2009-04-24, 17:02 | Link #3021 |
iceman
Scanlator
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: CO, USA
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Wow, some very big matchs here, like Kotomi vs Hinagiku and Nagisa and Shana. Hope Nagisa can pull off a win, but that doesn't seem too likely...
ARENA 01: Hinamori Amu [Nagi] ARENA 02: [Chii] Furude Hanyū ARENA 03: [Ryōgi Shiki] Konjiki no Yami ARENA 04: Minase Nayuki [Misaka Shiori] ARENA 05: [Patchouli Knowledge] Vita ARENA 06: [Louise Vallière] Kawazoe Tamaki ARENA 07: Anya Alstreim [Maria] ARENA 08: Sanzen'in Nagi [Sakagami Tomoyo] ARENA 09: Asahina Mikuru [Kawashima Ami] ARENA 10: Kōzuki Kallen [Remilia Scarlet] ARENA 11: [Furukawa Nagisa] Shana ARENA 12: [Fujibayashi Kyō] Suiseiseki ARENA 13: [Alice Carroll] Aisaka Taiga ARENA 14: [Kinomoto Sakura] Ryūgū Rena ARENA 15: [Kawasumi Mai] Kirisame Marisa ARENA 16: Yagami Hayate [Saber] ARENA 17: [Tsukimiya Ayu] Index Prohibitorum ARENA 18: Shameimaru Aya [Misaka Mikoto] ARENA 19: [Furude Rika] Holo ARENA 20: [C.C.] Izumi Konata ARENA 21: Shinku [Evangeline McDowell] ARENA 22: [Ichinose Kotomi] Katsura Hinagiku ARENA 23: [Sunohara Mei] Kurata Sayuri ARENA 24: Chiba Kirino [Kamio Misuzu] ARENA 25: Illyasviel von Einzbern [Mizunashi Akari] ARENA 26: Suzumiya Haruhi [Suigintou] ARENA 27: [Sawatari Makoto] Katagiri Yūhi ARENA 28: Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu [Kushieda Minori] ARENA 29: Nagato Yuki [Takamachi Nanoha] ARENA 30: [Hakurei Reimu] Ibuki Fūko ARENA 31: [Hiiragi Kagami] Tōsaka Rin ARENA 32: [Fate Testarossa] Hiiragi Tsukasa
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2009-04-24, 18:46 | Link #3022 |
UNBOUND-ed
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Oakland, CA
Age: 71
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Votes for Topaz 6:
ARENA 01: Hinamori Amu [Nagi] ARENA 02: [Chii] Furude Hanyū ARENA 03: [Ryōgi Shiki] Konjiki no Yami ARENA 04: Minase Nayuki [Misaka Shiori] ARENA 05: Patchouli Knowledge [Vita] ARENA 06: Louise Vallière [Kawazoe Tamaki] ARENA 07: Anya Alstreim [Maria] ARENA 08: [Sanzen'in Nagi] Sakagami Tomoyo ARENA 09: [Asahina Mikuru] Kawashima Ami ARENA 10: Kōzuki Kallen [Remilia Scarlet] ARENA 11: [Furukawa Nagisa] Shana ARENA 12: Fujibayashi Kyō [Suiseiseki] ARENA 13: Alice Carroll [Aisaka Taiga] ARENA 14: Kinomoto Sakura [Ryūgū Rena] ARENA 15: [Kawasumi Mai] Kirisame Marisa ARENA 16: Yagami Hayate [Saber] ARENA 17: [Tsukimiya Ayu] Index Prohibitorum ARENA 18: Shameimaru Aya [Misaka Mikoto] ARENA 19: [Furude Rika] Holo ARENA 20: C.C. [Izumi Konata] ARENA 21: [Shinku] Evangeline McDowell ARENA 22: [Ichinose Kotomi] Katsura Hinagiku ARENA 23: Sunohara Mei [Kurata Sayuri] ARENA 24: Chiba Kirino [Kamio Misuzu] ARENA 25: Illyasviel von Einzbern [Mizunashi Akari] ARENA 26: [Suzumiya Haruhi] Suigintou ARENA 27: [Sawatari Makoto] Katagiri Yūhi ARENA 28: Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu [Kushieda Minori] ARENA 29: Nagato Yuki [Takamachi Nanoha] ARENA 30: Hakurei Reimu [Ibuki Fūko] ARENA 31: [Hiiragi Kagami] Tōsaka Rin ARENA 32: Fate Testarossa [Hiiragi Tsukasa]
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2009-04-24, 19:15 | Link #3023 |
NOM
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Outside the Asylum
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Omega late Topaz 05 comment: Wow Sayuri.
Spoiler for Votes:
Kotomi vs Hina should be fun to watch, as with Yuki vs Nanoha. If this was still the start of the season, I'd probably say Nagisa has no chance at defeating Shana. But after the win over Kagami, I ain't so sure anymore. And Tsukasa is virtually dead against Fate.
