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Old 2016-02-13, 18:23   Link #1
Xellos-_^
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Surpreme Court Justice Scalia is Dead

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Justice Antonin Scalia, whose transformative legal theories, vivid writing and outsize personality made him a leader of a conservative intellectual renaissance in his three decades on the Supreme Court, was found dead on Saturday at a resort in West Texas, according to a statement from Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. He was 79.
“He was an extraordinary individual and jurist, admired and treasured by his colleagues,” Chief Justice Roberts said. “His passing is a great loss to the Court and the country he so loyally served.”
The cause of death was not immediately released.


http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/14/us...T.nav=top-news

this is going to turn the presidential race upside down.
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Old 2016-02-13, 18:29   Link #2
risingstar3110
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RIP toward him

But a very important question first, so Obama will be the one to appoint a new judge right?
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Old 2016-02-13, 18:34   Link #3
Xellos-_^
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Quote:
Originally Posted by risingstar3110 View Post
RIP toward him

But a very important question first, so Obama will be the one to appoint a new judge right?
he can nominate one. But the chance of the nomination being confirm by republican control senate is slim to none.

make it none

Quote:
BREAKING NEWS: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) shut down the process for approving a successor to the late Justice Antonin Scalia before it even started, declaring Saturday night that the seat should not be filled until the next president is sworn into office.
“The American people‎ should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice. Therefore, this vacancy should not be filled until we have a new President," he said in a statement.
McConnell's view is likely to be sharply challenged by President Obama and Democrats, but it will be difficult to overcome the objection of the Senate leader, whose position is likely to be supported by most Republicans.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...mepage%2Fstory

for those Bernie supporterwho said they are not willing to vote for Hillary if Hillary becomes the nominate. You would be helping the republican pick Scalia's successor.
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Old 2016-02-13, 18:42   Link #4
ganbaru
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Xellos-_^ View Post
for those Bernie supporterwho said they are not willing to vote for Hillary if Hillary becomes the nominate. You would be helping the republican pick Scalia's successor.
Would a pick from Hillary e really different?
Hopefully yes, but probably more of a case of ''not as bad'' than ""better''.
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Old 2016-02-13, 19:16   Link #5
MCAL
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Just have to love how Republican's first reaction to this is not anything about condolences to the family, but "How do we use this to undermine Obama?"
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Old 2016-02-13, 19:21   Link #6
bakato
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No rest for the wicked.
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Old 2016-02-13, 19:55   Link #7
Kotohono
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Xellos-_^ View Post
he can nominate one. But the chance of the nomination being confirm by republican control senate is slim to none.

make it none
I call bullshit on the legality of that, what the supreme court is just suppose to do nothing for an entire year because of them, that seems absurd to me . Since I am pretty sure with 8 justices they couldn't really take cases, and there were several they already agreed to for this year.

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Originally Posted by MCAL View Post
Just have to love how Republican's first reaction to this is not anything about condolences to the family, but "How do we use this to undermine Obama?"
Who has time for being sad or honoring the dead when there are political points to score .
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Old 2016-02-13, 20:20   Link #8
SeijiSensei
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Back when I was wearing my political science hat I co-authored a couple of papers with a colleague on Supreme Court nominations. The current situation is the most tendentious. The President faces an opposition Senate, and the nominee will move the "median Justice" on the Court. Using data on all replacement nominations from Washington through Reagan, our model estimated that the probability of confirmation in this case is only 0.37. (Presidents making nominations that will not change the median to a Senate held by his co-partisans have the highest estimated rate of confirmation, about 0.93. The other two possibilities have rates around 0.75.) So even if Obama does nominate someone, the chances of getting it through the Senate are already well below fifty-fifty. Worse, our analysis showed that that probability is vastly reduced when the President is a "lame duck," as Obama is now.

Historically the Court has operated for reasonably long periods with just eight members so I don't see that as a major incentive to a confirmation before Obama leaves office. In fact, the current situation might be better for Obama on issues like the coal regulations that the Court stayed just last week. Without a solid conservative majority, cases like that will likely be put off until 2017 or beyond.

Last edited by SeijiSensei; 2016-02-13 at 21:49.
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Old 2016-02-13, 20:36   Link #9
Xellos-_^
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there are 2 theory of thought on who Obama should nominate.

1. a Moderate so his chance are higher in getting the nominate confirm. This would cement his legacy. The republican would confirm the Moderate becuase they really don't need a supreme court nomination battle in full public view.

