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Old 2013-11-24, 14:10   Link #1901
Team Rocket Elite
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Old 2013-11-24, 16:03   Link #1902
mistress_kisara
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
ARENA 01: Gilgamesh [Orihara Izaya]
ARENA 02: [Yagami Light] Uchiha Itachi
ARENA 03: [Kyon] Itsuka Shidō
ARENA 04: Edward Elric [Nanase Haruka]
ARENA 05: L Lawliet [Sakata Gintoki]
ARENA 06: Sakamaki Izayoi [Takasu Ryūji]
ARENA 07: [Levi] Heiwajima Shizuo
ARENA 08: [Usui Takumi] Accelerator
ARENA 09: Patchouli Knowledge [Abstained] Alice Margatroid
ARENA 10: Hinanawi Tenshi [Abstained] Flandre Scarlet
ARENA 11: Fujiwara no Mokō [Abstained] Konpaku Yōmu
ARENA 12: Yakumo Yukari [Abstained] Ibaraki Kasen
ARENA 13: [Abstained] Akatsuki Fino Bloodstone Koto
ARENA 14: [Nase Mitsuki] Rachel Alucard Mankanshoku Mako
ARENA 15: Naruse Ibara [Matsumae Ohana] Tōma Kazusa
ARENA 16: [Abstained] Miyauchi Renge Charlotte Belew Celia Cumani Aintree
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Old 2013-11-24, 16:21   Link #1903
Triple_R
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Arena 14 was a pretty tough call all-around for me. Other than that, easy round.

ARENA 01: [Gilgamesh] Orihara Izaya
ARENA 02: [Yagami Light] Uchiha Itachi
ARENA 03: [Kyon] Itsuka Shidō
ARENA 04: Edward Elric [Nanase Haruka]
ARENA 05: [L Lawliet] Sakata Gintoki
ARENA 06: Sakamaki Izayoi [Takasu Ryūji]
ARENA 07: [Levi] Heiwajima Shizuo
ARENA 08: Usui Takumi [Accelerator]
ARENA 09: Patchouli Knowledge [Alice Margatroid]
ARENA 10: Hinanawi Tenshi [Flandre Scarlet]
ARENA 11: Fujiwara no Mokō [Abstained] Konpaku Yōmu
ARENA 12: Yakumo Yukari [Abstained] Ibaraki Kasen
ARENA 13: Akatsuki Fino Bloodstone [Koto]
ARENA 14: Nase Mitsuki [Rachel Alucard] Mankanshoku Mako
ARENA 15: Naruse Ibara [Matsumae Ohana] Tōma Kazusa
ARENA 16: Miyauchi Renge [Charlotte Belew] Celia Cumani Aintree
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Old 2013-11-24, 19:06   Link #1904
broken270
Defying gravity
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Quote:
Originally Posted by iamadooddood View Post
Since this is for calculating the fluctuation rate, x and y are going to be the actual number of votes for each girl in a certain match.

As for Δx and Δy, that's what I'm calculating in the first place (or at least, a form of it; x'% = (∆x/x)*100% and y'% = (∆y/y)*100%). But I can't give details on my workings unless I have someplace to upload them to. Does the ISML site have such a place?
There's this one that you can place it in. It looks relatively related to where you want to place your data. If not, then this sub-section could suffice.
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Old 2013-11-24, 19:16   Link #1905
Rajura
My wolfu is >> your waifu
 
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Charleston, West Virginia
Age: 38
Disclaimer and corollary remain in effect...

