Anime Saimoe Tournament 2011 (Japan)

[Kudryavka]

Originally Posted by Coldlight

Has anyone here voted successfully for this match yet?

Picks:
Suzu
Homura
Itsuwa

Preliminary code frustration all over again. More of those "please wait" messages since early this morning. All is not yet lost though, we still have several hours to try to obtain a code. I think it's too early to believe they've simply done away with the various "you're banned" error messages in favor of just one generic message.

No, I haven't lost all hope yet. I'm pretty close, though.

Originally Posted by timbits

but there is one, http://jbbs.livedoor.jp/anime/8440/ look for the thread with the highest number.

Would you mind adding the link to the Wikispaces?

[anisu]

Based on the slopes of chart areas where the votes are coming in steadily, Biribiri seems to have a small advantage. Homu will have to make a strong rush at the end.

Here's an example of a fake vote:

820 ：清き一票＠名無しさん：2011/08/16(火) 07:50:31.30 ID:xUeqCji3
[[AST1116-0MwQhHcM-HI]]-00486
<<ほむら>>ちゃんｶﾞﾝﾊﾞｯﾃ

<<スズ>>ちゃんと<<和>>ちゃんも

865 ：清き一票＠名無しさん：2011/08/16(火) 08:50:05.98 ID:aJwapBO+
[[AST1116-nt8Yrj.9idkP]]-00486
<<暁美ほむら＠魔法少女まどか☆マギカ>>
頑張れ

Both of these votes have the same number, 00486, and the second one has a code that doesn't match the format of the other codes. The first guy seems to be using alternate names, I think for Homura, Suzu, and Itsuwa. The second one is similar to a few other votes made around the same time, which don't sage and often have malformed codes. Somebody seems to be fake voting for Homura, and doing a conspicuously sloppy job of it. I don't know whether the vote tracker detects bad codes like that one.

[Ithekro]

They seem to have changed something in the way you get a code. It does not seem to follow the procedures from last year and I don't know what it is saying is going on.

It use to give you a time you would be able to refresh by, but that's not there. So I waited an hour and some change (waiting until after the next :55 like before and all I get is the msec# changes. What is it asking for since it seems like the old wait to get your code screen, press F5 at some point.

Mine is practically Identical to Xellos..with a change in times the code was requested

[Kudryavka]

Originally Posted by anisu

Based on the slopes of chart areas where the votes are coming in steadily, Biribiri seems to have a small advantage. Homu will have to make a strong rush at the end.

Here's an example of a fake vote:


Both of these votes have the same number, 00486, and the second one has a code that doesn't match the format of the other codes. The first guy seems to be using alternate names, I think for Homura, Suzu, and Itsuwa. The second one is similar to a few other votes made around the same time, which don't sage and often have malformed codes. Somebody seems to be fake voting for Homura, and doing a conspicuously sloppy job of it. I don't know whether the vote tracker detects bad codes like that one.

Interesting. So you think Homuhomu's getting a significant amount of fake votes too?

[nicky_008]

I don't have any good ideas to support why Itsuwa needed many votes to win in this match. It's too much strange although the science faction want to challenge the magic faction (and let someone keep going insteaded). :3

Could be possible that... the saimoe 1st round killing machine process (like 09's and 10's match) is started quickly now? If it's begun, the saimoe would be like the current trends; unnecessary killing, full of fake votes and kugyuu. (Which I'm tired when heard each result.)

[Eisdrache]

Man I'm totally missing out on Saimoe this year :x

[zato_1one]

Good luck getting the code, I'm more enjoy watching from the sideline.

[Ithekro]

Their blocking is much more effective this time around. In all previous years I could get a code, but sometimes could not post on 2ch. Now I can't even get a code.

[Kyuu]

If Homura loses, I weep. But then, I would also LOL Railgun.

[nicky_008]

Sayaka vs Uiharu and Saten-san's match is more bloodshed than this match. I found one more reason why people like to blow their votes on Biribiri.

Damn, random faggot group choosing process.

[OverFunk]

Originally Posted by anisu

Based on the slopes of chart areas where the votes are coming in steadily, Biribiri seems to have a small advantage. Homu will have to make a strong rush at the end.

