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Old 2012-12-10, 09:43   Link #167
ArchmageXin
Master of Coin
 
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Bo Xi Lai's coup is grossly overstated. He had no real control over the military, and had power through mostly the old-boys prince network. The fact his take down was utterly complete meant he really didn't have the literal power as some classic "strongmen" have.

As for the other "worrying trends" you cited, well, everyone thought China was going to fall apart when Mao died. It didn't, Deng died (well portrayed in Tom Clancy novels), it didn't.

Heck, one could say the U.S Fiscal cliff show down is a lot more dangerous than the current Chinese change.

Even if Chinese government does collapse, neighbors shouldn't worry too much other than loss of economic consumption. After all, in 5000 years of chinese history, there was never a case where the central government fell apart and neighbors suffer. Because the chinese would be busy shooting each other.
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