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Old 2004-11-29, 00:51   Link #18
kj1980
Gomen asobase desuwa!
 
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Age: 43
Quote:
Originally Posted by guest
Wow...that IS low. Thanks. But why? We got the second season. I though it was because the first season got good rating. Why the change?
However, the pace for the second season is significantly slower than the first one.
Now let's reason with this analytically why even an anime with such a low rating may have a good chance of doing another season:

The supposed census of Japan is 160,000,000 persons.
The supposed viewer rating for "Marimite~Haru~" is 0.3%

Supposed number of viewers for "Marimite~Haru~":
0.3% x 160,000,000 persons = 480,000 persons = A

Using the "it costs a little over 30,000,000 yen per episode to make an anime" rule:
30,000,000 yen x 13 episodes = 390,000,000 yen = B


Now here comes the hard question..."out of the total viewers of this series, how many will actually go out and buy the DVD?"

number of prospective buyers:
100% x A = 480,000
90 % x A = 432,000
80 % x A = 384,000
70 % x A = 336,000
60 % x A = 288,000
50 % x A = 240,000
40 % x A = 192,000
30 % x A = 144,000
20 % x A = 96,000
10 % x A = 48,000

Now use those figures and figure out the prospective sales. I will use 7000 yen per disc for 6 discs each

480,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 20,160,000,000 yen
432,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 18,144,000,000 yen
384,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 16,128,000,000 yen
336,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 14,112,000,000 yen
288,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 12,096,000,000 yen
240,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 10,080,000,000 yen
192,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 8,064,000,000 yen
144,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 6,048,000,000 yen
96,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 4,032,000,000 yen
48,000 x 7000 yen x 6 discs = 2,016,000,000 yen

As you can see, even if 48,000 persons buys the DVDs (10% of 0.3% of the entire Japanese populace), this anime rakes in profit.
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