2012-10-19, 09:20 | Link #1701 | |
にこにこにー
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
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Saki: Nearly lose to Maho. 2nd Round is a joke, wasn't exactly dominating against Kobato (Although Kobato still deserves the win...but oh well). Koromo: Strike Witches (not even the top 2) split 1st round, face an assassin (Sorry, Miki is just not THAT strong) 2nd round, and well, Tacos 3rd round. Bucchou: Average Amagami girl 1st round, 2 mediocre at best girls 2nd round, another assassin (against, well, Shizuno) 3rd round... Compare to how much Kuro won against Nyaruko then Shirakiin, all 3 record are not exactly dominating... Anyway, Louise won this time around. Not exactly exciting, but at least we all know Louise can troll and barring Nodocchi, has a pretty good record against Saki For next round. We'll see whether Sanya is able to pull a Erica Hartmann or not. Saki will get hate, but is it close to enough to knock off Yuu? I doubt it... Sanya did knock Hina out, but then, looking at the latest Hayate episode, that's for good reason (Okay, I need to stop trolling...) Pick & Predicting a Yuu win. None of the girl has even gotten close to her so far.
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Last edited by ion475; 2012-10-19 at 09:36. |
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2012-10-19, 09:22 | Link #1702 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Feb 2011
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And so Louise wins, which was kind of expected. So far Louise is the only one that has ever reached the top 8 in 3 different years. It's possible for Nodoka and Shana as well.
We now have 3 Saki + 1 Rie Kugimiya characters in the top 8. There will be 2 more Saki charcters that will definitely reach the top 8. Yuu and Shana have the advantage against their opponent so I think they will win. I think it's safe to say that the top 8 will definitely be 6 Saki + 2 Rie. |
2012-10-19, 09:29 | Link #1703 |
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: AUSTRALIA
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MACKERRAS PENDULUM
SAIMOE 2012 SAKI 5 SEATS NON-SAKI 2 SEATS IN DOUBT 1 SEAT Fairly Safe 5% PLUS Group B 8.30% Safe 2.5% TO 5% Marginal Under 2.5% Group A 1.36% Group C 0.96% Group F TBA Group G TBA NON-SAKI Marginal Safe Group D (KPJ) 3.37% Group H TBA IN DOUBT Group E TODAY KPJ Kugimiya Party of Japan Whereby 1% represents 1 in 100 voters needed to have changed their minds and voted for the other candidate. The Mackerras pendulum was devised by the Australian psephologist Malcolm Mackerras.
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2012-10-19, 09:41 | Link #1704 |
┌(^o^)┘モリ!┌(^o^)┘モリ!
Join Date: Sep 2010
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1st 293 Louise De La Valliere @ Zero's Familiar
2nd 256 Hinata Hakamada @ Ro-Kyu-Bu! Prediction- Yuu For SAO there's a possibility it'll end up like the YuruYuri faction where only 1 girl dominates, I feel like Saki and Madoka may get the "Lucky Star backlash" because its more like even though they are most likely decently strong next year but a faction that's stronger than Madoka and Saki sounds plausible (who knows there's a chance Suite Prism Nana will be stronger than those 2 if it's elidgible next year.) Last edited by Ichuki; 2012-10-19 at 10:07. |
2012-10-19, 09:50 | Link #1706 |
Sayaka★Magica
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Under the piercing blue sky
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Hmm, so it's a case of going with the veteran over the newcomer. Louise was twice a former Quarterfinalist, so I admit that I had some expectations on her to win the match. This makes it the third time she steps into the QF stage. Will she make it further for her final appearance this time? The third time could be the charm... then again that didn't turn out so well for a lot of other familiar faces. I wonder if her win also affects Shana's chances in some way.
Leaning towards Yuu to win in this match. Now that ahelo reminded me of it, Erica's unsightly fate last year in the Semifinals is giving me a case against Sanya. Needless to say, I'd call Sanya prevailing over Yuu an upset. Also, I like that match poster title - very appropriate. If Yuu was even just a tiny bit related to the Finns, the title would be perfect. Still no pick for this match. I don't like or dislike either girl enough to side with one.
