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No specific details on how any of the events on 1983 toke place where given to us.
None except one.
Furude Rika - "this day, on June 1983.. or perhaps a few days after... I will be killed."
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That's not true, Ooishi describes Rika's death in detail. Apparently she was killed in pretty much the same way as in Tatarigoroshi-hen.
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Maebara Keiichi - Status : Dead.
Passed away at the hospital. Cause of death: chronic and acute heart failure.
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You sure about that or this is a conjecture? We don't see what happens with Keiichi apart from witnessing him being attacked by an angry psycho twin, most likely in his imagination.
The explanation you are putting forward does seem the most obvious...and that's exactly why I don't buy it.
Looking at the deaths alone, we might try with other guesses - let's say Onibaba staying alive - gas disaster (assuming it happens in Onikakushi). Or Shion dying - no disaster.