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I'm fairly certain the type of fire which burnt the school is different with what burned Hanakawa's house. They were just tricking us so we thought it is from the same cause. This case there was ashes, but no fire, siren and the like
By Mayoi hindsight, Araragi disappearances, Shinobu's mention on how Araragi may get killed....i suspect this arc is right now running along another arc from Araragi's POV. So most likely the cat and Shinobu will part way later, and Hanakawa has to deal with the tiger, while Araragi dealing with something Mayoi-related.
All is my guess through
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