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2009-04-24, 20:45 | Link #3024 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Brazil
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ARENA 01: Hinamori Amu [Nagi]
ARENA 02: Chii [Abstained] Furude Hanyū ARENA 03: Ryōgi Shiki [Konjiki no Yami] ARENA 04: [Minase Nayuki] Misaka Shiori ARENA 05: Patchouli Knowledge [Vita] ARENA 06: [Louise Vallière] Kawazoe Tamaki ARENA 07: Anya Alstreim [Maria] ARENA 08: [Sanzen'in Nagi] Sakagami Tomoyo ARENA 09: Asahina Mikuru [Kawashima Ami] ARENA 10: Kōzuki Kallen [Remilia Scarlet] ARENA 11: Furukawa Nagisa [Shana] ARENA 12: [Fujibayashi Kyō] Suiseiseki ARENA 13: Alice Carroll [Aisaka Taiga] ARENA 14: [Kinomoto Sakura] Ryūgū Rena ARENA 15: [Kawasumi Mai] Kirisame Marisa ARENA 16: Yagami Hayate [Saber] ARENA 17: [Tsukimiya Ayu] Index Prohibitorum ARENA 18: Shameimaru Aya [Misaka Mikoto] ARENA 19: Furude Rika [Holo] ARENA 20: C.C. [Izumi Konata] ARENA 21: Shinku [Evangeline McDowell] ARENA 22: Ichinose Kotomi [Katsura Hinagiku] ARENA 23: [Sunohara Mei] Kurata Sayuri ARENA 24: [Chiba Kirino] Kamio Misuzu ARENA 25: [Illyasviel von Einzbern] Mizunashi Akari ARENA 26: Suzumiya Haruhi [Suigintou] ARENA 27: [Sawatari Makoto] Katagiri Yūhi ARENA 28: Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu [Kushieda Minori] ARENA 29: [Nagato Yuki] Takamachi Nanoha ARENA 30: Hakurei Reimu [Ibuki Fūko] ARENA 31: Hiiragi Kagami [Tōsaka Rin] ARENA 32: [Fate Testarossa] Hiiragi Tsukasa
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2009-04-25, 06:39 | Link #3026 |
is not amused
Graphic Designer
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Naval Base
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ARENA 01: [Hinamori Amu] Nagi
ARENA 02: Chii [Furude Hanyū] ARENA 03: [Ryōgi Shiki] Konjiki no Yami ARENA 04: Minase Nayuki [Misaka Shiori] ARENA 05: [Patchouli Knowledge] Vita ARENA 06: Louise Vallière [Kawazoe Tamaki] ARENA 07: Anya Alstreim [Maria] ARENA 08: Sanzen'in Nagi [Sakagami Tomoyo] ARENA 09: Asahina Mikuru [Kawashima Ami] ARENA 10: Kōzuki Kallen [Remilia Scarlet] ARENA 11: [Furukawa Nagisa] Shana ARENA 12: [Fujibayashi Kyō] Suiseiseki ARENA 13: Alice Carroll [Aisaka Taiga] ARENA 14: Kinomoto Sakura [Ryūgū Rena] ARENA 15: Kawasumi Mai [Kirisame Marisa] ARENA 16: Yagami Hayate [Saber] ARENA 17: [Tsukimiya Ayu] Index Prohibitorum ARENA 18: Shameimaru Aya [Misaka Mikoto] ARENA 19: Furude Rika [Holo] ARENA 20: C.C. [Izumi Konata] ARENA 21: [Shinku] Evangeline McDowell ARENA 22: Ichinose Kotomi [Katsura Hinagiku] ARENA 23: [Sunohara Mei] Kurata Sayuri ARENA 24: [Chiba Kirino] Kamio Misuzu ARENA 25: [Illyasviel von Einzbern] Mizunashi Akari ARENA 26: Suzumiya Haruhi [Suigintou] ARENA 27: Sawatari Makoto [Katagiri Yūhi] ARENA 28: Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu [Abstained] Kushieda Minori ARENA 29: Nagato Yuki [Takamachi Nanoha] ARENA 30: [Hakurei Reimu] Ibuki Fūko ARENA 31: Hiiragi Kagami [Abstained] Tōsaka Rin ARENA 32: [Fate Testarossa] Hiiragi Tsukasa
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2009-04-25, 19:41 | Link #3029 |
NOM
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Outside the Asylum
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54.16% - #03 Fate Testarossa (MSLN) > #21 Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS)- NOT expected.
It just occured to me that Fate never seems to give pressure to her opponents. Everyone that she faces always retains their average amount of votes, and never drops in the face of Fate. For example, the Tsukasa who scored ~1290 votes against Illya last match, is still able to garner ~1240 against Fate, who is leagues above Illya.
