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Old 2011-10-16, 14:37   Link #3281
Tainaka
Enpatsu Shakugan
 
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Age: 35
Quote:
Originally Posted by ahelo View Post
Nah I'm just messing around. But seriously speaking, Mikoto was supposed to already be gone by round 1 by Homura. But now she's still here and is about to get into the Quarter Finals so its not bad to hype my favorite to win it all right now when she's still in it to win it.
Yup, Trufax.

I don't know what to say about the round 1 Homura. It could be that she just didn't have enough people that liked her over Mikoto, or maybe the Madoka Faction hadn't predicted so much to come from Biribiri after her not so powerful performance in prelims, thus not really giving it their all. Just putting out a possibility, so.. I just really wonder who has the most power. Something we will find out for sure in the final rounds
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Old 2011-10-16, 15:07   Link #3282
anisu
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Join Date: Jun 2011
Data mining shows the following vote pairs:
315 Kyouko x Houki
167 Kokoro x Aria
164 Kyouko x Aria
128 Kokoro x Houki
53 Kyouko only
11 Kokoro only
10 Aria only
8 Houki only

Aria won among Kokoro voters, there were quite a few Kyouko only, and the Madoka and IS fans seem to be getting along with each other well. Tactically, Madoka fans should just back whoever's stronger in the other match to oppose Kuroneko, so it's interesting that Kyouko and Kokoro fans disagreed so sharply.

Vote volume for round 3 (the light gray vertical line separates rounds 2 and 3):
Spoiler for chart:
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Last edited by anisu; 2011-10-16 at 15:31.
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Old 2011-10-16, 21:25   Link #3283
ion475
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: 国立音ノ木坂学院
Finally have time to post...

Well, went 3-1 (2-0, 1-1) in Group G/H, bringing my total to 12-2 in Round 3 and 105-37 Overall. I guess I need to stop underestimating the amount of Japanese supporting Japan (Hoki)...

Oh well, for a quick look at Group Finals...

A - Biribiri had won against Homuhomu, so I don't see Rotte giving her too much trouble, especially since there are minimal number of assassination (or even assassination attempts)...
B - Kanade - May as well just slay the other witch...
C - Madoka - This would probably be the closest group final. Elsie haven't really shown that she's really THAT strong, though...
D - Ika-chan - This is her group to lose ever since she kicked Mio out...
E - Sayaka - Her win over Charlotte convinced me that even Sayaka & Kyouko cannot be underlook. Not to mention, Haqua is weaker than Charlotte...
F - Mami - Shirayuki haven't face enough challenges that show that she's really strong, while Mami is Mami...
G - Sayaka - Index won against Kirino, but that's about it. This is an assassination watch, but much like Group A, it's not very likely.
H - Kuroneko - B/c Hoki is not facing a Kugyu girl...
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Old 2011-10-16, 21:36   Link #3284
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ion475 View Post
Finally have time to post...

Well, went 3-1 (2-0, 1-1) in Group G/H, bringing my total to 12-2 in Round 3 and 105-37 Overall. I guess I need to stop underestimating the amount of Japanese supporting Japan (Hoki)...

Oh well, for a quick look at Group Finals...

A - Biribiri had won against Homuhomu, so I don't see Rotte giving her too much trouble, especially since there are minimal number of assassination (or even assassination attempts)...
B - Kanade - May as well just slay the other witch...
C - Madoka - This would probably be the closest group final. Elsie haven't really shown that she's really THAT strong, though...
D - Ika-chan - This is her group to lose ever since she kicked Mio out...
E - Sayaka - Her win over Charlotte convinced me that even Sayaka & Kyouko cannot be underlook. Not to mention, Haqua is weaker than Charlotte...
F - Mami - Shirayuki haven't face enough challenges that show that she's really strong, while Mami is Mami...
G - Sayaka - Index won against Kirino, but that's about it. This is an assassination watch, but much like Group A, it's not very likely.
H - Kuroneko - B/c Hoki is not facing a Kugyu girl...
Wow, Kyouko loves Sayaka so much that she's going to become her.

Even me with my Texas-sized Yuri Goggles never thought of that.

Hey, potentially two Sayakas in the Final 8 sounds great to me!


Sorry, but I couldn't resist making a joke over the funny typo here, lol.
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Old 2011-10-17, 00:43   Link #3285
anisu
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Sums of votes and percentages of votes received in the first three rounds:
Spoiler for chart:
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Old 2011-10-17, 01:15   Link #3286
Triple_R
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Quote:
Originally Posted by anisu View Post
Sums of votes and percentages of votes received in the first three rounds:
Spoiler for chart:
Interesting. Even I'm surprised that Sayaka has the 2nd highest vote total for the first three rounds, behind only Misaka.

Mind you, Sayaka also has the lowest vote percentage of the four remaining Madoka Magica competitors, but when you combine that with her vote totals, that strongly suggests she had the hardest competition of all four in getting this far.


