2016-08-12, 19:33 | Link #41 | |
AS Oji-kun
Join Date: Nov 2006
Age: 74
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I'm planning on writing up these findings soon. Preliminary results are here. Meanwhile, if you're curious, here is a similar model I ran for the 2012 election.
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2016-08-12, 22:14 | Link #43 | |
AS Oji-kun
Join Date: Nov 2006
Age: 74
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2016-08-13, 00:54 | Link #44 |
Bittersweet Distractor
Join Date: Nov 2007
Age: 32
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I can understand hating Hilary if you're a conservative, but supporting Trump is like cutting off your nose to spite your face. He's not a conservative and pretty much the only reason people would support him is in the hopes that he picks from his list of conservative SC justices. You know, something that can take decades to really shift momentum in this country compared to the immediate need for a person who can deal with a national crisis. Something that Trump is obviously not temperamentally suited for on any level, nor does he have the experience and knowledge necessary to deal with the world stage. Voting for him is dangerous and foolish on so many levels regardless of political affiliation.
The republican party at this point has a decision to make. Are they more loyal to their party or their country? Sadly based on what people like John McCain have been showing this election as they sit relatively silent behind their candidate, it seems to be the former.
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2016-08-13, 01:38 | Link #45 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2014
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2016-08-13, 03:05 | Link #46 | |
✘˵╹◡╹˶✘
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Australia
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Like yeah many will vote for her just because they don't want Trump in office or want SC judges. But she is far from progressive , FDR Democrats. In fact, her most loyal supporters even called those to the left of her to be 'radical progressive', comparable to fascism . Radical progressive? What the heck is radical progressive? And how the heck does anyone even believe there could be such a thing
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2016-08-13, 03:37 | Link #47 | |
My posts are frivolous
Join Date: Nov 2008
Age: 35
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I genuinely believe that a Hillary presidency will be worse than a Trump presidency in the short run. The kind of stuff that Hillary has been involved in through the Clinton Foundation in her time as secretary of state is completely unprecedented in terms of corruption and cronyism, while her record on international relations has been nothing short of disastrous. She is the kind of candidate who will do whatever it takes to fulfill her own agenda, and is not above circumventing the law in order to do that. Imagine what kind of damage she can inflict as president! For a conservative, a Hillary presidency would be a nightmare synonymous with another 8 years of Obama. We can expect to see:
Let's face it, Trump is not going to turn into Reagan overnight. Any conservative who believes he will become Reagan is living a pipe dream. Trump is a terrible, terrible candidate. He is an asshole who speaks without thinking and will make the US an international laughingstock. He does not care about the United States and probably only wants to be president just so he can scratch it off the bucket list. He is, however, not corrupt and cannot be bought over by special interest groups. There is some hope that he will accept a role as a figurehead and allow Pence and the rest of the GOP in the House and Senate to do the thinking for him, though I don't know how likely that is. Even though I would argue that a Hillary presidency is worse than a Trump presidency in the short run, the main issue is that among these two candidates, whoever becomes the next president will essentially kill off their parties' growth in the long run. W Bush's legacy is still haunting the GOP after 8 years, with people still blaming the national debt on him instead of pointing fingers at Obama's indisciplined spending. Hillary and Trump will do even more damage to their respective parties because the fustercluck that will mar their presidential term(s) will stick for years and years to come. If Trump becomes POTUS, the mess he leaves behind will be blamed on the GOP and on conservatives as a whole, while the fact that Hillary would probably have been even worse would not even be on the radar. By that time, there's a good chance that both the Senate and the House will be lost and never regained by conservatives for a long time. Meanwhile, if that happens, Trump won't even bother to push for conservative nominations to the USSC during his term. Overall, conservatives in the US face a very tough choice. Voting for Trump would be better than voting for Hillary in the short run, but letting Hillary make a mess of things would set the stage for a conservative resurgence in the future.
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Last edited by frivolity; 2016-08-13 at 03:56. |
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2016-08-13, 08:29 | Link #49 | |
cho~ kakkoii
Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 3rd Planet
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Conservative ideas in the US will continue to face increasing headwind as our population increase in diversity regardless who gets into office. Right now the message of the conservative idea in my country is about isolationism and military posturing. Exclusion is also plaguing the conservative movement which seems to speak to a certain group of population. Right now the whites are keeping the GOP relevant and by next election that group of population will be in the minority. So if the party of conservative (GOP) wants to stay relevant in the coming years they will need to change their messaging drastically. Frothing in the mouth by keep screaming about Mexican rapist, building walls, muslim banning and etc won't garner any movement toward conservatism. If Trump represents the brand of conservatism you speak of then Democrats won't need to do anything for the liberal ideas and agendas to catch on like bon fire in the coming years.
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2016-08-13, 09:56 | Link #50 | |
I disagree with you all.
Join Date: Dec 2005
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2016-08-13, 12:40 | Link #52 | |
Sekiroad-Idols Sing Twice
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Hillary is non-negotiable the lesser of two evils
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2016-08-13, 15:08 | Link #53 | ||||
Bittersweet Distractor
Join Date: Nov 2007
Age: 32
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Hilary Clinton has been in politics under the biggest microscope for a hell of a long time. She's dealt with a consistent and sustained effort by the right, and some on the left, to destroy her. I'm tired of people thinking that we need some "outsider" who somehow is going to solve the gridlock is Washington and then we're ultimately disappointed when the outsider just becomes another insider. No, what we need is someone who actually understands and can work with the system. Change doesn't happen all at once, it's incremental. It's not sexy, but she is better equipped to deal with current problems in Washington than pretty much anyone else running for political office at the moment. Quote:
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In any case, you seem to admit it yourself. We'd be the laughing stock of the world under President Trump. The first duty of President is to be commander and chief... It's not even a close decision unless you're a partisan hack. Additionally, a Trump presidency would basically destroy the Republican party's entire conservative agenda in favor of more regressive, nationalistic passions that are nothing more than a distraction to our politics. Like I said, the main reason to vote for him seems to be Supreme court for republicans, but some of your party elites are now even saying that is not worth the trouble.
