2010-01-11, 22:55 | Link #2081 | |
I know we have bread!
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Age: 40
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When you finish Ep5, you will understand why I am being this blunt. Familiarize yourself with Knox's Decalogue. Then come back and discuss this with us. |
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2010-01-11, 23:10 | Link #2082 | |
I know we have bread!
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Age: 40
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Quote:
What clues are presented that they are the same person? Please tell me. And is Battler really that bad at math? And Erika the detective knows her math as well. Why doesn't the detective suspect unknown culprit X? Because he doesn't exist. Of course, the detective wouldn't lie about that: Knox's 7th: It is forbidden for the detective to be the culprit. Naturally, she isn't the accomplice either. Knox's 10th: It is forbidden for a character to disguise themselves as another without any clues. That includes disguising oneself as two people, naturally. Do you have substantial clues? Really? |
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2010-01-11, 23:40 | Link #2083 | ||
Mystery buff
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Gone Fishin!
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Here is the problem with it though. It is not defined what a "clue" is. A clue could be foreshadowing, it could be a statement somebody said (circumstantial evidence), it doesn't have to be a physical clue... So if there is foreshadowing that Kanon wasn't really on the island in 1986 than it could work as long as the culprit is someone mentioned in the early part of the story. (Knox's First) In that case it doesn't violate the rules it's just that that twisted kind of logic might not be believable. Just keep in mind that although the story is now confirmed to follow the Knox's Decalogue as classic Mystery it is open to interpretation. And the laws don't have to agree with each other. Quote:
Also I want to point out that the original Knox's third said: "It is forbidden for more than one hidden passage to exist." I assume Ryukishi07 purposely didn't write it like that in Umineko because the entrance to the Kuwadorian ( or the place with the hidden gold, whichever you prefer) is the only hidden passage on the island. I think it's convenient that he left out Knox's 5th because if that was said in red than nobody on the island could've been the culprit. "Knox's 5th: It is forbidden for any chinaman to be the culprit." In the tips this commandment is omitted. |
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2010-01-11, 23:47 | Link #2084 | ||||
別にいいけど
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: forever lost inside a logic error
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The reasons as to why Kinzo couldn't escape from the door is 1) the seal couldn't be placed in the same position if it was someone from inside that opened the door, because from inside it couldn't be seen. 2) the door can only be opened with the 2 keys of the study, however the only person that possess them is Natsuhi. The whole point of Erika is to claim that Natsuhi is suspicious after all. With a little imagination you can still think of many possibilities, for examples, there are more than 2 keys to open that door, there is someone that is able to open the door by lockpicking, Kinzo had an accomplice outside that noticed the seal and carefully replaced it in the same position. In the real world it would be impossible to deny this, but it is a sad fact that Erika in this game doesn't need a 100% certainty to elevate theories to red truth, do not expect that or you are going insane. She will do worse. Quote:
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Last edited by Jan-Poo; 2010-01-11 at 23:58. |
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2010-01-11, 23:55 | Link #2085 | |
I know we have bread!
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Age: 40
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Quote:
R7 was being nice to customize the Knox rules just for the Umineko series. We are guaranteed that there are no secret passages. We are given - on a plate - all of the constraints needed to create the possible paths of the pieces on the chess board. The original Knox rules were written in the 1920's, and they serve as a good guideline for writing a mystery novel. Conveniently, we are told that over the course of Ep5 that Umineko really is - at its heart - ...... A MYSTERY NOVEL. If you understand that, you can solve it! Simple. Edit: Oh yeah, the bottom line is that Ryukishi07 isn't trying to "trick" you by saying, "Oh, Shannon and Kanon are the same people, even though the other sixteen people in the room see that there are 18 people in the room." Please. If you are seriously trying to solve the mystery, then avoid that route by all means. Last edited by TeeHee; 2010-01-12 at 00:12. |
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2010-01-12, 00:15 | Link #2086 |
Mystery buff
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Gone Fishin!
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Yeah there was a whole article about anti fantasy vs anti mystery I guess I'll have to reread that.
I really do recommend it http://community.livejournal.com/witchhunters/5724.html Spoiler for gold truth:
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2010-01-12, 00:49 | Link #2089 | |
Mystery buff
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Gone Fishin!
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Quote:
Remember Umineko is a mystery and in mystery novels you often have to reread them until you find the answer. Spoiler for What Dlanor said:
When you do find the answer to a mystery novel it's usually something obvious and you go "why didn't I think of that before?". We try to complicate the answer by adding in lots of different ideas, but a lot of times the answer is really very simple. As encouragement remember these red truths Battler is incompetent Beato wanted you to solve it, so she made this game...the riddles of this tale...solvable. Last edited by Judoh; 2010-01-12 at 01:01. |
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2010-01-12, 01:12 | Link #2090 | |
Mystery buff
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Gone Fishin!
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Quote:
Spoiler for spoiler:
I don't really WANT to believe in the Shkanon theory because it's too complicated. I'm just holding onto it until it's refuted. |
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2010-01-12, 01:58 | Link #2091 | |
I know we have bread!