ARENA 01: Gilgamesh [Orihara Izaya]
ARENA 02: [Yagami Light] Uchiha Itachi
ARENA 03: [Kyon] Itsuka Shidō
ARENA 04: Edward Elric [Nanase Haruka]
ARENA 05: L Lawliet [Sakata Gintoki]
ARENA 06: Sakamaki Izayoi [Takasu Ryūji]
ARENA 07: Levi [Heiwajima Shizuo]
ARENA 08: Usui Takumi [Accelerator]
ARENA 09: Patchouli Knowledge [Alice Margatroid]
ARENA 10: [Hinanawi Tenshi] Flandre Scarlet
ARENA 11: Fujiwara no Mokō [Konpaku Yōmu]
ARENA 12: Yakumo Yukari [Ibaraki Kasen]
ARENA 13: Akatsuki [Fino Bloodstone] Koto
ARENA 14: [Nase Mitsuki] Rachel Alucard Mankanshoku Mako
ARENA 15: Naruse Ibara Matsumae Ohana [Tōma Kazusa]
ARENA 16: Miyauchi Renge Charlotte Belew [Celia Cumani Aintree]
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Old 2013-11-25, 00:02   Link #1906
Kotohono
Yuri 'serator
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Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: FL, USA
Age: 32
ARENA 01: Gilgamesh [Orihara Izaya]
ARENA 02: [Yagami Light] Uchiha Itachi
ARENA 03: [Kyon] Itsuka Shidō
ARENA 04: [Edward Elric] Nanase Haruka
ARENA 05: [L Lawliet] Sakata Gintoki
ARENA 06: Sakamaki Izayoi [Takasu Ryūji]
ARENA 07: Levi [Abstained] Heiwajima Shizuo
ARENA 08: [Usui Takumi] Accelerator
ARENA 09: [Patchouli Knowledge] Alice Margatroid
ARENA 10: Hinanawi Tenshi [Flandre Scarlet]
ARENA 11: [Fujiwara no Mokō] Konpaku Yōmu
ARENA 12: [Yakumo Yukari] Ibaraki Kasen
ARENA 13: [Akatsuki] Fino Bloodstone Koto
ARENA 14: [Nase Mitsuki] Rachel Alucard Mankanshoku Mako
ARENA 15: Naruse Ibara Matsumae Ohana [Tōma Kazusa]
ARENA 16: [Miyauchi Renge] Charlotte Belew Celia Cumani Aintree

Easy votes today .
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Old 2013-11-25, 02:16   Link #1907
iamadooddood
NOM.
 
 
Join Date: May 2013
Location: Singapore
Age: 27
Quote:
Originally Posted by RegalStar View Post
I thought they were supposed to be the perdicted VF of the two girls?
Oops, sorry. Yeah, you're right, x and y are the predicted votes.

If we let x0 = x + Δx and y0 = y - Δy (i.e. x0 and y0 represent the actual votes), then all we need to do is simply replace x with y0 and y with x0 in the equations, and we should be fine. (Took me quite some time to work this out, though...)

@KanbeKotori and broken270: Thanks. I'll compile it and upload it there some time after this week's exams (Friday morning).
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Old 2013-11-25, 03:52   Link #1908
wontaek
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Planet Earth
Age: 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by iamadooddood View Post
Oops, sorry. Yeah, you're right, x and y are the predicted votes.

If we let x0 = x + Δx and y0 = y - Δy (i.e. x0 and y0 represent the actual votes), then all we need to do is simply replace x with y0 and y with x0 in the equations, and we should be fine. (Took me quite some time to work this out, though...)

@KanbeKotori and broken270: Thanks. I'll compile it and upload it there some time after this week's exams (Friday morning).
So, how can we know what should be the x and y? You need to tell us the method to obtain predicted votes for the characters in 2013 Emerald and Topaz Period in order for us to see how great the fluctuation is.
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Old 2013-11-25, 23:57   Link #1909
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Join Date: Jul 2008
I wasn't sure what to make of Accelerator killing everyone in his group but now he goes and puts up another champion level performance on Takumi. When you combine this with Touma looking much stronger than before, it seems like there was a large jump in the overall strength of the Index characters. Levi doesn't look quite as good as I expected and a bit worse than Accelerator did on Shizuo. It's still a very good performance but it just means Levi has competition for the championship instead of being able to cruise into first place. Gintoki and Izayoi put up some pretty good numbers. Gintoki wouldn't have done this well on L last year. It's difficult to say if Ryuuji and L fell or Gintoki and Izayoi are stronger than expected. I think this is probably more Gintoki and Izayoi being stronger. Haruka does badly. It's not very surprising. Kyon has a solid win and so do Itachi and Gilgamesh.

Scarlet Devil Mansion characters are tough to beat. More or less the results are close to what I would expect. Kasen having so much strength is still very surprising. I expected her to be one of the weaker Touhou characters and she goes on to give Yukari trouble. I'm glad to see Yukari managed to win, though.

I barely know any of the Fall characters so I'm not sure what's a good performance and what isn't. Mitsuki probably looks alright. Ohana won her group pretty easily which speaks badly on the strength of her opponents.
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Old 2013-11-26, 11:53   Link #1910
Ichuki
┌(^o^)┘モリ!┌(^o^)┘モリ!
 