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Last edited by Reckoner; 2016-08-13 at 17:57. |
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2016-08-13, 17:17 | Link #56 |
Junior Member
Join Date: Aug 2016
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Illegal immigrants are illegal immigrants. You have to deport them and enforce border and immigration laws, or the problem will continue.
Here's something I bet you haven't thought of: illegal immigrants are used as cheap labor. Now, if you legalize those illegal immigrants, they're no longer cheap labor; they now have to compete with everybody else. In addition, those former illegal immigrants will lose their jobs to new illegal immigrants, who will be used as cheap labor. Illegal immigration will never stop as long as business continue to use cheap labor, and legitimizing illegals already here will show future illegals that they can get away with coming here illegally. In addition to failing to solve the problem of illegal immigration, Hillary is also even more to the right of Obama on foreign policy. Just take a look at what she has planned for Syria. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...rderous-assad/ With Hillary, I fully expect more nation building, regime changes, and funding/supplying of more future terrorists and extremists. That all just confirms what I've already begun to suspect about Democrats; that foreign policy, what the US government does abroad, doesn't matter in the slightest. Social issues are literally all that matters to them. The US government has carte blanche to do whatever they want abroad...as long as trangenders can use whatever bathroom they want, and politicians don't say mean things about minorities. Then Americans get surprised later when they find out people don't like them. Gee, is it any wonder a nation like Iran hates America, when their democratically elected leader was disposed by a US (and UK)-led coup and replaced with a Western puppet government? How about nations in South America and around the world that had to put up with dictators that were supported by the US, just because they were against communism? Do any of the average Americans actually think about what happens beyond their borders? What about that big, old boogeyman Russia? Regardless of what happened in Ukraine, do Americans honestly believe that Russia is capable of invading and occupying, say, the Baltic states? They don't have the money, nor the equipment for that. You can say whatever you want about Trump, but I very firmly disagree with Hillary on issues such as immigration and foreign policy. And in case you bring up nukes, that was a deliberate misrepresentation (Joe Scarborough obviously does not like Trump). http://imgur.com/XqYXqdG |
2016-08-13, 18:33 | Link #57 | |||||
My posts are frivolous
Join Date: Nov 2008
Age: 35
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My point is that your assertion is not an established fact, so the reason why many conservatives would vote for Trump over Hillary is because (surprise, suprise!) conservatives have a different view from liberals - particularly about the Trump-Hillary trade-off. As such, this is not cutting your nose to spite your face, and it is not putting the party before the country once your assertion is set aside. CNN itself has reported on the issues with the Clinton Foundation, including corruption and cronyism. If you don't want to engage these issues then so be it, but again, my point is that the reason why many conservatives would support Trump is because many disagree with your assertion that Hillary is better than Trump. Bush's decision to go to war was a terrible decision, and all but the most hardcore right wingers will agree with that. Regardless, Obama's foreign policy has been just as bad. He has destabilised the Middle East and undermined relationships with key US allies. If Hillary intends to do more of the same, then her presidency is similarly "a serious danger to our national security and threatens to erode many of our political relations." That's not even counting the national security risk that her private email server has already caused even before her potential presidency! Notwithstanding that argument, regardless of whether or not you agree with my assessment, the point I'm once again making is that many conservatives disagree with your views, which is why many support Trump over Hillary. Quote:
I brought up the list of Hillary's shortcomings not as a standalone argument as to why conservatives don't like her, but as a lead-in to the next part of my post comparing Trump and Hillary. Put in this context, I was once again highlighting the fact that many conservatives disagree with your entire premise that Trump will be worse than Clinton. Obamacare did have some similarities to the original Heritage Foundation proposal, particularly in terms of requiring health insurance coverage, but the final policy is considerably different. The Heritage Foundation itself also disagrees with Obamacare as it currently stands. Quote:
The US would indeed be the laughingstock of the world under Trump. However, Hillary's presidency would have the same degree of negative impact in that we can expect other global powers to be making inroads in widening their own influence while narrowing USA's. The only difference is that: under Trump, they will be laughing while they go about it; and under Hillary, they won't be laughing while they do it. In the meantime, Hillary will go even further by accepting "foreign donations" to the Clinton Foundation in exchange for favours, which is not in issue with Trump. So no, conservatives don't agree with your claim that it's "not even close" in terms of supporting Hillary over Trump. Quote:
To summarise, the point of my previous post was to respond to your question as to why conservatives would support Trump over Hillary, given your premise that Hillary would be better than Trump. As I've repeatedly pointed out here, your premise is not an established fact, and the reason why many conservatives would support Trump over Hillary is because of disagreement with your premise in the first place. It's not because of "cutting off your nose to spite your face" or being "more loyal to their party or their country" as you so elegantly put it. It's actual disagreement with your underlying views. Quote:
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Last edited by frivolity; 2016-08-13 at 19:01. |
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2016-08-13, 19:03 | Link #59 |
My posts are frivolous
Join Date: Nov 2008
Age: 35
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Again, that's the liberal viewpoint but not necessarily the conservative viewpoint. My post that you responded to was talking about the conservative viewpoint, and was itself in response to another post that questioned why conservatives would support Trump. So liberals and conservatives disagree, surprise surprise!
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2016-08-13, 19:06 | Link #60 | |
Sekiroad-Idols Sing Twice
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