2011-09-06, 18:22 | Link #24261 | |
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For example, Benson Murder Case by Van Dine focuses around a deduction the detective makes about ballistics. Now, while that was reasonable when the book came out, it has been proved that the deduction was impossible. I'll save the forensics lecture for later. Do we blame the author for not being able to see into the future? Not really. Is the novel unsolvable? Of course not. We just have to remember it was written with the mindset that the world worked in a certain way, a way from a century ago, a way the detective constantly reminds us of. With that mindset, the novel is not only solvable, but extremely easy. It's one of the most transparent plots in the Golden Age. I'm dead serious, it's really easy to solve. From that, I just go with the assumption that a detective story is set within its own world and that it is the detective's job to serve as our conductor and tell us how the world is supposed to function. "In this world, aristocrats always have more than 1 pair of shoes" sounds like an unreasonable declaration, but if it's an idea introduced by the detective, it sounds reasonable. I vaguely recall Ryuukishi himself expressing a similar point of view in his most recent interview(if someone can find a link to that I'd appreciate it) where he talks about why the rain isn't important. Now, that's not to say the detective can simply introduce the reader to a world where people are idiots or where the author doesn't have to put any effort into writing a convincing story, but there are always going to be differences in how people perceive "probable" and human nature, so a conductor is necessary. I don't agree with the way the author handled rain because I think that stretches from probable and variations in human nature to simply ignoring natural laws, which is a bit beyond the authority a mystery writer should have. So, that said, I don't particularly agree with Ryuukishi's decision to portray the bottle as being written before the incident actually happened. It's clumsy, makes no sense, and there's little indicator as to how it could have worked. However, per his own admission, he operates assumption that if something is the author's intention, then it's fine to accept an unlikely event as normal if characters in the story don't question it. So the characters' stupidity is our clue to just roll with it, however unlikely it is. Now, that's another point I think Umineko would have benefited from a detective. It's much easier to roll with the unlikely if a competent detective is telling you to do so than when random characters are just acting in less than competent ways. That said, I'm for the bottles having been written before the incident, under the assumption that Umineko's world works in a way where that is possible. That's more or less my long-winded way of saying "Ryuukishi didn't really think that point that much, so the answer is not without holes, but I prefer getting the author's faulty solution rather than a wishful better solution." |
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2011-09-06, 18:37 | Link #24262 | |||
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I guess this is just overthinking though... |
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2011-09-06, 18:46 | Link #24263 | |
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And yes, it's interesting how Maria's death could be confirmed. It's the only death we've confirmed for sure. Nothing is said about the others. Was Maria the only one for which they could confirm the death? Or this confirmation was fake? It would be interesting because Battler's death couldn't be confirmed for sure. So, if he was the only one whose death couldn't be confirmed the police should have searched for him for quite a bit in hope he too, like Eva, found a way to escape to the incident... which would make even harder to keep hidden the fact that Toya was Battler if someone were to see him. |
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2011-09-06, 18:53 | Link #24264 |
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If Yasu = Ikuko, this implies that Yasu has two representations in the meta-world? Featherine and Beatrice. Moetrice even know Featherine in EP 6.
Meta-scenes in EP 8 would make little sense, since Featherine help Bernkastel against Battler and Beatrice. Much of EP 8 besides being pointless would be for nothing. |
2011-09-06, 18:53 | Link #24265 | |||
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I would also never argue for Umineko's solutions to certain problems being all that likely or probable, but sometimes we just have to go with what the author tells us, no matter how improbable it might seem to us. I also agree that a proper detective character might have helped. Someone who just explained the basic elements of the "logical plane", just like Beatrice and her henchmen explained the magical plane. I can only say it again and again...Virgilius would have greatly helped in that department. Shame on Ryûkishi for scrapping him, as Virgilia ever actually helped in that department besides the cat-box study. I felt a bit cheated then and again too, when a solution was so farfetched that a reasonable person would discard it right away. But as long as a proper detective or a proper narrator makes it clear that certain things are to be trusted or are working in a certain way in this narrative...then I just need to accept it unless I want to construct my own story. Ayatsuji Yukito's first Yakata-novel 十角館の殺人 had such a solution. The way the culprit constructed his alibi was way too complicated and somehow downright silly, but once I reread the story, it was the only reasonable and hinted solution. EDIT: Quote:
The GHQ was in charge until the peace treaty in 1951 and basically made all decisions. They were pretty oblivious to Japanese customs and many quite illegal things were apparently able to happen right under their eyes, because most of them did not really know how to govern an "Asian country". There are of course many rumours about how many illegal actions were actually happening, but as media was largely censored by the GHQ it's hard to get useful evidence. So Ryûkishi basically hit into a soft spot of history and used it to "make Kinzô able to buy Rokkenjima". He was characterized as being fluent in English and maybe other foreign languages. Also he didn't seem to be that much of a patriot, so no wonder he was favoured by the US forces, as he was probably seen as a useful informant regarding matters that the US did not understand. Of course this is basically constructed from racial stereotypes...but it's not really that rare to see them depicted as rather easy to fool. Last edited by haguruma; 2011-09-06 at 19:09. |
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2011-09-06, 18:54 | Link #24266 |
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Okay, since the parts about Ikuko and Toya hadn't been translated yet and i've noticed people saying contrasting things is there a kind soul who can read it and that's willing to give us a detailed and correct summary so we all could work it out better?
