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Old 2012-03-16, 23:22   Link #941
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What was unusual about these results? Looking at them, they fell as I felt they would.

Just get me Kurisu and C.C. through and I've got enough to vote for this year through the main season.
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Old 2012-03-16, 23:27   Link #942
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If you looked at results with a win/loss outlook, they're not that far off, but if you take the win percentage into account, then it becomes far more abnormal. Although Tsumugi and Ritsu winning over Fuko and Kotomi by roughly the same amount seems odd. Considering Kotomi is stronger than Fuko and Tsumugi is stronger than Ritsu.

Of course, Kyouko's performance against Hinata has got the be the strangest of them all.
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Old 2012-03-16, 23:32   Link #943
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I vote for everyone
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Old 2012-03-16, 23:57   Link #944
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Demi. View Post
If you looked at results with a win/loss outlook, they're not that far off, but if you take the win percentage into account, then it becomes far more abnormal. Although Tsumugi and Ritsu winning over Fuko and Kotomi by roughly the same amount seems odd. Considering Kotomi is stronger than Fuko and Tsumugi is stronger than Ritsu.
Perhaps a lot of people who are typical Tsumugi voters also have a real soft spot for Evangeline A.K. McDowell?

Maybe Ayu took some voters away from Kotomi? I'd imagine there's quite a bit of overlap between Clannad fans and Kanon fans.


With strange results in 3-way matches, I'd be inclined to think that the "X" factor posed by the third, weakest girl might have played a role (i.e. she disproportionately taking more votes from one opponent than the other).

These are just some ideas, mind you. It's hard to see what could cause significant shifts in the strength level of Clannad and K-On characters (aside from maybe some sort of K-On movie impact).
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Old 2012-03-17, 03:20   Link #945
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Tsukimiya Ayu and Kamio Misuzu get paired up with Clannad characters and unsurprisingly get completely hammered for it. Erza was too weak to take advantage of the split vote but I suspect that Ayu cost Kotomi the win against Ritsu.

In a huge outlier match result, Hakamada Hinata makes a run at Sakura Kyoko. She didn't get too close in the end but I expected Kyoko to do much, much better considering what should be a massive strength gap between the two. I had Kyouko projected to get 64% of the non-Chihaya votes not the 54% she actually got. I'm not really sure what the cause of this is. It's not like Minato Tomoka suddenly got a boost along with Hinata and there are no other Madoka characters to compare against this round. I'm guessing this is a one time outlier result but we'll see in the next few days.

As the Guilty Crown anime nears its end it, some of their characters may be powering up. Tsugumi seems to be a fair bit stronger than before. However, once again it is not enough to change a result due to the pre-boost natural strength gap. I'm looking forward to seeing if Ayase or Inori boosted as well.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Demi. View Post
Some of these results look quite strange. I'd point some out, but I'm sure TRE will come around with his analysis soon enough.
The Sakura Kyouko match is definitely really strange. I don't know why it went down like that. Tsugumi's performance was pretty high and while I cite a "end of Guilty Crown" boost as possible, I think it's a bit early for it to kick in. Kotomi and Tomoyo doing badly is probably just a normal result of split votes. Were there any other results you thought were strange? Nanoha also looked a bit on the high side but I don't think it was anything too far out there.
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Old 2012-03-17, 13:53   Link #946
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Well everything I cared about mostly went as expected.
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Old 2012-03-17, 14:17   Link #947
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Just took a look at the contestants accepted into the robin rounds and... we have 5 HanaKana in Nova, and 6 in total out of 24. Quite a feat, I must say.