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
ARENA 01: Uchiha Itachi [Abstained] Kirigaya Kazuto
ARENA 02: Edward Elric [Lelouch Lamperouge]
ARENA 03: [Otonashi Yuzuru] Sakamaki Izayoi
ARENA 04: [Katsuragi Keima] Accelerator
ARENA 05: Yanagi Fuyumi Taiyō Akari [Matsuoka Gō]
ARENA 06: Kirigiri Kyōko Susanna Hopkins [Misawa Maho]
ARENA 07: [Minato Tomoka] Ichinose Hajime Mikage Aki
ARENA 08: Dōmyōji Sakura [Kujyō Tsukiyo] Ai Astin
ARENA 09: [Serena] Sarashiki Tatenashi Mukaido Manaka
ARENA 10: Kaga Kōko Shinmoto Chiko [Yūōji Ōka]
ARENA 11: Hiradaira Chisaki Ogiso Setsuna [Momoi Satsuki]
ARENA 12: [Himeragi Yukina] Yaya Saeki Makoto
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Old 2013-11-26, 12:07   Link #1911
npal
I desire Tomorrow!
 
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: As far away from reality as possible
Age: 38
ARENA 01: Uchiha Itachi [Abstained] Kirigaya Kazuto
ARENA 02: Edward Elric [Lelouch Lamperouge]
ARENA 03: [Otonashi Yuzuru] Sakamaki Izayoi
ARENA 04: [Katsuragi Keima] Accelerator
ARENA 05: [Yanagi Fuyumi] Taiyō Akari Matsuoka Gō
ARENA 06: [Kirigiri Kyōko] Susanna Hopkins Misawa Maho
ARENA 07: [Minato Tomoka] Ichinose Hajime Mikage Aki
ARENA 08: Dōmyōji Sakura Kujyō Tsukiyo [Ai Astin]
ARENA 09: Serena [Sarashiki Tatenashi] Mukaido Manaka
ARENA 10: Kaga Kōko Shinmoto Chiko [Yūōji Ōka]
ARENA 11: [Abstained] Hiradaira Chisaki Ogiso Setsuna Momoi Satsuki
ARENA 12: [Himeragi Yukina] Yaya Saeki Makoto

Arena 6 was nasty, as I liked all girls. One or two of the other groups I voted mostly randomly. I didn't want to vote on Arena 1 xP And the other abstain was because I didn't care enough/didn't know the girls enough to decide.
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Old 2013-11-26, 13:04   Link #1912
KanbeKotori
失礼、噛みました
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
ARENA 01: [うちはイタチ] 桐ヶ谷和人
ARENA 02: エドワード・エルリック [Abstained] ルルーシュ・ランペルージ
ARENA 03: 音無結弦 [逆廻十六夜]
ARENA 04: 桂木桂馬 [一方通行]
ARENA 05: 柳冬実 太陽あかり [松岡江]
ARENA 06: 霧切響子 スザンナ・ホプキンス [三沢真帆]
ARENA 07: [湊智花] 一ノ瀬はじめ 御影アキ
ARENA 08: 道明寺桜 九条月夜 [アイ・アスティン]
ARENA 09: セレナ [更識楯無] 向井戸まなか
ARENA 10: [加賀香子] 新本チコ 遊王子謳歌
ARENA 11: [比良平ちさき] 小木曽雪菜 桃井さつき
ARENA 12: 姫柊雪菜 [夜々] 冴木まこと
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Old 2013-11-26, 13:20   Link #1913
Kotohono
Yuri 'serator
*Moderator
 
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: FL, USA
Age: 32
ARENA 01: Uchiha Itachi [Kirigaya Kazuto]
ARENA 02: Edward Elric [Lelouch Lamperouge]
ARENA 03: [Otonashi Yuzuru] Sakamaki Izayoi
ARENA 04: [Katsuragi Keima] Accelerator
ARENA 05: Yanagi Fuyumi [Taiyō Akari] Matsuoka Gō
ARENA 06: Kirigiri Kyōko Susanna Hopkins [Misawa Maho]
ARENA 07: [Minato Tomoka] Ichinose Hajime Mikage Aki
ARENA 08: [Dōmyōji Sakura] Kujyō Tsukiyo Ai Astin
ARENA 09: [Abstained] Serena Sarashiki Tatenashi Mukaido Manaka
ARENA 10: [Kaga Kōko] Shinmoto Chiko Yūōji Ōka
ARENA 11: Hiradaira Chisaki [Ogiso Setsuna] Momoi Satsuki
ARENA 12: [Abstained] Himeragi Yukina Yaya Saeki Makoto