I know I'm asking a lot but I think it can be a quite interesting point of discussion and it'll work better if we've clear details to work with. |
2011-09-06, 19:15 | Link #24267 | ||||||
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I may not have been clear. When I call it "purely" meta I mean that it's not something directly experienced by the meta-thinker. I don't mean to exclude the influence of ideas from the outside, like you describe. Quote:
One thing for certain is that assuming the bank PIN letters were real, either Touya or Ikuko would have to know of that number somehow for it to appear in Banquet. And assuming Ikuko isn't Yasu means that only Touya could know of it. So. How would Touya know this PIN number that ended up in the hands of someone as unrelated to him as Nanjo's son? |
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2011-09-06, 19:16 | Link #24268 | |
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2011-09-06, 19:19 | Link #24269 | |
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2011-09-06, 19:40 | Link #24271 | |
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I found it really easy to picture the sequence of EP4's tea party through EP6 as the creative product of a huge fight between Tohya and Ikuko, where Ikuko gave up trying to lead Tohya to the truth and he ended up dragging himself there on his own in order to earn her forgiveness.
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2011-09-06, 19:41 | Link #24272 | |
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So for example, Touya did say he didn't know the name of the town he lived in. |
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2011-09-06, 19:55 | Link #24273 | ||
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All that money is fishy, and likely the police would end up suspecting Nanjo obtained it in illegal ways, maybe even think Nanjo was connected to the message bottle and therefore to the incident. I thought that scene was off because actually I think he wouldn't have told Ange either. Ange's family died and she too can think Nanjo actually was connected to the incident and maybe planned to escape though something went wrong and he never managed it. Ange tells him she's out for the truth, she could have decided to report it to the police and Nanjo's son would have a lot of problems while the media would raise a fuss and throw lot of dirt on Nanjo. Though, of course, this is just my speculation. |
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2011-09-06, 20:09 | Link #24274 | |
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This would imply the following possibilities: 1) Yasu murdered people before the epitaph was solved. 2) Yasu murdered people after the epitaph was solved... which would mean not only she didn't follow what she had decided but that she didn't give to the one/ones who solved the epitaph the PIN or the other info... which would make harder for Eva to know/find out about Kuwadorian and the bomb 3) Yasu murdered people after the epitaph was solved even though she told Eva about the bomb and Kuwadorian... which would mean not only she didn't follow what she had decided but decided to save Eva, who however didn't try to save her family. 4) Yasu didn't murder people before and after someone solved the epitaph... she just wrote that number on the wall for unknown reasons. Although I personally prefer the 1 because it's the one who makes more sense I think the chances of Yasu inserting that number in a magic circle are low. Although the number might be important to Yasu, it feels very random and, even if Battler could guess it represented two dates or a PIN as info it would be completely unhelpful to solve the crime (even if he were to know Yasu's birthday I doubt it would fall on that date, nor he could guess Yasu discovered the gold in that day and so Beatrice was reborn), at best it can be a fake hint but still... why to ruin a perfectly good magic circle to insert random numbers? And why Eva takes note of the number but not of the magic circle? My guess is that Battler was there when the gold was discovered and the PIN was given and he 'remembered' Eva writing it down. Later he remembered/understood it was a PIN and so his mind created the whole thing in Ep 4. |
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2011-09-06, 20:12 | Link #24275 | |
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2011-09-06, 20:16 | Link #24276 | |
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2011-09-06, 22:40 | Link #24277 |
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So, I've been thinking about the origin of the bottle-stories and the answer came to me. It's crystal clear. And although I disagree with the conclusion he came to, I have to thank Sherringford for his most recent post; it really got me to stop thinking about needless details and focus on the story that we are being told, as readers.
