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Old 2012-07-06, 12:18   Link #79
Wanderer
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Gnawing away at Rokkenjima
Happy Saimoe 2012 everyone. Many familiar faces. It looks like it will be an interesting year compared to last years Madoka thrashing.

And this year I will be in Japan... meaning I should be able to vote! Muahaha.

So what characters and series to watch this year? It's quite an open field and very difficult to predict. Even the most promising series' could realistically be shut out from the top 8!

-Saki- is back, with even more characters. They'll be all over the place for the first few rounds, but most of the -Saki- horde will drop once they hit any real competition. Saki, Nodoka, Koromo and Toki, (and maybe one or two other new characters) have the potential to go pretty deep. I expect one or two Saki girls in the top 8. (I'm secretly hoping for Subara' to win it all)

Estimated top 8 power: 1.6

IDOLM@STER is the other series to throw a truckload of contenders into the mix. I believe Miki will do well, but beyond that I really don't know who's got it in them to go deep in such a frantic field. Again, 1 or 2 in the top 8.

Estimated top 8 power: 1.5

Nisemonogatari has legitimate potential. The returning stars of Hitagi and Nadeko are definitely factors, but the two sisters will probably do even better. There's a decent chance of this series landing a girl, or maybe even 2, in the top 8.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.6

Boku wa Tomodachi ga Sukunai will have a decent showing from Yozora and Sena, but I wouldn't be surprised if Kobato turns out to be the show's ace. I'd say it's a 50/50 whether someone from this series makes top 8.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.5

Shana is back! Unfortunately, I don't think this will be her year. The AST community which once displayed deep loyalty to characters over the years nowadays seems to be all about what's new. Even with the boost from Shana's finale, I don't see her going the distance. Then again, it's probably her last year, which could draw some extra support.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.4

Mouretsu Pirates I think will have an impact. Each of the two main girls has their own shot at the top 8. (I haven't finished the show yet- only to EP10 or so)

Estimated top 8 power: 0.4

Ika-Musume was the same lovable squiddy this year as she was last. She may have lost a little power since she's not so squiddly fresh this year, but she's still got a good shot to land a tentacle in the top 8.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.4

Kamisama no Memochou gives us Alice. She's certainly got some of the most popular moe traits of the day and has a decent shot at the top 8. Her weak point is the less than stellar series she's from.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.3

The once powerful Hayate no Gotoku is at a lull. Saimoe knows the characters so well now that they just won't get excited about them over that mediocre movie, even with the new season being announced. They should be stronger next year. We can only hope.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.2

Working!! had a surprisingly good second season (a little better than the first, even). We'll see how well that translates into Saimoe power. Poplar or Yamada might make a mark this year. Top 8 chances are pretty slim, though.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.2

Milky Holmes was a bit of a surprise last year. I didn't watch the second season, but I still think a top 8 isn't out of the question.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.2

Rin from Usagi Drop is adorable. She should make the top 8 IMO, but I'd say the actual chances aren't very high.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.1

The impact of the unconventional Mawaru Penguindrum is difficult to anticipate. Ringo and Himari (and possessed Himari- if they define them as separate characters) might get somewhere, but it'll be tough.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.1

Mirai Nikki has one solid contender, Yuno. I don't think she'll even make the top 8, but I'm interested to see how well the pink-haired Yandere manages nonetheless.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.1

Nichijou will do it's best.

Estimated top 8 power: 0.1

I watched the whole first season of Kore wa Zombie Desu ka? but wish I didn't. The series didn't do too well last year and I suspect won't this year either.

Estimated top 8 power: >0.1

K-On!! has been abandoned. We won't see much from the light music club this year either.

Estimated top 8 power: >0.1

Fate/Zero won't be a big factor, unfortunately. Chibi Rin, Sakura, and Illya didn't have big enough parts, and the adults were just too... adult.

Estimated top 8 power: >0.1

There are a few possible contender series that I dropped early on or never watched but know something from. The list includes Haiyore! Nyaruko-san, Zero no Tsukaima, Yuru-Yuri, Kyoukai Senjou no Horizon, MajiKoi, Guilty Crown, Last Exile, Rinne no Lagrange, and Black Rock Shooter.

So, yeah. I wonder why I like to waste my time on analysis like that. I only half understand the Japanese otaku mind in the first place
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