2. Nominate a liberal and dare the republican to block the nomination to fire up the Democrats to vote in November.
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Old 2016-02-13, 21:44   Link #10
SeijiSensei
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Obama's best option would be a justice somewhat to the left of Kennedy. That would move the median in his direction, but still be a nominee that the Senate might confirm.

The President derives little real benefit from nominating someone with more extreme liberal views as the median is unchanged regardless of how far left the nominee is. The best Obama can do is make Breyer the new median. (He is the most moderate of the Democratic appointees on the Court according to the scorings reported here.) If Obama were to nominate someone between Breyer and Kennedy, that person would become the new median.

I don't expect to see the seat filled until 2017.
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Old 2016-02-13, 22:47   Link #11
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Hillary will nominate Obama and the Republicans will explode
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Old 2016-02-14, 00:45   Link #12
SeijiSensei
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I've considered Obama a likely candidate for a Supreme Court seat for some time now. I didn't think it would happen quite so soon though. It's not unprecedented historically either. William Howard Taft became Chief Justice after serving as President.

My other prognostication is that Michelle Obama will run for the Senate in 2020 to replace Dick Durbin who will be in his mid-70's. Her younger daughter will have started college by then, and she'd still be just 56 years old. Illinois elected a black female Senator, Carol Moseley Braun, back in 1992.
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Old 2016-02-14, 03:50   Link #13
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My condolences go to his family. However I don't agree with any of his choices or what he stood for. He never had any impartiality and was soleyl for strict conservative republican causes and I think the country will run smoother with someone else.

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Originally Posted by Xellos-_^ View Post
Hillary will nominate Obama and the Republicans will explode
They might not even be able to stop her. If they go for the delay tactic, it could leave the judicial branch in chaos for years. It could blow up in their faces and they could lose the legislative branch to the democrats. I already think all of their candidates are too clownish to be taken seriously enough to beat either Bernie and Hilary.
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Old 2016-02-14, 06:22   Link #14
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Wasn't he the Justice who made absurd comments like how gun owners can sell their guns to others without bothering to have the buyer's background checked or when Gay marriage was legalized by the Supreme Court, he went all "It's illegal as the people didn't get a say in this decision" but went "The people have no right to say in this decision as it's the Supreme Court's job" in another issue the people hope the Court would rule in their favor.

While i don't like his views, i respect he was a member of the Supreme Court.
Condolences to his family.
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Old 2016-02-14, 07:35   Link #15
JokerD
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Explain to me something, why would party or ideology leaning matter to a supreme court judge? If they are there to interpret the constitution, shouldn't they be putting aside their personal believes and ideology in the first place?
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Old 2016-02-14, 12:54   Link #16
Solace
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RIP Scalia. You definitely made your mark on history.

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Originally Posted by JokerD View Post
Explain to me something, why would party or ideology leaning matter to a supreme court judge? If they are there to interpret the constitution, shouldn't they be putting aside their personal believes and ideology in the first place?
The fact that we're still arguing about the intent of the second amendment centuries later should tell you everything you need to know about ideology and how the constitution is interpreted.
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Old 2016-02-14, 14:26   Link #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MrTerrorist View Post
Wasn't he the Justice who made absurd comments like how gun owners can sell their guns to others without bothering to have the buyer's background checked or when Gay marriage was legalized by the Supreme Court, he went all "It's illegal as the people didn't get a say in this decision" but went "The people have no right to say in this decision as it's the Supreme Court's job" in another issue the people hope the Court would rule in their favor.
Yes, yes he was as the daily show pointed out after the ruling.
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Old 2016-02-14, 16:04   Link #18
Psyco Diver
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It will go to the highest bidder, remember this is the supreme court that said corporations have a right to donate as much money to a politician as they want thus selling out the American people. Sure there will be some drama negotiations but that position has already been filled
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Old 2016-02-15, 14:15   Link #19
MrTerrorist
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A Brief List of Some of the Many Terrible Things Antonin Scalia Said and Wrote

Reading the things Scalia said and believe made me cringe.
Abortion should be illegal because it was never in the Constitution?
Really?! Had the man ever consider the people who wrote the Constitution didn't know or haven't thought about it? Just because it's not in the Constitution, doesn't make it illegal.

The man gives this weird "I am the law so i am always right and if you disagree with me then you are wrong" attitude. No wonder he was controversial.

Hopefully the next Justice won't act like their predecessor.
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Old 2016-02-15, 16:30   Link #20
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The far right is spreading a rumor that he was murdered.
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