Quote:
Originally Posted by flying ^
NOT SO FAST !!!
New computer simulation model from University of Colorado predicts a Romney SMACK DOWN over B. Hussein 0bama in all key swing-states (except Colorado)
... even that flamming lib-tard Michael Moore concedes to Romney! 
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I prefer using
538's Poll aggregation and it's still showing President Obama with a slight lead in the Popular Vote.
As for actual statistical simulation models:
Quote:
Scenario Analysis
How often the following situations occurred during repeated simulated elections.
Electoral College tie (269 electoral votes for each candidate) 0.3%
Recount (one or more decisive states within 0.5 percentage points) 6.5%
Obama wins popular vote 69.0%
Romney wins popular vote 31.0%
Obama wins popular vote but loses electoral college 1.8%
Romney wins popular vote but loses electoral college 3.1%
Obama landslide (double-digit popular vote margin) 6.7%
Romney landslide (double-digit popular vote margin) 1.0%
Map exactly the same as in 2008 1.3%
Map exactly the same as in 2004 <0.1%
Obama loses at least one state he carried in 2008 92.6%
Obama wins at least one state he failed to carry in 2008 19.0%
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Although Electorally it all comes down to Ohio and Virginia. Seriously the Electoral College System is very archaic IMO. Unless it becomes Proportional in distributing delegates instead of "Winner take all" it's bad for citizens in general due to the "Safe States" effect.