I think the author did alright by Holmes. He made up for his mistake last week by managing to unmask Lupin and had a (very simple) contingency in place in case the box was stolen. Too bad he gave the game away too soon, but pride and arrogance are part of Holmes' character.
Aya used the same trick as in the Goemon inspired Rakugo story and put herself inside the box that was to be stolen. I understood as Tsugaru was telling the story, but I wouldn't have been able to predict it last week. Or the week before that when she first mentioned Goemon.
Things got heated as Moriarty and his henchmen crashed the party. We have Shizuku vs Carmilla, Holmes vs Crowley, Doubledarts vs Phantom, and finally Lupin, Royce guy, and Tsugaru are fighting each other for the diamond. No doubt Jack will end up fighting Tsugaru, it's even in the OP.
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