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Originally Posted by Klashikari
not exactly. Rina always goes around Mr Ryuuguu. However, she is kinda too greedy and target several guys at the same time.
In some scenario, Rina made a very bad mistake and hit on Yakuza. Of course, the aftermath is what you saw in this episode, leading her to her demise. This is the trigger of "Houjou Teppei returns back home". (and before you ask, NO it is NOT the sonozaki, they are other yakuza)
Otherwise, if that doesn't happen, Rina and Teppei still pimp money.
after that, tsumihoroboshi CAN happen if Rena is too tense and/or she discovered what Rina is truely plotting with her father.
If Rina doesn't die, that doesn't mean it will be tsumihoroboshi. But until Rena complains to her Father, the later is under the full charm of Rina, and doesn't suspect anything.
Rina is a canon part of the past, and She and Mr Ryuuguu know each other way before the current present.
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Minagoroshi-hen: Can't remember if they explained in the anime, but recall that Rena sucessfully drove off Rina, by taking over his father's money (a stratergy came up by Mion, after they did some talking). Rina basically went away, since there's no money to get from Rena's father, and the tragerdy that triggers Tsumihoroboshi-hen was adverted.
Later on, we see that Rina is found by Yakuza guys, for screwing around too much. Recall the tattoo that Rina has, and we know that the corpse that was shown in the beginning of Tatarigoroshi-hen is indeed hers. From Tatarigoroshi-hen and Tsumihoroboshi-hen, we can deduce that once Rina is dead, Teppei would lose his source of income, and is forced to go back to Hinamizawa.
Teppei and Rina doesn't always shows up in Hinamizawa, and doesn't always target Rena's father. We do have other arcs, after all.
Final note: I am not 100% sure, but I think those Yakuza that shows up and kills Rina DOES belong to the Sonozaki family. During that scene in the game, Kasai shows up and does the talking instead.