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2009-04-25, 21:12 | Link #3031 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2008
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To bring my average back down to 93%, I got 4 matches wrong today:
Predicted: Kōzuki Kallen (CG) [46.05%] vs Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [53.95%] Actual: Kōzuki Kallen (CG) [50.79%] vs Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [49.21%] Difference: 4.74 Predicted: Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) [48.19%] vs Ryūgū Rena (HNKN) [51.81%] Actual: Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) [50.43%] vs Ryūgū Rena (HNKN) [49.57%] Diference: 2.24 Predicted: C.C. (CG) [50.76%] vs Izumi Konata (LS) [49.24%] Actual: C.C. (CG) [49.59%] vs Izumi Konata (LS) [50.41%] Difference: 1.17 Predicted: Sawatari Makoto (KN) [50.1%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [49.9%] Actual: Sawatari Makoto (KN) [45.11%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [54.89%] Difference: 4.99 I guess Remilia's win against Shiki was a one time thing. Kallen is a fair bit weaker but was just strong enough to defeat Remilia. Sakura vs Rena was a close match as expected but the winner was not who I expected. Match could have gone either way. Speaking of matches that could have gone either way, Konata narrowly beats C.C.. It was a really close match as expected but the coin flip just didn't go my way. Or rather it did go my way since I wanted Konata to win. =D I should really stop trusting Makoto to win matches. I thought she would be able to edge out a win but I guess it just did happen. My predictions were a decent 2.4 off on average. Only 3 predictions off my more than 5 this time as well: Predicted: Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) [58.78%] vs Index Prohibitorum (TAMI) [41.22%] Actual: Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) [51.69%] vs Index Prohibitorum (TAMI) [48.31%] Difference: 7.08 Predicted: Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) [63.79%] vs Suiseiseki (RM) [36.21%] Actual: Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) [57.61%] vs Suiseiseki (RM) [42.39%] Difference: 6.18 Predicted: Yagami Hayate (MSLN) [35.63%] vs Saber (FSN) [64.37%] Actual: Yagami Hayate (MSLN) [40.98%] vs Saber (FSN) [59.02%] Difference: 5.34 Bad day for Ayu this time. Kanon is steadly on the decline but this was a pretty sharp drop. It may just be a one time thing so I'm going to withhold judgement until the next match. Clannad has been steadly declining since the anime ended. Well actually, Kyou for the most part was the exception to the decline. I guess it is finally starting to catch up with her. This match may have cost her her position as #1 in my stats. After nothing but increases since the start of Topaz, Saber looks unimpressive for once. After her last few matches I was starting to throw around the idea that she might make a run for the Topaz necklace. Showing weakness one match before she has to face Kyou is not what Saber needs if she wants to do that. She still has a shot, though. 31% of my predictions were within 1% of the actual result. My best was: Predicted: Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG) [42.99%] vs Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) [57.01%] Actual: Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG) [43.05%] vs Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) [56.95%] Difference: 0.06 Predicted: Furukawa Nagisa (CL) [44.87%] vs Shana (SnS) [55.13%] Actual: Furukawa Nagisa (CL) [40%] vs Shana (SnS) [60%] Difference: 4.87 Shana is looking good. I just wished it wasn't at the expense of a Clannad character. My 28 > KS's 26 My 2.4 > KS's 2.95 I guess it's my win again this time. I correctly predicted Nagi, Hinagiku and Mei's win(although KS mentioned he personally felt Mei would win). KS beat me on Yuuhi's win. We both missed Kallen, Sakura and Konata's win.
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2009-04-25, 22:24 | Link #3032 | |
Ass connoisseur
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Florida
Age: 37
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Quote:
tl;dr - Only popular series characters are enabled the right to rape. Everyone else, consistent winning is the best they can hope for.
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Last edited by Demi.; 2009-04-25 at 22:35. |
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2009-04-25, 23:01 | Link #3033 |
iceman
Scanlator
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: CO, USA
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Hmm.. I didn't think Shana vs Nagisa would've been such a blow out. I guess After Story effect is about good as gone now.
And seeing Fate doing not so well against Tsukasa, I'm really worried about her match with Haruhi in round 9... And having the lowest vote differential among undefeated Topaz candidates... lol I just realized that there is at least one battle between top tier candidates on the last round of each tiara contest, top tier meaning Fate, Hinagiku, Haruhi, Yuki, Tomoyo, Shana, Kyo and Kagami. I guess they intentionally set the brackets like that, though I don't know how they decided on those 8...
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2009-04-26, 13:45 | Link #3034 | |
NOM
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Outside the Asylum
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Quote:
Okay, I'm beginning to see your pessimism.
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2009-04-26, 16:58 | Link #3035 |
Ass connoisseur
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Florida
Age: 37
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That is when I pray Japan can save me from the torment, or I'll just call it quits. Not voting in a contest where only Kyoani and Shana have a legitimate chance of making top 16. Mainstream voters ftl.
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2009-04-26, 17:55 | Link #3036 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2008
Age: 32
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Wow, it's been such a while since I've visited the international saimoe league. Not since international saimoe league last year in fact. This sure does move fast. Does anyone want to give me a quick recap of isml 2009 so far?
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2009-04-26, 18:19 | Link #3037 | |
Ass connoisseur
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Florida
Age: 37
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Quote:
http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/statistics/
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2009-04-26, 18:47 | Link #3039 | |
Ass connoisseur
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Florida
Age: 37
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Quote:
Hinagiku is a force to be reckoned with, but I imagine her new series will only take her so far, and certainly not to the level of competing with Haruhi. Oh, and Saber, though can't say I'm too happy about it...But she seems to have the power to atleast be on par with Clannad.
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Last edited by Demi.; 2009-04-26 at 19:03. |
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