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Age: 40
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Quote:
Regarding Episode 3, First Twilight: "6 people: Kinzo, Genji, Shannon, Kanon, Gohda, and Kumasawa are dead!" (Ep3) Count it: six individuals, named, dead in red. "All five master keys were discovered, each in the pocket of one of the servants!" (Ep4 - blue/red battle) Five master keys, five servants. Therefore, Kanon and Shannon are two different individuals. But really, all I needed was the first one. |
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2010-01-12, 03:05 | Link #2092 | |
Member
Join Date: Jun 2009
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The lure of the Shkannon theory is a tempting one. It's all too easy to fall prey to it's promise of easy solutions for every game. After all, if Shannon and Kanon are the same person, then we could still have Mystery Person X floating around the island killing people and then melting into the shadows. A number of difficult mysteries can be solved just by saying "When Kanon 'died', what really happened was the personality of Kanon died in Shannon's mind. So when Kanon died in Jessica's room, he simply vanished from Shannon's mind, which is why we never found his body." And so on, and so on...
There are a few subtle clues that could support this, aside from a simple "Battler never saw the two of them at the same time". I recall a scene in Episode 2 where Genji and Gohda are instructing Shannon to take dinner up to Beatrice. Kanon was there too, hiding in the shadows around the corner, whispering to Shannon all the things she should be thinking herself. Genji and Gohda didn't notice him, and when Shannon turned around he was gone. Little things like that. My main problem with the theory is that invites the abdication of thought. It seems too perfect, so it makes you want to stop thinking since it's tricked you into thinking everything has been solved. I've considered the possibility, and I can't really support it. But it's always in my mind as a fallback position if my current theories fall apart. Quote:
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2010-01-12, 04:16 | Link #2093 | |||
別にいいけど
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: forever lost inside a logic error
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The first one by the fact that the shkannon theory doesn't assume that either one never existed but rather that either one died and the other is impersonating him/her. the second one by the fact that it doesn't say that each one of the five keys are in the pocket of a different servant. Quote:
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2010-01-12, 12:03 | Link #2094 | |
Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Finland
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We can't have Shannon impersonating Kanon. |
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2010-01-12, 13:02 | Link #2096 |
別にいいけど
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: forever lost inside a logic error
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That one is troublesome. Kanon's death was confirmed in that episode before he appeared later to the servants. Also Shannon was still running around and being visible to Battler.
In other words that episode only leaves the possibility that Shannon was disguising as Kanon and not the other way around. Unless you use the "jedi truth trick" to claim that Kanon being dead only means that the Kanon personality died.
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2010-01-12, 18:08 | Link #2098 | |
I know we have bread!
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Age: 40
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Quote:
It looks like my next task is to map out episode 2. @Knicknevin: I know you have your theories, but I want to see where my analysis goes, and then we can take it from there. Edit: But don't hesitate if something is on your mind. Last edited by TeeHee; 2010-01-12 at 18:11. Reason: Redundancy. Sheesh! |
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2010-01-13, 03:38 | Link #2099 |
Member
Join Date: Jun 2009
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Episode 2 eh? I'll be interested to see that, maybe it will clarify my thinking some.
I've been trying to go over Episode 5 in my mind, with an eye toward proving Kyrie the culprit of that episode, or perhaps Eva (or an alliance of both). Unfortunately, I've gotten rather stuck. The theory I was working on fell apart as soon as I tried to explain what possessed Rosa, Krauss, Genji and the cousins aside from Battler to fake their deaths. What were they doing? Getting Krauss and Genji to play along with this act is doubly odd, since it threatens to expose their secret. Is this an act for Erika's sake? Jessica hates her. Hell, even Battler hates her. Was this a ploy to humiliate her and let Battler and Jessica get even a little? For the faked death plan to work, the cousins must have either worked it out well ahead of time, or else Rosa came back and filled them in at 1:00 am. This episode doesn't present any closed room mysteries for us to puzzle over like the previous games did. It's easy enough to assume the killer found a chance to slip away from the group and commit the murders, since most of them could have happened at almost any time. Hideyoshi wasn't killed. The how of this game isn't even an issue. Even the letter and the knock are a non issue. It's the same tricky red truth that was used to explain Kanon's death in Episode 1- Lambda goes out of her way to meticulously explain all the ways the letter didn't get there, and to explain all the ways the knock couldn't have been misinterpreted, but she never makes one vital point- She never says in the red that the letter was even found, or that the knock ever happened. I can't even recall the signet ring being mentioned after the scene where Battler put it on. That whole scene might have been a confabulation. On the other hand, the why and who of this episode... I'm not even sure we can solve it yet. The viewpoint is unreliable, the detective is manipulating the truth to fit her own theory, and the game ends early. I really don't know what to make of it all yet. Virgilia called it a game 'without Beatrice', and then challenged Battler to find Beatrice within it anyway. So where is Beatrice? What is she doing? And what drove her into the shadows of this game? |
2010-01-13, 03:58 | Link #2100 | |
Mystery buff
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Gone Fishin!
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Quote:
If you wanted to you could even claim that none of the cousins died in that game until the end because their bodies would have to be moved if they died in the guests bedroom. Also maybe Rosa wanted to protect Maria so she played along. Edit: Maybe the reason Rosa played along was because since Maria was having fun she wasn't saying "Uu" as much anymore. Did any of you notice that? I only counted maybe 3 "Uu's" in episode 5. Maria must have been having a A LOT of fun with her mom in that one. I can come up with dozens of reasons for Kyrie, she's a manipulative bastard. . She's really my favorite culprit to deduce for becuase she'd make a perfect mastermind character Also keep in mind that during the phone calls with Natsuhi. In the japanese version, the first caller used "Boku", the second caller used "ore". So for the second call George and Jessica are potential crank callers, and they could have gone along with a fake death plot if they REALLY wanted to freak her out. Last edited by Judoh; 2010-01-13 at 04:20. |
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