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Old 2013-09-25, 23:01   Link #1561
Rajura
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Team Rocket Elite View Post
It was a good initial run, but it's time to start throwing my stats out the window. After a slow start, Nova counterattacks a bit. Unfortunately, the good performances don't really get them much in terms of actual wins. Nanami has a very good performance on Mikoto. Even before Nova had problems last round, I expected Misaka to smash Nanami pretty hard. Nanami greatly exceeded my expectations. However, the difference in strength is just too much so Misaka still has a solid win. Ayase vs Rikka is the one match that sort of went how I expected it to. Ayase had a safe win over Rikka. Ayase actually won by a bit more than I thought she would. It's too bad that Rikka didn't seem to benefit from the boost the other Nova characters got. Misaka only did a little better on Nanami than Ayase did on Rikka. Perhaps Misaka should be a bit worried next round. 7-6-5-4 but no 3 this year. Taiga has been gaining strength despite Toradora ending years ago but she's finally reached her limit. A lot of credit should still go to Kuroyukihime for the win. Taiga is still a very strong opponent which shows just how strong Kuroyukihime is now. I didn't think she would have a chance to win and she ended up taking Taida down easily. Kanade greatly undershot my prediction and still walks away with over 60% of the votes. It's still a really bad performance, though. Kanade can seriously lose to Kuroyukihime is she has another result like this.

Rita Ainsworth seems pretty strong. She was eligible this year so the nominators really should have put more effort into getting her into preliminaries to see how she does. Maou looks like she could probably beat Holo, not that that says much these days. She's probably got a good chance at making the regular season next year. Kurumi and Yukino stomp their opponents as expected. It's always a bit difficult to predict just how big these wins will be sometimes.
Fair analysis... but to clarify if that little comment near the end was in any way a nod to me, Maou is no substitute for Holo, some similarities... yes, similar voice... check, but you can't slap a pair of headband horns on a girl, give her an impractical bust size and make her moe... nope, Maou ain't replacin' my wolfu.

If such a battle did occur, Holo still wins in my book... would support Maou in the other matches though.

Oh, and I hope Kanade goes down soon.
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Old 2013-09-25, 23:02   Link #1562
hinakatbklyn
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While I think it's possible for Mikoto to win against Kanade if they have their rematch in the race for the tiara, after seeing the current results..... Mikoto might not have to worry about her rematch with Kanade if she can't beat her next opponent.

- Mikoto wins her match against Aoyama, but based on stats alone, Aoyama got alittle too close to Mikoto.
- Meanwhile, Ayase (7th seeded in stella) ends up with more total votes (than Mikoto) against a much stronger Rikka (2nd seeded in Nova)

Even though the series to Oreimo is complete, it is just recent enough that Ayase could pull a snipe on Mikoto. <I hope not!>
More cringe worthy, the tiara match ends up not being Ruri vs. Kanade, but Ruri vs. Ayase.

KuroYukiHime ends up being the lone Nova winner against Taiga.
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Old 2013-09-26, 00:00   Link #1563
Triple_R
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I really don't get my fellow ISML followers sometimes.

Kanade achieves all of the following:

The only girl this round to get over 6000 votes in a match that actually matters.
The only girl this round to clear 60% victory percentage on her rival.
A vote differential of over 2300 over her rival.

And people are saying she had a "really bad performance"?

And only now are people agreeing with me that she could get sniped before the finals, lol. I'm glad that people are agreeing with me on that, but her performance here is not the reason why she could get sniped.

You know, I almost mercy-voted Inori in this match because I knew she was going to badly lose. You don't suppose some of Kanade's typical voters might have done that, or just sat the match out correctly thinking that Kanade had this in the bag?

I mean, geez, we frequently see this over in J-SaiMoe where sitting out matches is much riskier given the far lower vote totals. The strongest girls tend to rise and fall to the level of their competition, so reading a lot into Kanade only doing a normal curbstomp rather than a "Why are they even bothering to hold this match?!" curbstomp seems like over-analyzing to me.

But yes, Kanade could lose before the finals if some strong girl's voter-base decides to try to snipe her.


In any event, I'm very happy with the results. I'm pleasantly surprised to see KYH defeat Taiga. The other Tiara round matches went as expected.
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Old 2013-09-26, 00:36   Link #1564
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Ayase is a 7th seed because she took some early losses before she grew into the powerhouse she is today. She wouldn't lose to Yuki, Shana and Azusa again. She would do a lot better than 40% on Misaka and I guess we're about to find out if she can outright win. Rikka had some bad luck drawing Ayase. She would have been better off if she threw the match in the Nova Circlet Semifinals and faced Taiga instead.

