I think Kirino is weaker then people are assuming. People don't just hate her series, people who liked the series hated her. Louise is the closest comparison, but even Louise doesn't come close to the hatedom that Kirino has. (And Louise had positive spillover from Shana).
She has probably 1/4 of the voters already backing her no matter what. (Based on her nomination totals)
But I'd guess she also has 1/4 of the voters dedicated to opposing her. (Based on my guesstimate, rounding down).
The current format will work in her favor though, particularly if it's not clear which of her opponents is the one to rally behind. She'll probably make it to the regular season, but once she's there I think she'll struggle.
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Cross Game - A Story of Love, Life, Death - and Baseball. What more could you want?
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