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At first glance I'd say 4000 votes is around what you're looking for to be a contender for SE at the end of the year. All the characters that got over 4k were in last year's knockout round. No newcomers broke that barrier although Yuri of Angel Beats came close. I'm curious to see if at least one of Kirino/Kuroneko/Kanade hits that mark in the next prelim.
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