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Arisa and Suzuka found Nanoha and Fate hugging and they made it sound like it happened often, does that count?
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Not really, anymore than if two people had found Nanoha and Yuuno hugging. Hugging is fairly neutral (I hug a lot of friends, male and female, as do most people). Hell, we see an onscreen hug between Nanoha and Fate, but that was when Nanoha was breaking down due to Vivio being kidnapped. Hardly a romantic moment, but more something anyone would do to comfort someone who had just lost a loved one.
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Before I go on, Nanoha and Fate were nine during that scene (I assume you are talking about ssm1)
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You are correct, but it's not odd for characters to recognize love from someone; Nanoha herself recognized the love between her parents in episode 1. Keep in mind, I'm not saying Nanoha has feelings back for him (indeed, she seems rather clueless in this regard), just that we have evidence of actual feelings that Yuuno has. Of course, it can be argued he might have grown out of them, but then we have StrikerS, both SSM StrikerS, and the show. In the former, Fate and Hayate tease Nanoha about Nanoha's relationship with Yuuno, and in the latter, we see Fate hand Yuuno off to Nanoha.
Oh, and there's also Amy's two scenes, one in the A's epilogue, and one in the A's manga, where she makes observations of Yuuno's feelings. So even if we were to disregard SSM1 because of age, then that rationale falls away when it happens at 15 (and 19).
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Pardon me if I don't share your views on this. There was no development or emphasis; they just had the teasing Nanoha and Fate did and the next thing, marriage. They were not shown having the boyfriend-girlfriend stage which I find is when the development comes in.
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I suppose this is a difference between us, then. I've read a lot of books and watched a lot of series, both anime and not, where certain relationships have been in the background. They weren't the emphasis, and not much time was spent on them, but they were no less valid. If you try to focus on and develop the relationships of every secondary and background character, your narrative will fall into a black hole.
And I think we have some agreement here; if you are worried people on AS, or me in particular, aren't accepting of NanoFate, you'd be incorrect. In fact, we do have fans of NF here, and as I've said, I don't mind the couple. I think we're talking past each other a bit, because I will agree NF is a fairly strong possibility. I just also happen to believe that NY is also a fairly strong possibility.
When we talk about Tsuzuki trolling us, this is what we mean. He is deliberately including vague subtext that can be read either way (with regards to both Fate and Yuuno), but refusing to make anything canon. There are some reasons for this; it's highly speculated that he had planned Nanoha/Yuuno (since Nanoha/Chrono was canon in Triangle Hearts), but once he saw the fanbase lap up Fate, he knew it would kill his series if he went ahead with that, so he gave the fanbase more Fate. The other reason is that, generally speaking, once you pair up main characters, your series tends to lose viewership. Even the direction he went in StrikerS with Nanoha and Fate being mamas to Vivio, caused viewership to drop (hence why it lost a chance at a fourth anime season). So writers tend to hold off the relationship until the very end, if they do it at all. The exception is explicitly romantic anime/manga, where you know the two will get together (and even then, them getting together is usually the end of it).
So yeah, I'll say there are plenty of grey areas. If you're trying to convince me NF rightly has a place in that grey area, I'd agree. I suppose me (and people like Rising Dragon tried to tell you), is that AS is different than all other Nanoha forums, in that we don't like gray areas shoved down our throats as canon. There are NF people here who understand that, though, and we get along great with them (I'm friends with several NF people, who enjoy both my NF fics and non-NF fics).
Last note: this kinda started over the transcript of Nana and Yukari's interview, which you really can't treat as 100% truth, because they turn around and play it differently in the fourth-wall-breaking Megami sound stages. Which is why I made my initial comment about them.