2013-10-20, 11:17 | Link #1822 | |
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How many of these repechage girls have a realistic chance of winning it all this year? Madoka is an obvious case, but after her, it gets pretty debatable. I'd probably say that all-caps Kyouko has something of an outside shot. After Madoka and KYOUKO, it's a few wild long-shots and mostly no-shots-at-all.
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2013-10-20, 11:32 | Link #1826 | |
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I was initially fine with repechage, but I never imagined they'd actually spend two full weeks on this thing. Good grief, even if you're going to go through three loser playoff rounds, why not do a full round a day? At least get it done in three days.
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2013-10-20, 12:13 | Link #1828 | ||
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Join Date: Jul 2013
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--------------------------------------------------------------- About repechage, there are mainly two things I don't like: One is that the selection of characters should be way more strict than now. Only the strongest losers should make it in. With 32 characters you are bound to have a lot of weak ones that are just lucky to be here at all. The other one is that the time it takes to get this done should be reduced to just 3 or 4 days. But the basic idea of having repechage is not bad. Madoka could even go and win the tournament and a few other characters can at least make it to quarterfinals. The format, schedule and character selection should be changed though. |
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2013-10-20, 12:34 | Link #1829 | ||
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But like you said, there's no way it should last any more than 4 days. At this late stage in the tournament, most people will want to focus on those who have a realistic chance of winning it all. My view is that for a repechage girl to have a realistic chance of winning it all, one or both of two things need to apply: 1. The girl lost narrowly and under unusual circumstances (same series-split, sniping, cheating) 2. The girl is from a currently airing anime, and hence could get boosted. Madoka is obviously No. 1. Kyouko Toshino might be No. 1, since there's at least some reason to suspect she might have been sniped, and she did lose narrowly. I don't think No. 1 applies to any other girl in this repechage playoff. I'm also pretty sure that No. 2 doesn't apply to any of the girls in the repechage playoff (well, except Madoka, counting movies), but I stand to be corrected there. If a girl doesn't have 1 or 2 going for her, what reason is there to think she can beat the girl that beat her before? There's none, so unless you get into a really rare rock-paper-scissors scenario (i.e Girl A defeats Girl B who defeats Girl C, but Girl C can actually defeat Girl A) this girl just has no realistic shot of winning it all.
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2013-10-20, 19:00 | Link #1830 | |
にこにこにー
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
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Anyway, for today... R1-3: Pick/Predict: TOSHINO KYOUKO R1-4: Pick/Predict: Uiharu Should be a no contest...
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2013-10-20, 19:10 | Link #1831 | |
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But anyway, if you're right about Kyouko, then that just makes this repechage tournament even less important, as it would mean that the only girl in the entire repechage tournament that has a realistic chance of winning J-SaiMoe 2013 is Madoka. So two whole weeks just to get one more serious championship contender into the Final 16? Yeah, that's wasteful.
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2013-10-20, 19:57 | Link #1832 | |
にこにこにー
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
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Okay, that and Lovely My Angel just b/c she pwned Madoka and Homura
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2013-10-20, 20:10 | Link #1833 | |
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Ironically, I think Tomoka actually has a slight chance against the Madoka girls. She's an underdog to be sure, but it's not unthinkable to me that Tomoka could win it all this year. And it's partly for that reason that I think all-caps Kyouko might have an outside shot. But yeah, I'd say over 50% chance of a Puella Magi winning it all this year.
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2013-10-20, 20:41 | Link #1834 | |
にこにこにー
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
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Yes, I don't mind if Mokkan wins it all, I just don't think she's anywhere close to the MadoMagi girls in terms of strength, especially when this become more and more a repeat of 2011. Unless, of course, they throw the MadoMagi girls together in 1st round...
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2013-10-21, 02:42 | Link #1835 | |
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Join Date: Oct 2012
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Is it true legitimate Saki voters were thrown out too? Last edited by Archaeon; 2013-10-21 at 02:58. |
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2013-10-21, 03:15 | Link #1836 | |
Raindrop Melancholy
Join Date: Jul 2009
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New ruling said that they will remove the votes that they think are suspicious, but they won't reveal which codes those votes have or the criteria they base on to remove them. With this people would naturally suspect that at least some legitimate votes would have been thrown out. Also Nodoka only got 196 votes as the final result in her final match while her 'pre-purged' result was around 350 votes (even my tracker at the time showed that she had over 300 votes) which raised so much questions from the voters. Right after this particular day the vote total in matches dropped dramatically. After all, can you even believe that Nodoka alone can't get at least 250 legitimate votes? Really?
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Last edited by BloodyKitty; 2013-10-21 at 03:57. |
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2013-10-21, 05:53 | Link #1837 | |
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Join Date: Oct 2012
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Nodoka certainly should have done better. She's make it to the semi-final three times in a row before. My concern however is on Toki because if not because of the new rule,she would done better against Mami as she stronger than Yuu. Last edited by Archaeon; 2013-10-21 at 07:45. |
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2013-10-21, 06:13 | Link #1838 |
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Join Date: Jul 2008
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Matches: R1-5 R1-6
Aoi did better on Kuoyko than Chiho did on Kuroneko. I'm not super confident Aoi will win but I'll choose her. Yozora shouldn't have too much trouble in the second match. Votes: Sasaki Chiho Mikazuki Yozora Predictions: Futaba Aoi Mikazuki Yozora
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2013-10-21, 07:14 | Link #1839 |
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Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Hekiyou Gakuen Student Council
Age: 34
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It is kinda sad after new rules but life need go on.
"Caught up in this never changing life I never thought that I did experience moe But it looks like there is no rhyme or reason to how it is strikes Because would not you know i feel in love with saimoe Those precious fleeting days have begun to stir away That once-in-a-lifetime moment and sensation have faded away But in my heart I will always have these feelings and the memory of my first saimoe" Time for miracle...
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2013-10-21, 08:43 | Link #1840 |
Raindrop Melancholy
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Toki's low vote count in her match against Mami was more because of the Saki faction giving up after Nodoka's match rather than that being her actual strength. Or at least that's what I heard from people who claim to know the big factions in this Saimoe better than us here.
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2013, anime saimoe tournament, saimoe, tournament |
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