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Let me just say that from what I've been able to read of Surprise, it was well worth the wait.
OK, I have a few speculations that relate the novels and the future of the Haruhi series.
1. Volume 12 will be another short to medium length story collection. Volumes 9, 10 and 11 were all one huge story, and I believe Tanigawa-sensei may want to give us a breather and/or some more character development before the next big story arc.
2. The slider that Kyon is waiting for will either be an alternate version of himself(like Kyonko) or a significantly less powerful alternate version of Haruhi that may or not be older than him(as in around Asahina(Big)'s age).
3. Koizumi will get his "turn in the spotlight" story arc and in that we'll learn a lot more about his backstory. We will probably also learn more about Mori and possibly more about Tsuruya too.
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