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Depends enirely if change will happen, or even happen in time (before it is too late). Some say it is already too late. Other think change will happen without conflict (somehow I doubt it if the corperations that runs things try to protect their old black gold cash cow to the last drop before starting to think of something new). It is likely that there will be a conflict at some point over all this (assuming the larger 'War on Terror" isn't it already).
Our species don't seem to like to change unless presented with adversity. Nearly all the models of a future society were our species more or less gets along with itself and the lines between coutries almost vanish are the result of us nearly killing ourselves off in a third (or even fourth) World War. Or sometimes just the result of a "minor" nuclear exchange, say between India and Pakistan and maybe China. The "near death" of the species seems to be the only thing that gets us to stop trying to kill each other off (somewhat like what happened to Europe after two world wars).
Hopefully, those in power (politicians, beauracrats, and CEOs) will shift things on their own without too much of a problem. Or the CEOs might shift their cash cow to the new power source around the time oil's prices become "too high" and keep the new source at around the price oil was at a few years before oil became unbareabley expensive. For profit.
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