In regards to Kanade's performance. A decent margin of victory isn't necessarily good enough if your opponent is weak like Inori is supposed to be (relative to everyone in the Tiara bracket). 60% on Inori is not that good. It's not that bad but that's not good enough when aiming for first place. Kanade obliterated something like 80-90+ opponents over the last 3 years. Deciding to finally start showing some mercy in the single elimination playoff tournament makes no sense. Jsaimoe is JSaimoe. Perhaps things are different there but Kanade's ISML fans have no problem showing up to blowout matches day after day.
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Old 2013-09-26, 00:50   Link #1565
Triple_R
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I just looked over Kanade's Topaz matches for this year. She only hit 6,000 votes twice in 7 matches. Two of the opponents she failed to get 6,000 votes against were Kuroi Mato and Illyasviel von Einzbern, and I'd be surprised if Inori isn't stronger than them at this point (Inori was 8th in Nova, while Mato and Illyasviel were 25th and 26th in Stella).

So I do think there's recent pre-playoff evidence there that some Kanade voters only show up for truly tough competition.
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Old 2013-09-26, 01:15   Link #1566
Shinhwa
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Lol the characters I voted for all won YAY XD

GO GO MIKOTO!!!
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Old 2013-09-26, 02:02   Link #1567
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I really wasn't expecting it, but I'm glad Black Lotus won.
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Old 2013-09-26, 02:05   Link #1568
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I actually didn't think Kuroyukihime would win either lol
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Old 2013-09-26, 10:09   Link #1569
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ARENA 01: [Shiina Mashiro] Eucliwood Hellscythe
ARENA 02: [Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko)] Nakano Azusa
ARENA 03: Kōsaka Kirino [Hasegawa Kobato]
ARENA 04: [Kashiwazaki Sena] Yūki Asuna
ARENA 05: Nishikino Maki [Shiguma Rika] Leticia Draculair
ARENA 06: Minami Kana [Harusaki Chiwa] Kitashirakawa Tamako
ARENA 07: Yusa Emi [Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko] Frenda Seivelun
* (I was tempted to vote Yusa and or Frenda..... can't vote against Tsukiko this time.)
ARENA 08: Yuigahama Yui [Itsuka Kotori] Mikasa Ackerman
* (Kotori gets priority over Yuigahama)
ARENA 09: [Abstained] Komichi Aya Stocking Anarchy Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: Mihama Chiyo Hinata Natsumi [Mimi]
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Old 2013-09-26, 10:19   Link #1570
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Azusa vs. Kuroneko was somewhat tough, but other than that, a very easy round for me.

ARENA 01: [Shiina Mashiro] Eucliwood Hellscythe
ARENA 02: Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) [Nakano Azusa]
ARENA 03: Kōsaka Kirino [Abstained] Hasegawa Kobato
ARENA 04: Kashiwazaki Sena [Yūki Asuna]
ARENA 05: [Nishikino Maki] Shiguma Rika Leticia Draculair
ARENA 06: Minami Kana Harusaki Chiwa [Kitashirakawa Tamako]
ARENA 07: Yusa Emi Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko [Frenda Seivelun]
ARENA 08: Yuigahama Yui Itsuka Kotori [Mikasa Ackerman]
ARENA 09: [Komichi Aya] Stocking Anarchy Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: [Mihama Chiyo] Hinata Natsumi Mimi
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Old 2013-09-26, 10:48   Link #1571
Ichuki
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ARENA 01: [Shiina Mashiro] Eucliwood Hellscythe
ARENA 02: [Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko)] Nakano Azusa
ARENA 03: Kōsaka Kirino [Hasegawa Kobato]
ARENA 04: [Kashiwazaki Sena] Yūki Asuna
ARENA 05: [Nishikino Maki] Shiguma Rika Leticia Draculair
ARENA 06: Minami Kana Harusaki Chiwa [Kitashirakawa Tamako]
ARENA 07: Yusa Emi Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko [Frenda Seivelun]
ARENA 08: Yuigahama Yui Itsuka Kotori [Mikasa Ackerman]
ARENA 09: Komichi Aya Stocking Anarchy [Kazanari Tsubasa]
ARENA 10: [Mihama Chiyo] Hinata Natsumi Mimi
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Old 2013-09-26, 11:47   Link #1572
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ARENA 02: [Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko)] Nakano Azusa
ARENA 03: Kōsaka Kirino [Hasegawa Kobato]
ARENA 04: [Kashiwazaki Sena] Yūki Asuna
ARENA 05: Nishikino Maki [Shiguma Rika] Leticia Draculair
ARENA 06: Minami Kana [Harusaki Chiwa] Kitashirakawa Tamako
ARENA 07: Yusa Emi [Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko] Frenda Seivelun
ARENA 08: Yuigahama Yui [Itsuka Kotori] Mikasa Ackerman
ARENA 09: [Abstained] Komichi Aya Stocking Anarchy Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: [Abstained] Mihama Chiyo Hinata Natsumi Mimi
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Old 2013-09-26, 13:45   Link #1573
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ARENA 03: [Kōsaka Kirino] Hasegawa Kobato
ARENA 04: Kashiwazaki Sena [Yūki Asuna]
ARENA 05: Nishikino Maki Shiguma Rika [Leticia Draculair]
ARENA 06: Minami Kana Harusaki Chiwa [Kitashirakawa Tamako]
ARENA 07: Yusa Emi [Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko] Frenda Seivelun
ARENA 08: Yuigahama Yui Itsuka Kotori [Mikasa Ackerman]
ARENA 09: Komichi Aya [Stocking Anarchy] Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: [Mihama Chiyo] Hinata Natsumi Mimi
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Old 2013-09-26, 13:54   Link #1574
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ARENA 02: Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) [Nakano Azusa]
ARENA 03: Kōsaka Kirino [Abstained] Hasegawa Kobato
ARENA 04: Kashiwazaki Sena [Yūki Asuna]
ARENA 05: [Abstained] Nishikino Maki Shiguma Rika Leticia Draculair
ARENA 06: Minami Kana Harusaki Chiwa [Kitashirakawa Tamako]
ARENA 07: [Abstained] Yusa Emi Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko Frenda Seivelun
ARENA 08: Yuigahama Yui Itsuka Kotori [Mikasa Ackerman]
ARENA 09: Komichi Aya [Stocking Anarchy] Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: [Mihama Chiyo] Hinata Natsumi Mimi
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Old 2013-09-26, 15:04   Link #1575
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ARENA 04: [柏崎星奈] 結城明日奈
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ARENA 09: [小路 綾] ストッキング 風鳴 翼
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Old 2013-09-26, 15:44   Link #1576
Ahasuerus
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ARENA 02: [Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko)] Nakano Azusa
ARENA 03: Kōsaka Kirino [Hasegawa Kobato]
ARENA 04: [Kashiwazaki Sena] Yūki Asuna
ARENA 05: Nishikino Maki [Shiguma Rika] Leticia Draculair
ARENA 06: [Minami Kana] Harusaki Chiwa Kitashirakawa Tamako
ARENA 07: [Yusa Emi] Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko Frenda Seivelun
ARENA 08: Yuigahama Yui Itsuka Kotori [Mikasa Ackerman]
ARENA 09: Komichi Aya [Stocking Anarchy] Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: [Mihama Chiyo] Hinata Natsumi Mimi