It's something I think I had realized vaguely for a long time. The important things to look at aren't the exact level of plausibility of uber-fast writing verses bribes and conspiracy etc. Instead, we should focus on the nature of the orchestrator of everything: Beatrice herself. Let's think about the fictions in which Beatrice was game master: Legend, Turn, Banquet, and Alliance. Beatrice's goal is to convince Battler and the rest of us that witches are real. How does she do this in her fictions? She gives us seemingly impossible narratives. But are they impossible? We learn as we go through Umineko that everything she has done that seems impossible was actually just a human trick to fool us. Beatrice is also known for how she likes to leave things to chance. She even asserts this herself. But does she really leave things to chance? Is it chance that determines who Beatrice's "roulette" kills, or is it access? Does Beatrice's "roulette" ever stop on Battler or Maria? Here I will assert that Beatrice doesn't play dice with what matters to her. So. We all know that Beatrice is the writer of the two bottle-letters. We can all agree that the seeming circumstances behind their creation and their distribution are extraordinary. In fact, it's a nigh impossible narrative created by Beatrice. Spoiler for And you know what that means:
It's what Beatrice does. She fools people. She tricks people. She pulls the wool over their eyes whathaveyou. What kinds of tricks does she use to fool people in her fictions? She uses false testimony often gained using bribes. How else does she fool people? How about faking her death? Now think about what all this might be saying about the enigma of Beatrice in the "real" world. So, basically believing at face value that Yasu wrote the fictions pre-incident means you have been caught in the witch's web of confusion, much like BATTLER was in Turn and Banquet. It might be conceivable that she perhaps could have written the stories pre-incident, but thinking that way misses the point; it's a lot like using explanations like small bombs or dagger-launching ranged weapons to solve Beatrice's closed rooms. Last edited by Wanderer; 2011-09-07 at 02:57. |
2011-09-07, 02:09 | Link #24279 |
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I forget where, exactly, but I recall this sort of thing coming up a few weeks ago when discussing the plausibility of Ange's absence in the bottles. It kinda came down to people arguing whether they were written pre, during, or post incident.
I will wholeheartedly agree with Wanderer's premise that everything is much cleaner if you believe that the bottles were written after the incident. It solves the issue of Ange's absence, the length of what was written, sorta improves the odds of being found, and potentially allows for the sorts of personal information ("So yeah about your miscarriage...") that might've come up during a tense, explosive-y family conference. It's awesome, really. You don't even have to account for what happened to Yasu afterwards. Whatever the hell one wants to think. |
2011-09-07, 11:08 | Link #24280 |
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Well, the whole purpose of the message bottles doesn't really make sense if there is no objective behind it. As we discussed at length back around ep7, it doesn't really seem that she's writing to people in general, but to one person in specific. That is to say, the message bottles, regardless of their professed intention, are more specifically being written for Battler. And possibly also for Ange, I don't know.
But I don't think the goal was to ask random-ass people to find her heart. That sort of public confession might make sense for a crime, but Beatrice's confession of her true nature doesn't really seem like that sort of confession. It seems like, y'know, a romantic confession. That's not the sort of thing you just throw out there to the general masses. If her objective in creating the message bottles was to reach Battler, then it seems odd that she would (1) not somehow be sure Battler is probably out there somewhere, (2) distribute the messages to perhaps the most important person to her entirely unpredictably and risk them never being found, and (3) not attempt to exercise some manner of control over the popularity of the phenomenon. Without these three things, the effort is largely fruitless. Without the first one, there's no one to write to. Without the second, there's a chance he'll never see it (and she wants him to see it) or won't see it in time (what if a bottle is discovered 90 years later?). Without the third, it might wind up so obscure that he'd never be exposed to it even if it was located. Beatrice needs the Witch Hunter legend just as much as she needed the Beatrice Legend while on Rokkenjima itself. If we believe ep7 and many of the TIPS, she worked to cultivate the latter very deliberately so that it would be of use to her. Why not do the same with the former? If you're the original author, cooking up a "lost" message would be trivial, and you can control exactly when it gets "found." Hell, if Yasu were alive, she could drop Land on us out of nowhere if she were so inclined. And Witch Hunters everywhere would authenticate it as "definitely coming from 1986." Have we even considered an alternative reason why Land was "lost?" Maybe it had nothing to do with vanishing into the ocean, if you follow me.
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