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A somewhat logical disconnect...could the mastermind only be responsible for the First Twilight in every game? Everything that happens afterwards in done by various people, and then whatever happens at Midnight of October 5th/6th is either the handywork of the mastermind, or an absolute event that cannot be stopped...only avoided.
That would in some ways follow the Higurashi logic of the plot. Event X is done by the mastermind. All other events are caused by the main characters, than the "clean up" is caused again by the mastermind/natural disaster.
Also, if the First Twilight was caused by the mastermind (assuming the mastermind isn't instead responcible for Kinzo's death and nothing else), what is the objective? Ep3 has Eva survive. One assumes the objective of the mastermind failed or the mastermind was killed early in the game. The mastermind sets events in motion, lets them play out, and then kills everyone that's left at a certain time...making things appear like witches did it with magic. The problem is the letters in the bottles. What is the goal of the letters in a bottle? They spell out the mystery on some level that involves witches and magic, but also asks someone to find the truth of what happened...meaning to prove what really did happen. And it is signed by "Maria", not "Beatrice"...even though it is in "Beatrice's" handwritting. If the witch wanted to make people believe she existed...wouldn't she sign it "Beatrice the Golden" and gloat about what she did? That sounds more like Beatrice.
Also the finding of the gold doesn't seem to stop the First Twilight. If the mastermind is "Beatrice", whom wants the gold found, then there should have been no murders once the gold was found. Similar logic suggests that in Ep3, after Eva and Rosa find the gold, there should be no more murders, but "Beatrice" resigns her title and Eva-Beatrice starts murdering people. Logically, "Beatrice" will not kill anyone if the gold is found...and quite possibly never killed anyone willingly (self-defense perhaps). Thus someone else is behind the murders. Not "Beatrice"
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