Birdway said that Aleister is simply observing the situation since his plans have been shattered with all the recent events such as WWII and Fiamma's discovery of IB's true identity. Aleister is trying to figure out how to handle the situation to get his plans back on track.
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During World War III and in your contact with Fiamma of the Right, a major deviation occurred in your plan centered on Kamijou Touma. You are trying to correct that, but you do not know in what direction to apply power to in order to bring things back to normalcy. Unless you can unravel all the conditions that are so complexly intertwined, you cannot take any real action. That is why you did not drag Kamijou out of the Arctic Ocean despite knowing he was sinking into it and that is why you took no action to secure him despite knowing that he had returned to Academy City.
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