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2012-10-19, 10:46 | Link #1708 | |
Criminal Unrequitor
Graphic Designer
Join Date: Jul 2010
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2007 was the reason why IP bans started. As I explained, things weren't really going the way it's supposed to be with Nagi losing to Rika. The Rozen Maiden faction made a really nice hurrah (with Shinku's Semifinal repeat) while the Nanoha faction had Nanoha herself as the representative again. But 2007 (and 2006), imo, are the 2 most colorful eras in Saimoe history. The variety that 2007 represented (in the top 8) is the thing I've always wanted to see repeated (and it kind of was in 2010). For looking at trends on factions, Saki has been a scary mainstay since 2009 though Hayate used to be what Saki was. In fact for 4 straight years, the Hayate faction managed to sent a representative in the top 8. For the winning factions though: Higurashi never produced a top 8 representative after 2007. Lucky Star stopped also after 2008. K-ON! got crushed in 2011. That's what, 3 factions with very identical dilemmas. The only ones that always stayed strong were Rozen Maiden and Nanoha and those two factions are "legends". In terms of challenging Rozen Maiden and Nanoha for the legendary status though, I'd say the Madoka faction and the Saki faction (if they win this year) have the biggest chance to do this feat. Still though, Nanoha only had 2 characters that are sent to the top 8. Rozen Maiden has Shinku and Suiseiseki (Souseiseki doesn't really count if you know Saimoe's history) though they also have untapped potential like Suigintou (who never really got her Saimoe justice). Lucky Star only has Konata (in 2007) and the Hiiragi sisters. K-ON! had Yui in 2009 and Azunyan in 2010. Madoka sent 4 (would've been 5 for Homuhomu) which, personally, made the competition stale. What about Saki? They're already assured 5 slots (gonna be 6 today) in the quarterfinals. tl;dr Saki (as I see it) will probably not face a backlash next year (Saimoe 2010 already proved that the forgotten summer shows aren't things applocable to the Saki faction) but Madoka might. Also, I think I lost the point of my post. I just got way into the whole Saimoe history digging (which is the reason why it's so fun in the first place).
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2012-10-19, 10:49 | Link #1709 | |
Honya-kun
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Clinton, Maryland
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1. Pretty much make winning franchises from previous Saimoe tournaments ineligible for later tournaments. Yeah, it may upset the Nanoha fans, but the idea is more to teach a lesson over over-domination, as it means that Madoka Magica and Saki (if they do win, with is pretty much going to happen) would not be in next year's tournament, and it would cause fans of "factions" to consider giving other titles a shot, as an over-dominant show will pretty much mean that it won't be another Saimoe tournament if there is another season/OVA/movie. 2. If a show is a threat of being "over-dominant", put the powerhouse characters from that show in the same block. In other words, repeat what happened in Saimoe 2006 when it came to Nanoha, Rozen Maiden, and Haruhi. It's controversial as it takes away the "luck of the draw" for certain shows. On the other hand, it would allow for other shows to have a representative in the quarter-finals, and personally, I'd prefer variety over a huge amount of characters from a show that I don't care about.
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2012-10-19, 10:57 | Link #1710 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
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Louise is the first ever character to reach Elite Eight 3 times. So far, only nine have done so more than once. (Nodoka and Shana can also match her record.)
- Louise (2007, 09, 12) - Sora (2003, 04) - Nanoha (2005, 07) - Shinku (2005, 07) - Tsukasa (2007, 08) - Nagi (2007, 10) - Shana (2006, 10) - Nodoka (2009, 10) - Koromo (2009, 10) |
2012-10-19, 12:52 | Link #1711 |
Gamilas Falls
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Republic of California
Age: 46
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Another problem would be the serious reduction in votes. Either because of voting restrictions or them actually stopping faking from getting through. But the numbers have been on the decline since 2006 and 2007, with 2011 and now 2012 having a hard time getting more than a 1,000 votes outside the finals.
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2012-10-19, 13:04 | Link #1712 | |
┌(^o^)┘モリ!┌(^o^)┘モリ!
Join Date: Sep 2010
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Last edited by Ichuki; 2012-10-19 at 13:44. |
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2012-10-19, 16:22 | Link #1714 | |
=^^=
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: 42° 10' N (Latitude) 87° 33' W (Longitude)
Age: 45
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Re-create these same exact Saimoe rules available to everyone, under the same time frame OR offset scheduling to a later start (like in the fall) to not overshadow the "original Saimoe". Yes, there's ISML; but ISML is completely entirely different based on the ruleset being used. OR Pressure the Saimoe organizers to open things up a little bit, like allowing foreign voting on a limited basis.
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2012-10-19, 16:46 | Link #1716 | |
にこにこにー
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
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2012-10-19, 17:19 | Link #1717 | |
=^^=
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: 42° 10' N (Latitude) 87° 33' W (Longitude)
Age: 45
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2012-10-19, 19:15 | Link #1718 | |
にこにこにー
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
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I've never ran into any problem getting a code at 10:35am ET (2335 Japan Time, the beginning of code reservation). Usually I can still reserves a code around 1pm ET (0200 Japan Time) and as late as 3pm ET (0400 Japan Time). After that? Usually no luck...
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2012-10-19, 22:15 | Link #1719 | |
Honya-kun
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Clinton, Maryland
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2012-10-19, 22:42 | Link #1720 | |
Criminal Unrequitor
Graphic Designer
Join Date: Jul 2010
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I swear though, if they allow foreign voters to vote, things would look really different in this year's Saimoe since the tastes of foreigners in general are slightly different than the Japanese and a small percentage (a bigger one than what we have now) of foreign voters can really make a difference in this tournament where a few votes can really matter. Or just in essence, LET EVERYONE VOTE 2ch. They really need to stop being so gaijinphobic.
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Tags |
2012, anime saimoe tournament, saimoe, tournament |
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