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Old 2013-09-26, 15:58   Link #1577
Deathscyther
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ARENA 03: [Kōsaka Kirino] Hasegawa Kobato
ARENA 04: Kashiwazaki Sena [Yūki Asuna]
ARENA 05: [Nishikino Maki] Shiguma Rika Leticia Draculair
ARENA 06: Minami Kana [Harusaki Chiwa] Kitashirakawa Tamako
ARENA 07: [Yusa Emi] Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko Frenda Seivelun
ARENA 08: Yuigahama Yui [Itsuka Kotori] Mikasa Ackerman
ARENA 09: [Komichi Aya] Stocking Anarchy Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: Mihama Chiyo Hinata Natsumi [Mimi]
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Old 2013-09-26, 16:06   Link #1578
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ARENA 03: Kōsaka Kirino [Hasegawa Kobato]
ARENA 04: [Kashiwazaki Sena] Yūki Asuna
ARENA 05: Nishikino Maki Shiguma Rika [Leticia Draculair]
ARENA 06: [Minami Kana] Harusaki Chiwa Kitashirakawa Tamako
ARENA 07: Yusa Emi [Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko] Frenda Seivelun
ARENA 08: [Yuigahama Yui] Itsuka Kotori Mikasa Ackerman
ARENA 09: Komichi Aya [Stocking Anarchy] Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: Mihama Chiyo [Hinata Natsumi] Mimi
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Old 2013-09-26, 17:43   Link #1579
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Spoiler for Votes:
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Old 2013-09-26, 17:44   Link #1580
Kotohono
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Age: 32
ARENA 01: [Shiina Mashiro] Eucliwood Hellscythe
ARENA 02: Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) [Nakano Azusa]
ARENA 03: [Kōsaka Kirino] Hasegawa Kobato
ARENA 04: Kashiwazaki Sena [Yūki Asuna]
ARENA 05: Nishikino Maki [Shiguma Rika] Leticia Draculair
ARENA 06: Minami Kana Harusaki Chiwa [Kitashirakawa Tamako]
ARENA 07: [Yusa Emi] Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko Frenda Seivelun
ARENA 08: [Yuigahama Yui] Itsuka Kotori Mikasa Ackerman
ARENA 09: [Komichi Aya] Stocking Anarchy Kazanari Tsubasa
ARENA 10: [Abstained] Mihama Chiyo Hinata Natsumi Mimi

Very tough round today for me , everything besides 10, 8, and 1 was pretty close.
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