Pretty sad that Riko (Aria) beat Minami (Baka) and that Ritsu beat Kotomi.
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Old 2012-03-17, 16:12   Link #948
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nochgo View Post
Just took a look at the contestants accepted into the robin rounds and... we have 5 HanaKana in Nova, and 6 in total out of 24. Quite a feat, I must say.
Hanakawa had more characters qualified in phase I than all but one seiyuu had characters in prelim.
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Old 2012-03-17, 16:20   Link #949
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She's already beaten Kugimiya in numbers.
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Old 2012-03-17, 22:03   Link #950
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Someone emailed us and got Kyouko's avatar changed. Next time learn to trust the ISML staff.
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Old 2012-03-17, 22:18   Link #951
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Someone emailed us and got Kyouko's avatar changed. Next time learn to trust the ISML staff.
I never noticed. When exactly was the avatar changed? I don't really see why that would lead to a large drop in strength, though. The new avatar doesn't really look any worse than the previous one.
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Old 2012-03-17, 23:10   Link #952
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Team Rocket Elite View Post
I never noticed. When exactly was the avatar changed? I don't really see why that would lead to a large drop in strength, though. The new avatar doesn't really look any worse than the previous one.
I never thought avatars mattered...I thought people were voting for characters? Then again, I guess many do vote on looks
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Old 2012-03-17, 23:15   Link #953
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I never thought avatars mattered...I thought people were voting for characters? Then again, I guess many do vote on looks
They matter for those who aren't familiar with the characters.
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Old 2012-03-17, 23:18   Link #954
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Can't imagine too many people not being familiar with Madoka.
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Old 2012-03-17, 23:23   Link #955
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my votes

Madoka Kaname vs. Ririchiyo: Abstain
Nanoha vs. Konata Izumi: Nanoha
Yuno vs. Minene: Yuno
Romary Stone vs. Emily Asuno: Romary
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Old 2012-03-17, 23:45   Link #956
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Is there something I'm missing?
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Old 2012-03-17, 23:58   Link #957
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sorry, I'm just bored and spamming

REAL VOTES

ARENA 01: Astarotte Ygvar Ayuzawa Misaki Kasugano Sora
ARENA 02: Elucia de Lute Irma Kunieda Aoi Taneshima Poplar
ARENA 03: Inui Sana Kanzaki H. Aria Shionji Yūko (Alice)
ARENA 04: Chii Lucy Heartfilia Nymph
ARENA 05: Evangeline A.K. McDowell Ibuki Fūko Kotobuki Tsumugi
ARENA 06: Hiiragi Tsukasa Louise Vallière Suigintō
ARENA 07: [Honma Meiko] Oikawa Tsurara Yamada Aoi
ARENA 08: Abstain
ARENA 09: Mine Riko Nanasaki Ai Shimada Minami
ARENA 10: Abstain
ARENA 11: Abstain
ARENA 12: Kawashima Ami Kōzuki Kallen Shirai Kuroko
ARENA 13: Aragaki Ayase Minato Tomoka [Tsurugi Minko]
ARENA 14: [Dalian] Kirishima Shōko Uryū Minene
ARENA 15: [Inami Mahiru] Laura Bodewig Mikazuki Yozora
ARENA 16: Abstain
ARENA 17: Haibara Ai [Index L. Prohibitorum] Yūki Mikan
ARENA 18: [Sanzen'in Nagi] Sōryū Asuka Langley Yin
ARENA 19: Ayase Chihaya Hakamada Hinata [Sakura Kyōko]
ARENA 20: Haruna [Ika-Musume] Takahara Ayumi
ARENA 21: Himeji Mizuki Shinonome Hakase]Tsugumi
ARENA 22: Ayanami Rei Chrome Dokuro Izumi Konata
ARENA 23: C.C. Hoshina Utau Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 24: Ichinose Kotomi Tainaka Ritsu Tsukimiya Ayu
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Old 2012-03-18, 01:02   Link #958
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Originally Posted by Demi. View Post
Can't imagine too many people not being familiar with Madoka.
Familiarity breeds contempt, more often than not.
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Old 2012-03-18, 01:07   Link #959
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That's true. Humans are bitter, meanspirited little creatures that will look for any excuse they can to hate something.
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Old 2012-03-18, 02:09   Link #960
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That's true. Humans are bitter, meanspirited little creatures that will look for any excuse they can to hate something.
I know, such pitiful creatures.
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