2011-12-19, 01:14 | Link #18421 | |
I don't give a damn, dude
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In Despair
Age: 37
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2011-12-19, 01:16 | Link #18422 |
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: classified
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ABC has the AP story on Kim Yong Il's death and what may be in store for N. Korea in the future.
North Koreans Rally Around Kim Jong Il's Heir http://abcnews.go.com/International/...-died-15185456
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2011-12-19, 01:17 | Link #18423 | ||
Banned
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2011-12-19, 01:27 | Link #18424 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: classified
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What's with those titles anyway? Why not just Chairman Kim Jong Un?
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2011-12-19, 01:33 | Link #18425 | |
I don't give a damn, dude
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In Despair
Age: 37
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(No clue, off the top of my head, I could very well be wrong.) |
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2011-12-19, 01:36 | Link #18426 | |
Princess or Plunderer?
Join Date: May 2009
Location: the Philippines
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Meanwhile, the possibility of him ending up as someone's puppet isn't so farfetched. I mean, a twenty-something suddenly leading a nation?
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2011-12-19, 01:36 | Link #18427 | |
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Dai Korai Teikoku
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Kim Jong Un is most likely just going to go with Chairman of the National Defense Commission. |
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2011-12-19, 01:38 | Link #18428 |
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: classified
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Interesting piece by Paul Krugman.
Will China Break? http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/19/op...reak.html?_r=1
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2011-12-19, 01:46 | Link #18430 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: classified
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I'm not that familiar with the intimate details of N. Korean politics, is it possible that Kim Jong Un could become a puppet of the party? And if so, what would that mean for the other countries in the region, specifically S. Korea?
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2011-12-19, 01:52 | Link #18431 | |
Aria Company
Join Date: Nov 2003
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2011-12-19, 02:01 | Link #18432 | |
Princess or Plunderer?
Join Date: May 2009
Location: the Philippines
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2011-12-19, 02:03 | Link #18434 | |||
NYAAAAHAAANNNNN~
Join Date: Nov 2007
Age: 35
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We tried to take credit for the alternative artificial blood, assault rifle design, French naval frigate designs, and probably a whole lot more things. Our high tech industry is based on manufacturing than innovative research. Even worse, unlike Japan or SK, we don't even improvise on existing tech, we just rip and combine or modofy to suot our needs.
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Last edited by SaintessHeart; 2011-12-19 at 02:15. |
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2011-12-19, 02:16 | Link #18435 |
It's bacon!
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Up and to the Left
Age: 43
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http://news.discovery.com/history/ki...ea-111218.htmlSad. We probably would've sent Bill Richardson. |
2011-12-19, 02:28 | Link #18436 | ||
Moving in circles
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Singapore
Age: 49
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And, yes, there is nothing really new in what he wrote. The "shadow banking" he described has been going on for a while, a private-citizen response to tightening measures put into force over the past year. And those measures were necessary to take the steam out of an overheating real-estate market. I don't think even Krugman would argue against them. Are these indeed signs of an imminent crash in China? Let me put in this way: at least Beijing recognises the signs of a imminent crash and is doing something about it. As I recall, Wall Street, the Fed and Washington were still partying as though gravy train would never stop running in the lead-up to 2008. |
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2011-12-19, 02:33 | Link #18437 | |
I disagree with you all.
Join Date: Dec 2005
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2011-12-19, 02:41 | Link #18438 | |
NYAAAAHAAANNNNN~
Join Date: Nov 2007
Age: 35
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To whom and where?
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The lack of policing on financial regulations, xombined with the artificial pegging to keep the currency low, resulted in hyperinflation. I am not that bullish about China anymore, but what really seems to complicate the issue is that nobody wants to hedge against China for fear of missing opportunities. Btw, welcome back.
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Last edited by SaintessHeart; 2011-12-19 at 02:59. |
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2011-12-19, 03:05 | Link #18439 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2007
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As much I think that the reunification of the Korean peninsula is inevitable, there is no way South Korea is ready to absorb the north now. I think there are two main paths that might branch out from the current event. (1) The north collapse and degenerate into chaos. Not a situation that I'd like to see. In such a scenario, either Beijing or Washington has to send in military intervention to stabilize the situation and secure the nuclear weapons. Or both will do. Opportunities of miscalculation are abound. Both sides risk dragging whole east Asia into war. Refugees will flood both China and South Korea. The only good thing that may come out of this is that we will finally have a (likely unified) denuclearized Peninsula. (2) A stabilized North Korea. Either it will continue the current path, and we are back into situation (1) soon enough, or it actually embark on some kind of reform and follow the path of China in the 80s or Vietnam in the 90s. If carried out successfully, the people of North Korea might be spared of the starvation that they experience every a few years. Of course, the downside is that we are back to the futile six party talks, and the reunification is postponed in the short term. |
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2011-12-19, 03:12 | Link #18440 |
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Dai Korai Teikoku
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Any and all reunification plans set up by ROK calls for administrating former DPRK as a separate entity, divorced from the runnings of ROK. Former DPRK will basically be a colony, where education in capitalism and democracy will be done as the country is built up using the capital generated from the cheap labor and the natural resources exported (DPRK has one of the finest gold mines, one of the largest uranium reserves, and also has what could be the one of the best source of rare earth).
Any comparison to the German reunification is based on non-updated information from more than two decades ago, and should be ignored, short of some genocide by the use of biological/chemical weapons on the KPA's part. |
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current affairs, discussion, international |
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