The Internet
In just over (spans of) short years, the Internet developed drastically. Any future speculations about its development?
Btw, if anybody has a "timeline of the history of the Internet", kindly show me. Thanks. |
Here's a video about it |
^ Nice documentary short about the origins of the Internet.
There are plenty of articles in books and on the Web that provide details about the Internet's development over the years. However, as someone who belongs to the generation that is old enough to remember the days before the World Wide Web while not being too old to grow up comfortably with its innovations, the history of network technologies becomes a little bit more personal. For me, the milestones in the "history" of the Internet (and related economic events as well as developments in the PC and gaming industries) from the 1990s till today include: ~ 1995?
~ 1997
~ 2000
~ 2001-03?
~ 2005
~ 2006-07?
2008
-------- All the above are very rough notes. I certainly haven't backed them up with research. But I do use it as a sort of framework when I need to get perspective on the latest developments in the field. It's shocking, sometimes, to realise that the present ecology of the Internet didn't exist a mere 10+ years ago. An entire generation of kids today don't even remember a time when there was no Wikipedia. In the immediate future, I think we'll begin to see "cloud computing" become an increasing reality. Applications are likely to start moving away from standalone PCs and into servers on the Internet. Quite likely, your browser will become your operating system, depending on how the tussle between Google and Microsoft works out. Other things are not as easy to predict. Five to eight years ago, I couldn't have forseen the proliferation of social-networking sites, for example. In fact, when this forum adopted the latest changes incorporating social-networking features, a number of us felt uncomfortable with them. Nonetheless, they have become a hit with a vast majority of our members. Lesson learnt? Who knows how the Internet will look in three years' time, let alone five or more? |
i think the biggest thing is going to be "pervasiveness" in the near future. No one will any longer say "I'm going onto the Net" ... every communication device will in some way be net-enabled and many other appliances. People will often be unaware they're 'using the Internet'.
The biggest *obstacles* to pervasiveness are the broken business models both "the tubes" (telcos) and major content providers (studios, etc) keep trying to hogtie the system with. The idea that any connection goes two ways (create and consume content) scares the hell out of the 'entertainment gatekeepers'. The telcos are thrashing about as they sidestep best practices in a balkanized mess of short-vision business decisions. The US, in particular, is in danger of its corporate-ocracy driving the country into a permanent 'last place' while the rest of the techno-nations lunge into the 21st century. Looking at the ass-backward cost packaging of the communication options of my cellphone, for example, compels me to leave most of the features off that I might otherwise use. ((I define any business that isn't customer-centered as 'broken, which means most large corporations fail :) )) Sidenote: I'm watching Charlie Rose interview our new Homeland Security chief..... okay, *I'm* almost 52 and *I* cringe when I hear people say "cyber-this" and "cyber-that". I've concluded that most people who use the term "cyber-" are hopelessly behind the curve. "Tubes", ya know. |
As much as I hate to say it, I have a feeling there will be an increased trend in purchasing items via the internet. Ebooks and/or streaming programs will likely become more commonplace as newer generations are so fixated to instant gratification. As such, vying for faster speeds will continue to be an issue. Internet piracy will continue to run rampant, and social networking will continue to merge with conventional communication techniques until it becomes commonplace.
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Cloud computing seems to be on the way. I saw a research project (recently the guy published a paper) about a secure way to perform computation on encrypted files, which makes cloud computing a lot more reliable.
Maybe a "community cloud" can be made, sort of a generalized Folding@Home so that we have "Everything@Home"? People can sign up to contribute for whatever project they wish from a list of tasks that universities and small companies need help with processing. I guess it's a rather socialistic answer to Amazon's cloud. Mobile internet, on the other hand, I have no clue. It keeps on surprising me. I dream of seeing augmented reality ala Eden of the East and Denno Coil someday. |
Here is a video about the future of the internet by Kevin Kelly.
http://www.ted.com/talks/kevin_kelly...f_the_web.html |
I would personally like to see the development of Michiko-san in real life - ghost data capable of (semi-)intelligent actions as a result of improved search capability and smarter choices by machines.
Realistically, physical limitations will hamper the growth of the internet in a way that will rework the current system of information and data transfer, resulting in a reworking of the current business model in many areas, from infrastructure to the consumer end. And beyond that? No idea. |
Ted Stevens, Ex-Alaska Senator on Net Neutrality (2006)
This is how internet is referred to tubes... The size of the tubes represent how much bandwidth a connection have depending on the tube's diameter. His misunderstanding on net neutrality caused people to ridicule him for the misunderstanding of how the internet works. Net neutrality was a big issue in 2006 when congress tried to pass it, but was shot down until recently when the change of administration happened early this year which brought up net neutrality once again. Net Neutrality is a hot button issue right now, ever since AT&T temporarily blocked 4chan and is currently considered by the FCC to enforce net neutrality, which will prevent any ISP from censoring or impair access to any website. |
The internet is the only place where nerds can bully those jocks and preps. Just look who inhabits in the "sewers of the internet" like 4chan, Uncyclopedia and Encyclopaedia Dramatica.
At least the jocks and preps can give them 'swirlie' at real-life back. The only cool thing about internet is anime and video game info/reviews. I'm not into politics either. |
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and yes 4chan is prob the best invention on the internet ever :heh: |
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I wouldn't be surprised if asian countries will be winners of the online world, since Japan is leading in the online access quality and the developing countries shouldn't be in no hurry to block access to free content. (And I mean both free and freedom.) |
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Hmm. Quite a few Japanese websites also has a tendency to ban non-Japanese IPs from using them. I wouldn't call that a free and borderless internet. Japanese corporations are also awfully powerful, even more so than in the USA. Still, my bet is with the geeks. It's our natural habitat and we won't give up that easily! Screw the law we are anonymous! |
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In the future, there will be another problem with the internet come 2011, the lack of IPv4 addresses. IPv4 addresses uses 4 groups of 3 digits (e.g. 192.168.1.1) which allows up to 4,294,967,296 possible addresses which someday can be all used up. The transition to IPv6 addresses allows more possible addresses with more groups and the use of hexadecimals, meaning letters can now be used in the addresses. Each group can have up to 4 hexadecimals. IPv6 also have newer technical features than IPv4. IPv6 is supported in the most recent OSes (e.g.: Mac OS X, Vista, Linux)
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My speculation is the Internet (and the technology behind it) will reshape the general human and computer interaction. As you can see today, RIA (rich internet application) is getting closer to desktop application for "attractiveness" and performance. And with HTML5, looks like it's possible to create a "Crysis 3 on Firefox".
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