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International Saimoe League 2009
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2009-04-24, 20:53
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Team Rocket Elite
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Prediction and votes:
Spoiler
for
My predictions for Topaz 6
:
Hinamori Amu (SC) [48.84%] vs
Nagi (KNG) [51.16%]
Chii (CH) [43.36%] vs
Furude Hanyū (HNKN) [56.64%]
Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) [38.27%] vs
Konjiki no Yami (TLR) [61.73%]
Minase Nayuki (KN) [54.7%]
vs Misaka Shiori (KN) [45.3%]
Patchouli Knowledge (TMK) [40.33%] vs
Vita (MSLN) [59.67%]
Louise Vallière (ZnT) [60.17%]
vs Kawazoe Tamaki (BB) [39.83%]
Anya Alstreim (CG) [40.45%] vs
Maria (HnG) [59.55%]
Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG) [42.99%] vs
Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) [57.01%]
Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) [52.56%]
vs Kawashima Ami (TD) [47.44%]
Kōzuki Kallen (CG) [46.05%] vs
Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [53.95%]
Furukawa Nagisa (CL) [44.87%] vs
Shana (SnS) [55.13%]
Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) [63.79%]
vs Suiseiseki (RM) [36.21%]
Alice Carroll (ARIA) [32.41%] vs
Aisaka Taiga (TD) [67.59%]
Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) [48.19%] vs
Ryūgū Rena (HNKN) [51.81%]
Kawasumi Mai (KN) [59.33%]
vs Kirisame Marisa (TMK) [40.67%]
Yagami Hayate (MSLN) [35.63%] vs
Saber (FSN) [64.37%]
Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) [58.78%]
vs Index Prohibitorum (TAMI) [41.22%]
Shameimaru Aya (TMK) [36.92%] vs
Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [63.08%]
Furude Rika (HNKN) [48.34%] vs
Holo (OtK) [51.66%]
C.C. (CG) [50.76%]
vs Izumi Konata (LS) [49.24%]
Shinku (RM) [58.47%]
vs Evangeline McDowell (NG) [41.53%]
Ichinose Kotomi (CL) [48.12%] vs
Katsura Hinagiku (HnG) [51.88%]
Sunohara Mei (CL) [55.62%]
vs Kurata Sayuri (KN) [44.38%]
Chiba Kirino (BB) [40.91%] vs
Kamio Misuzu (AIR) [59.09%]
Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN) [65.65%]
vs Mizunashi Akari (ARIA) [34.35%]
Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) [58.45%]
vs Suigintou (RM) [41.55%]
Sawatari Makoto (KN) [50.1%]
vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [49.9%]
Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD) [32.83%] vs
Kushieda Minori (TD) [67.17%]
Nagato Yuki (SHnY) [56.18%]
vs Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN) [43.82%]
Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [41.33%] vs
Ibuki Fūko (CL) [58.67%]
Hiiragi Kagami (LS) [54%]
vs Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [46%]
Fate Testarossa (MSLN) [55.93%]
vs Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) [44.07%]
Spoiler
for
Comparison to KholdStare88's predictions
:
Our three largest disagreements:
TRE: Sawatari Makoto (KN) [50.1%]
vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [49.9%]
KS: ARENA 27 -
Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) 56.53%
>
Sawatari Makoto (KN) 43.47%
Difference: 6.63
TRE: Sunohara Mei (CL) [55.62%]
vs Kurata Sayuri (KN) [44.38%]
KS: ARENA 23 -
Kurata Sayuri (KN) 50.86%
>
Sunohara Mei (CL) 49.14%
Difference: 6.48
TRE:
Hinamori Amu (SC) [48.84%] vs
Nagi (KNG) [51.16%]
KS: ARENA 01 -
Hinamori Amu (SC) 55.04%
>
Nagi (KNG) 44.96%
Difference: 6.2
I don't have much faith in my stat's prediction of Makoto vs Yuuhi. Makoto was SFF'd last round but Yuuhi underperformed against Rika. I think KS's stats are predicting a win by Yuuhi but a bit too much but Yuuhi winning can defintely happen.
KS mentioned that he thinks Mei will win the match even though his stats call for Sayuri to win. It's a Key SFF match so whoever wins will likely win by a fair margin. Although my stats call for a fairly clear Mei victory, I don't think Sayuri can be counted out yet.
I don't have much faith in Amu. I don't really have much faith in Nagi either. Amu has shown to be weak since the start of the main bracket. I don't think there are any characters should could clearly beat. She might beat Nagi, but I can't see it by much.
In terms of winners we also disagreed on:
TRE:
Ichinose Kotomi (CL) [48.12%] vs
Katsura Hinagiku (HnG) [51.88%]
KS: ARENA 22 -
Katsura Hinagiku (HnG) 49.80%
<
Ichinose Kotomi (CL) 50.20%
I'm hesitant to bet on Kotomi. I've had a feeling I'd be really disappointed with her performance in Topaz for a while now. I love Hinagiku, but I'd absolutely love it if KS is right about Kotomi winning.
Continuing the trend of identical predictions:
TRE:
Shameimaru Aya (TMK) [36.92%] vs
Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [63.08%]
KS: ARENA 18 -
Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) 63.08%
>
Shameimaru Aya (TMK) 36.92%
Difference: 0.00
We perfectly agreed on another match.
Spoiler
for
Votes
:
Hinamori Amu (SC)
vs Nagi (KNG)
Chii (CH) vs
Furude Hanyū (HNKN)
Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) vs
Konjiki no Yami (TLR)
Minase Nayuki (KN) vs
Misaka Shiori (KN)
Patchouli Knowledge (TMK)
vs Vita (MSLN)
Louise Vallière (ZnT) vs
Kawazoe Tamaki (BB)
Anya Alstreim (CG)
vs Maria (HnG)
Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG) vs
Sakagami Tomoyo (CL)
Asahina Mikuru (SHnY)
vs Kawashima Ami (TD)
Kōzuki Kallen (CG) vs
Remilia Scarlet (TMK)
Furukawa Nagisa (CL) vs
Shana (SnS)
Fujibayashi Kyō (CL)
vs Suiseiseki (RM)
Alice Carroll (ARIA)
vs Aisaka Taiga (TD)
Kinomoto Sakura (CCS)
vs Ryūgū Rena (HNKN)
Kawasumi Mai (KN)
vs Kirisame Marisa (TMK)
Yagami Hayate (MSLN)
vs Saber (FSN)
Tsukimiya Ayu (KN)
vs Index Prohibitorum (TAMI)
Shameimaru Aya (TMK)
vs Misaka Mikoto (TAMI)
Furude Rika (HNKN)
vs Holo (OtK)
C.C. (CG) vs
Izumi Konata (LS)
Shinku (RM)
vs Evangeline McDowell (NG)
Ichinose Kotomi (CL)
vs Katsura Hinagiku (HnG)
Sunohara Mei (CL)
vs Kurata Sayuri (KN)
Chiba Kirino (BB) vs
Kamio Misuzu (AIR)
Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN) vs
Mizunashi Akari (ARIA)
Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY)
vs Suigintou (RM)
Sawatari Makoto (KN)
vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS)
Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD)
vs Kushieda Minori (TD)
Nagato Yuki (SHnY)
vs Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN)
Hakurei Reimu (TMK)
vs Ibuki Fūko (CL)
Hiiragi Kagami (LS)
vs Tōsaka Rin (FSN)
Fate Testarossa (MSLN)
vs Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS)
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