love duel"). Did Hachijo Tohya construct the Shkanontrice solution out of thin air? What is the purpose of such a random solution from an authorial position? (lolRyukishi aside) I personally think that Ikuko "drove the Hachijo Tohya team to write with Shkanon as the solution because SHE HERSELF wanted Battler-Tohya to remember." This makes her a colossal asshole, but I personally find this to make sense with my interpretation of the visual novels. Of course, the fundamental assumption behind all of this is that the meta-world is a part of the forgeries as a structure for continuity. The meta-world could ALSO be detached from the forgeries and could actually represent the interactions between various forces in 1998+ (that is, it is pure metaphor: Battler = Tohya, Beatrice = "Yasu" or possibly Ikuko, etc.) I know this isn't terribly convincing, I don't think I did a good job describing it. But that's how I interpreted it. What is the consensus about the meta-world? |
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Link #31812 | ||||||
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2011
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It's nice to know it really existed. Quote:
Actually she might have done it even after she killed Nanjo and Co. We know they went to check because they heard Maria singing... but we don't know if the phonecall came from that phone. It's possible the trick here is similar to the one used with Jessica. Once she left the room and closed it with her key she went to another phone put on a tape Maria's voice singing a song and then did the call. When Battler and Co reached the room and found Maria singing and the phone in such position they didn't suspect the call could have come from another room. Quote:
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If I'm not wrong the best we all agree (I think) is that it is meaningful, it's probably some sort of psychological metaphor (though there are variations on how this applies so take this as some sort of very lose definition) and... what else? |
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Link #31813 |
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Too Amnesiac For This
Join Date: May 2009
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We don't actually know which stories were the message bottle stories. As far as I know, Ange never explicitly entitles them or describes their contents with specificity (that is, things like "one of the message bottles features a First Twilight where all the parents but Rosa are killed in the chapel and their bellies stuffed with candy," something presumably unique to Turn).
So it's possible both Legend and Turn aren't the message bottle stories... but they're sort of portrayed as being that, so...
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Link #31815 | |
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Guitar Man
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Brazil
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The stuff that comes before is probably not included in the bottles
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Link #31816 | |||||
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The True Culprit
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I mean, shit, they don't even bother to look into the birth records of Shannon and Kanon. They clearly don't give a shit. Quote:
This raises buckets of problems and doesn't give any answers. What does Meta-Ange mean and how come no one talks about her role in them? Why doesn't any Witch Hunter, ever, mention the Meta-narrative, or the implications it makes? How come people still ask questions about things in the forgeries that the Meta-World literally spells out for us real-world readers? Whatever the Meta-World is, I guarantee it's not part of the Forgeries. It falls apart before you even reach the EP6 meta-meta-meta narrative. Quote:
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Link #31817 | |
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Too Amnesiac For This
Join Date: May 2009
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You can't merely remove that part, because scenes like Kanon fighting for Jessica and so forth don't make a lot of sense with those bits removed yet are definitely part of the October 4th/5th narrative. So those parts would also have to be removed or changed... meaning that, well, how do we know which parts are added in and which parts were "originally" in the Forgery?
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Link #31818 |
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Worldend Dominator
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Gobbled up by Promathia
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I mean, it seems most likely that the Meta-World is its own thing, like the upper-most layer of the story (the closest to us and Ryukishi), and exists so there's an actual consistent STORYLINE. I'm just giving my explanation for the interpretation I gave earlier. I'm not asserting it as truth, just a possibility for fun.
I don't see how it's unreasonable that Hachijo Tohya could write stories about fictional 1998's. EP3 could be a forgery, EP3's 1998 is just a fictional extrapolation based around the "real 1998". Furthermore, the META stuff in each of them is connected, but need not have any real basis in reality. The fictional meta stuff is a part of the series that Hachijo Tohya constructed as "the means to illustrate the literary or thematic parts of the story." Though about Meta-Ange, well, you have a point. Maybe Ikuko and Tohya had an author-battle about what they wanted the story to be about? Ikuko wanted to focus on Yasu, Tohya wanted to focus around Ange's struggle, and all of Umineko is Hachijo Tohya fighting about what the purpose of the story is (joking) Anyway, making Ikuko = Yasu just seems like something Ryukishi would do. Not that I'm really a fan of that idea. edit: whoa, think I got lost in my own logic, nevermind >_> |
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Link #31819 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2012
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Kanon deciding he loves Jessica out of nowhere and sacrificing himself with no prior motivation? Sounds like fanfiction to me...
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Also what is the Jessica room trick someone referred to? |
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Link #31820 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2012
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ALso I haven't thought about this theory at all yet, so it may fall apart, but maybe the metaworld is like the in-universe representation of general online theories and debate, as viewed by Touhya. Getting lost in the sea of meta could be him losing the belief that he actually knows what happened and just giving in to the general wash of theories. Angie did let herself get chewed apart after all.
Besides, the trial of Natsuhi always screamed trail be media, and meanwhile the only solid evidence Battler can argue with is "I just feel it isn't true". And we know how much this forum likes that argument. |
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