Here's an example of a fake vote:


Both of these votes have the same number, 00486, and the second one has a code that doesn't match the format of the other codes. The first guy seems to be using alternate names, I think for Homura, Suzu, and Itsuwa. The second one is similar to a few other votes made around the same time, which don't sage and often have malformed codes. Somebody seems to be fake voting for Homura, and doing a conspicuously sloppy job of it. I don't know whether the vote tracker detects bad codes like that one.

I did check some obvious fake votes and they were counted by the tracker.

Like these:

38 :清き一票@名無しさん:2011/08/16(火) 10:16:29.87 IDfIokFJC
[[AST1116-resqeWqk-KU]]-00504

<<暁美ほむら@魔法少女まどか☆マギカ>>

優勝

39 :清き一票@名無しさん:2011/08/16(火) 10:17:01.51 ID:htDnzbqH
[[AST1116-sqeweWqk-KU]]-00504

<<暁美ほむら@魔法少女まどか☆マギカ>>

したって

40 :清き一票@名無しさん:2011/08/16(火) 10:17:42.61 ID:sb0Em2tO
[[AST1116-swSeWfqk-KU]]-00500

<<暁美ほむら@魔法少女まどか☆マギカ>>

いいんじゃない?

[zato_1one]

Well, I feel like some factions have started a collaboration to take down Madoka faction here. There is no way the different votes can be this much. If we take Itsuwa current votes as an indication of Raildex strength then there are 100+ additional votes to back up Mikoto here. Still needs to consider the amount of fake votes though.

If Mikoto wins here, I actually think that Victorique has a good chance to win block A.

[ando]

Originally Posted by OverFunk

I did check some obvious fake votes and they were counted by the tracker.

There is no way to differenciate the fakes from others at this point even for the staff except the administrator of the code generator. If you want to eliminate the fakes, you have to check the individual votes one by one as you did. ┐(´-`)┌

[Ithekro]

Well whatever factions are involved, the non-Japanese world is more or less not having any part of it...even if it wanted to. At least not in large numbers...so voting will be down again with no more than maybe 1,500 voters participating. They may be lucky to get 2,000 for the finals if this is shaping up with better blocking than last year. (though they probably are only effectily blocking maybe 200 voters from last year)

[wontaek]

Originally Posted by Ithekro

Well whatever factions are involved, the non-Japanese world is more or less not having any part of it...even if it wanted to. At least not in large numbers...so voting will be down again with no more than maybe 1,500 voters participating. They may be lucky to get 2,000 for the finals if this is shaping up with better blocking than last year. (though they probably are only effectily blocking maybe 200 voters from last year)

Kind of sad because at its height, total non-Japanese voters was close to 1000 .

[OverFunk]

Oh, I know ando, wasn't complaining about the counter being bad or something.

Originally Posted by zato_1one

If Mikoto wins here, I actually think that Victorique has a good chance to win block A.

light_just_as_planned.jpg

[abc0716]

Based on the current result, looks like Homura is very likely being anti-voted / assassinated by non-Madoka / Raildex fans and tactical voters .

Anyway, I will post my picks & opinion on next matchday earlier, because I am busy on tomorrow.... (real life's work)

Spoiler for First main round matchday 2:

A2- Amgami's Sae
Winning probability-> Astrea- 15% Sae-39% Cordelia-46%
I think Cordelia has a slight advantage to win since Milky Holmes had a decent performance on prelim round.

A6- *Abstain*
Eucliwood-80% Ferris Eris-12% Yoshino-8%
Despite having a mediocre performance on prelim round, Eucliwood will easily get into the next round with a good vote margin...

A10- Mayuri
Himeji-35% Minami-5% "tutturu"-60%
Both unfortunate Himeji and Minami could only get an early exit from the tournament with a bad drawings. But Himeji will not lost by a big margin since she has a decent amount of fans.

[ando]

Originally Posted by OverFunk

Oh, I know ando, wasn't complaining about the counter being bad or something.

I know you are one of the Saimoe veterans.
That is what I have to say at least once every year.

[Coldlight]

One hour left. Still no code.

[Suzuran]

Has anyone here gotten a code at all yet?
I just get the code limit message.

Maybe I don't get to play this year?
I waited all year for this, hauau~~~~