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Old 2013-02-15, 17:55   Link #26560
Anh_Minh
I disagree with you all.
 
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Quote:
Originally Posted by kyp275 View Post
@Don

The irrelevancy of made up numbers aside, I'm confused as to how you calculated those numbers. If you assume that there is a 99% chance of someone making a good positive ID vs. a 1% chance of making a false ID, how the heck do you come out with a result that says you're hundreds of times more likely to falsely ID someone?
The short answer is that you've got a lot more occasions for confusing your roommate for a home invader than vice-versa, because your roommate is around all the time while you may never see a home invader.

Sorry, Don, but by treating false positives and false negatives like they're the same event, you've made your explanation more confusing.
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