On the whole, I'd have to say that Mami is probably the strongest Madoka Magica girl, being 3rd in vote totals and a very close 2nd in vote percentage.

Misaka's edge in total votes is quite substantial, though, so yeah, she is the overall favorite right now to win J-SaiMoe 2011, imo.
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Old 2011-10-17, 02:19   Link #3287
Shmion
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Join Date: Mar 2010
Age: 40
Average vote % (round 1-3):

1.) Madoka Kaname: 64.61
2.) Mami Tomoe: 63.27
3.) Kyouko Sakura: 62.95
4.) Squid Girl: 61.64

5.) Yuno: 56.28
6.) Sayaka Miki: 56.05
7.) Ruri Gokou: 55.45
8.) Kanade Tachibana: 55.32
9.) Mikoto Misaka: 55.28
10.) Elsea De Lute Irma: 54.86
11.) Houki Shinonono: 54.60
12.) Index: 51.53
13.) Astarotte Ygvar: 50.35

14.) Shirayuki Hotogi: 49.28
15.) Haqua Du Lot Herminium: 49.05
16.) Erica Hartmann: 46.33

Spoiler for Votes per match/group/round::

Last edited by Shmion; 2011-10-17 at 02:53. Reason: Formula: "Total votes for character" * 100 / "Total votes for R1-R3 matches"
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Old 2011-10-17, 04:28   Link #3288
ahelo
Criminal Unrequitor
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Join Date: Jul 2010
A: Mikoto Misaka (Who would've thought she would make it THIS far)
B: Kanade Tachibana (So it really does end up as a block made for her)
C: Madoka Kaname (LC might put a fight but the key word here is might.)
D: Ika-Musume (Another Block Finals failure for Yuno)
E: Sayaka (Haqua somehow got supernatural support since R1 started but she needs god this time and Madoka's guiding Sayaka to win this one)
F: Mami (I forsee a very hard beatdown here)
G: Kyouko (This might be an intense fight; or a fakery like Kokoro's match was)
H: Kuroneko (Houki might've routed Aria but I don't think she'll even stand a chance here)
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Old 2011-10-17, 07:07   Link #3289
abc0716
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Age: 33
Finally back after 9-10 days of absence.

Yeah @ Yunocchi's upset against Last Order & Aria lost to Houki , and 'fuuuuuu....' @ S;G duo's elimination .

On the entire round three, I had the prediction of 11-5, overall would be 95-49.

Spoiler for Group final picks and predicts:
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Old 2011-10-17, 09:01   Link #3290
OverFunk
It will never be the year
 
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Age: 36
So many of you will get 8-0 on predictions. It's that bad. Not even Saimoe '08 degraded this fast. Hope the qf draw can salvage this thing.
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Old 2011-10-17, 10:44   Link #3291
klare
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Join Date: May 2009
so we will see 4 members of team madoka in the quarters

need some surprises
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Old 2011-10-17, 10:47   Link #3292
OverFunk
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Age: 36
Supporting Lotte for one. Last year with not a single Kugyuu in QF was 2008. That turned awful.
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Old 2011-10-17, 10:51   Link #3293
Aya Reiko
Cutengu
 
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Shameimaru's lap
So it begins...

Predicting biribiri here, and by a comfy margin too.
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Old 2011-10-17, 10:57   Link #3294
Zeroryoko1974
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OverFunk View Post
Supporting Lotte for one. Last year with not a single Kugyuu in QF was 2008. That turned awful.
The greatest example of how "random" the draw was. I don't think any LS character faced each other until the final. And then a QF where every character was facing someone of a different series, and Kagami and Suckasa were on opposite ends of the bracket
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Old 2011-10-17, 11:17   Link #3295
ars89
One-Eyed Dragon
 
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: NJ, USA
Time for group finals! Rooting for Mikoto today.
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Old 2011-10-17, 12:07   Link #3296
hinakatbklyn
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Join Date: Nov 2009
First hour and it looks like there is a potential for a snipe. Let's see if Mikoto can increase her lead.
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Old 2011-10-17, 12:48   Link #3297
Ichuki
┌(^o^)┘モリ!┌(^o^)┘モリ!
 
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Prediction- Lotte (Kinda hard which to predict because Mikoto has tons of antis by now)
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Old 2011-10-17, 12:51   Link #3298
Xellos-_^
Not Enough Sleep
 
 
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BrBri152>Lotta139

wondering how much is fake votes and how much is tactical voting.
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Old 2011-10-17, 12:55   Link #3299
Ichuki
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Join Date: Sep 2010
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xellos-_^ View Post
BrBri152>Lotta139

wondering how much is fake votes and how much is tactical voting.
So far it seems like Misaka has more fake votes than Lotte does
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Old 2011-10-17, 13:04   Link #3300
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