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Old 2012-10-23, 09:20   Link #1841
Coldlight
Sayaka★Magica
 
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Under the piercing blue sky, in somebody's friendzone
Well, rally around Shana's banner it is, then. Except for Toki and the Matsumi sisters, this has been a rather unfriendly round for newcomers.

But first, I have to undergo the customary cardboard eating ritual after having lost my last favorite bet this year.

Excuse me while I mourn my loss for tonight...
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Old 2012-10-23, 09:22   Link #1842
RJ TAYLER
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: AUSTRALIA
MACKERRAS PENDILUM - FINAL FOR NIGHT

SAIMOE 2012

SAKI 6 SEATS
NON-SAKI 2 SEATS
IN DOUBT NIL

Fairly Safe 5% PLUS
Group E 13.32%
Group F 09.83%
Group B 08.30%

Safe 2.5% TO 5%
NIL

Marginal Under 2.5%
Group G 1.48%
Group A 1.36%
Group C 0.96%

NON-SAKI

Marginal
Group H (KPJ)0.57%
Safe
Group D (KPJ) 3.37%

IN DOUBT
NIL


KPJ Kugimiya Party of Japan

Whereby 1% represents 1 in 100 voters needed to have changed their minds and voted for the other candidate.

The Mackerras pendulum was devised by the Australian psephologist Malcolm Mackerras.
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Last edited by RJ TAYLER; 2012-10-23 at 09:49.
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Old 2012-10-23, 09:22   Link #1843
Wanderer
Goat
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Gnawing away at Rokkenjima
Round 1: Picks (45-43-8), Predictions (69-27)
Round 2: Picks (12-20), Predictions (22-10)
Round 3: Picks (7-9), Predictions (13-3)
Round 4: Picks (4-4), Predictions (6-2)
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Old 2012-10-23, 09:25   Link #1844
hinakatbklyn
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
From a convincing win by Shana to she had to win the final hour to advance to the top 8. I would have given Shana a chance if she won convincingly. Now, I'm not so sure.

Top 8:
Best end = Kuro Matsumi
Good end = Yu Matsumi
Interesting = Louise, Shana
Acceptable = Toki
Saki, Nodoka, Hisa..... (Not really, completed the Achiga series, but only half the original series)
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Old 2012-10-23, 09:29   Link #1845
Ichuki
┌(^o^)┘モリ!┌(^o^)┘モリ!
 
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Top 8

Best End- Shana
Neutral End- Louise
Worst End- Any Saki character
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Old 2012-10-23, 09:31   Link #1846
AP24
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
That was a very close match. Sena was leading until an hour before the match ended, but Shana got a lot of votes during the last hour and ended up winning.

What I predicted since round 3 started came true, the top 8 only have Saki and Rie Kugimiya characters. Though I was hoping there would be more Rie characters in the top 8 but a lot of them got beaten by Saki characters.

We can divide the Saki characters into two smaller groups and so this leaves with 3 groups:

New Saki characters: Yuu, Kuro, Toki. They are the top 3 in terms of characters with the most number of total votes that are still in the tournament.

Old Saki characters: Saki, Nodoka, Hisa. The two main girls and their club president in the original series.

TsundeRie characters: Shana and Louise. Rie Kugimiya's first 2 tsundere characters with their final season ended this year and many other things both characters and series share. They are the only characters (and Nodoka) that have ever reached the top 8 for the 3rd time.

I'm rooting for the TsundeRie faction. This is the final year for Shana and Louise and it will be boring if a Saki character becomes the champion since they occupy 6 of the top 8.
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Old 2012-10-23, 09:45   Link #1847
Hachiko
The Akita
 
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Long Beach, CA
ATTENTION:

The draw is scheduled for 8:30 A.M. PT/11:30 A.M. ET/3:30 P.M. GMT/12:30 A.M. JST.

Spoiler for BGM:
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Old 2012-10-23, 09:58   Link #1848
Aya Reiko
Cutengu
 
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Shameimaru's lap
Images
Sorry; dynamic content not loaded. Reload?


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Old 2012-10-23, 10:12   Link #1849
Hachiko
The Akita
 
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Long Beach, CA
Well. Saki has a 3 in 4 chance to finish the job and a 1 in 4 chance to officially render themselves as an overrated show in terms of moe concerns.
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:15   Link #1850
broken270
Defying gravity
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
263 Shana @ Shakugan No Shana
257 Sena Kashiwazaki @ Boku Wa Tomodachi Ga Sukunai

Predicting what the draws are going to be like:
Spoiler:
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:18   Link #1851
Hachiko
The Akita
 
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Long Beach, CA
I got this:

Spoiler:
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:25   Link #1852
stormtrooper
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Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Saimoe Planet
^Err, yeah good one.
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:27   Link #1853
ahelo
Criminal Unrequitor
*Graphic Designer
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
I'd laugh like hell if another Sakichoke happens. 2 Ries, 6 Sakis . . . how very fun.

Oh well I'm still rooting for Toki to win it all.
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:30   Link #1854
JW1
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: UK
I have some nice, fresh cardboard here that says Shana's chances of winning the tournament are next to none. There's only one contender for the top spot; after Akarin got blown away it became clear there was only ever one contender.

What they're fighting over now is the order of the runners-up.
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:34   Link #1855
hinakatbklyn
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
I'm predicting for the brackets:

Spoiler for Bracket predictions:
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:35   Link #1856
Ichuki
┌(^o^)┘モリ!┌(^o^)┘モリ!
 
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Quote:
Originally Posted by ahelo View Post
I'd laugh like hell if another Sakichoke happens. 2 Ries, 6 Sakis . . . how very fun.

Oh well I'm still rooting for Toki to win it all.
Same here but I'm rooting for Shana though.

Final 8 grouping
01組
シャナ@灼眼のシャナIII -Final-
   対
竹井久@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A (Hisa vs Shana)

02組
松実玄@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A
   対
松実宥@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A (Kuro vs Yuu)

03組
原村和@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A
   対
宮永咲@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A (Saki vs Nodoka)

04組
ルイズ・フランソワーズ・ル・ブラン・ド・ラ・ヴァリエール@ゼロの使い魔F
   対
園城寺怜@咲-Saki- 阿知賀編 episode of side-A (Toki vs Louise)
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Last edited by Ichuki; 2012-10-23 at 10:57.
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:55   Link #1857
Hachiko
The Akita
 
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Long Beach, CA
Hisa/Shana
Kuro/Yuu
Saki/Nodoka
Toki/Louise

The committee wanted big matches, and they got it done.
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Old 2012-10-23, 10:56   Link #1858
stormtrooper
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Saimoe Planet
The matches are confirmed, but the date of the matches...
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Old 2012-10-23, 11:02   Link #1859
Hachiko
The Akita
 
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Long Beach, CA
Odds on the Bedlam now posted.
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Old 2012-10-23, 11:05   Link #1860
RJ TAYLER
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: AUSTRALIA
Well it won't quite be '04 & '08 revisited this time sadly.
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2012, anime saimoe tournament, saimoe, tournament

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