[luckyssol]

Originally Posted by LyricalAura

However, I think the story is practically shouting at this point that you shouldn't assume the worst of people in the absence of data.

I think so as well. More evidence came in episode 7 when Rudolf shed tears while speaking with his brother about Asumu’s death. He did feel guilt for cheating on her.

Spoiler for Episode 7:

「…………明日夢さんは気の毒だったが、……生まれてくる子を考えれば、これは偶然のタイミングだったかも しれんね。」
Krauss: Asumu was unfortunate but if you consider the child that was born this was probably chance timing.

「まるで明日夢が、……それを知って、自分から舞台を降りたかのようだ。………俺が明日夢を殺したのか…？ ………だとしたら俺は、……いつから殺してたんだろうな…。」
Rudolf: It’s as though Asumu knew it and got off the stage from me. ...Did I kill Asumu? If that’s the case how long have I been killing her?

「明日夢さんを大事に思う気持ちがまだあるなら。……何年かけてでも、戦人くんと復縁したまえ 。」
「………あぁ。……わかってる。」
Krauss: If you still have important feelings for Asumu even if it takes many years, reconcile with Battler-kun.
Rudolf: Yea. I got it.

「そして、霧江さんと、生まれてくる子にも、等しい愛情を注ぎなさい。……明日夢さんの十字架を、背負いな がらね。」
Krauss: And with Kyrie pour the same amount of affection to the child that was born as well. While shouldering Asumu’s cross.

「…………………………。………もし、地獄にもリザーブってヤツがあるんなら。」
「……ん？」
Rudolf: If there is a guy in hell who reserves it...
Krauss: hm?

「特上の席を、俺にひとつ、……取っておいて欲しいもんだぜ……。」
「………………………。」
Rudolf: It’s one special seat I want set aside for me.
Krauss: ...

Originally Posted by LyricalAura

Sometimes tragic things happen that are just accidents.

I think that is very close to the final truth that will be revealed in the end.

Then again, to what extent do Van Dine’s rules apply? If they apply to the story as a whole there’s rule number 12 to consider.