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While I agree that Ryu is clearly leading towards Shkanontrice, I don't see how it explains all that much.
Take Episode 1:
Hypothesis A: Shkanontrice did it
Hypothesis B: Kanon did it
The first twilight:
A: Shkanon killed the victims (except Shannon) and locked them in the shed. S/he somehow convinced Hideyoshi to lie.
B: Kanon killed all the victims and locked them in the shed.
The second twilight:
A: Shkanon took the wire cutters, cut through the chain, and murdered Eva & Hideyoshi. S/he convinced Genji (possibly also Kumasawa) to lie and say that the chain was still on when they arrived.
B: Kanon took the wire cutters, cut through the chain, and murdered Eva & Hideyoshi. S/he convinced Genji (possibly also Kumasawa) to lie and say that the chain was still on when they arrived.
The fourth twilight:
A,B: Natsuhi and some of the servants had placed Kinzo in the burner the night before or early that morning. (Possibly when Natsuhi was talking with "Kinzo", she threw his body down to Genji in the courtyard.)
The fifth twilight:
A: Shkanon was faking. Nanjo lied.
B: Kanon was faking. Nanjo lied.
The sixth, seventh, and eighth twilights:
A: Shkanon entered the parlor with his/her master key, told Maria to face the wall, and shot G/K/N.
B: Kanon did exactly the same thing.
The ninth twilight:
A: Shkanon shot Natsuhi.
B: Kanon shot Natsuhi.
In short, Shkanon doesn't explain anything better than Kanon, and has a few problems (requires Hideyoshi's assistance in this episodes, and requires forcing the red in some of the other episodes).
Episode 2 can be explained with "Shannon did it" that works at least as well as "Shkanon did it"; "Rosa / Gohda" did it also explains everything nicely. (Gohda is Maria's father. She told Gohda that Krauss was looking for a chef partly out of compassion, and partly to get a spy on Krauss. She removed the key from Maria's envelope a little after midnight. Gohda killed Nanjo and Kumasawa (later than they said), plus Shannon and George, but either George got a good wound in during the fight, or else Gohda tripped and landed on the stake.)
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