8 and 10 were only remotely difficult choices even then not really hard.
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Old 2013-11-26, 14:10   Link #1914
Ahasuerus
UNBOUND-ed
 
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Oakland, CA
Age: 68
ARENA 01: Uchiha Itachi [Kirigaya Kazuto]
ARENA 02: [Edward Elric] Lelouch Lamperouge
ARENA 03: [Otonashi Yuzuru] Sakamaki Izayoi
ARENA 04: Katsuragi Keima [Accelerator]
ARENA 05: [Yanagi Fuyumi] Taiyō Akari Matsuoka Gō
ARENA 06: Kirigiri Kyōko [Susanna Hopkins] Misawa Maho
ARENA 07: Minato Tomoka Ichinose Hajime [Mikage Aki]
ARENA 08: Dōmyōji Sakura Kujyō Tsukiyo [Ai Astin]
ARENA 09: Serena Sarashiki Tatenashi [Mukaido Manaka]
ARENA 10: [Kaga Kōko] Shinmoto Chiko Yūōji Ōka
ARENA 11: [Hiradaira Chisaki] Ogiso Setsuna Momoi Satsuki
ARENA 12: Himeragi Yukina [Yaya] Saeki Makoto

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Old 2013-11-26, 14:58   Link #1915
Dextro
He Without a Title
 
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: The land of tempura
ARENA 01: Uchiha Itachi [Kirigaya Kazuto]
ARENA 02: [Edward Elric] Lelouch Lamperouge
ARENA 03: [Otonashi Yuzuru] Sakamaki Izayoi
ARENA 04: Katsuragi Keima [Accelerator]
ARENA 05: Yanagi Fuyumi Taiyō Akari [Matsuoka Gō]
ARENA 06: [Kirigiri Kyōko] Susanna Hopkins Misawa Maho
ARENA 07: [Abstained] Minato Tomoka Ichinose Hajime Mikage Aki
ARENA 08: Dōmyōji Sakura Kujyō Tsukiyo [Ai Astin]
ARENA 09: [Serena] Sarashiki Tatenashi Mukaido Manaka
ARENA 10: [Kaga Kōko] Shinmoto Chiko Yūōji Ōka
ARENA 11: [Abstained] Hiradaira Chisaki Ogiso Setsuna Momoi Satsuki
ARENA 12: [Abstained] Himeragi Yukina Yaya Saeki Makoto
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Old 2013-11-26, 15:16   Link #1916
Houreki
Senior Member
 
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Age: 25
ARENA 01: [[Uchiha Itachi]] Kirigaya Kazuto
ARENA 02: Edward Elric [[Lelouch Lamperouge]]
ARENA 03: [[Otonashi Yuzuru]] Sakamaki Izayoi
ARENA 04: Katsuragi Keima [[Accelerator]]
ARENA 05: Yanagi Fuyumi Taiyō Akari [[Matsuoka Gō]]
ARENA 06: [[Kirigiri Kyōko]] Susanna Hopkins Misawa Maho
ARENA 07: [[Minato Tomoka]] Ichinose Hajime Mikage Aki
ARENA 08: [[Dōmyōji Sakura]] Kujyō Tsukiyo Ai Astin
ARENA 09: [[Serena]] Sarashiki Tatenashi Mukaido Manaka
ARENA 10: Kaga Kōko Shinmoto Chiko [[Yūōji Ōka]]
ARENA 11: [[Hiradaira Chisaki]] Ogiso Setsuna Momoi Satsuki
ARENA 12: [[Himeragi Yukina]] Yaya Saeki Makoto
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Old 2013-11-26, 15:29   Link #1917
exec
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Join Date: Jul 2009
ARENA 01: Uchiha Itachi [Kirigaya Kazuto]
ARENA 02: [Edward Elric] Lelouch Lamperouge
ARENA 03: Otonashi Yuzuru [Sakamaki Izayoi]
ARENA 04: [Katsuragi Keima] Accelerator
ARENA 05: Yanagi Fuyumi [Taiyō Akari] Matsuoka Gō
ARENA 06: Kirigiri Kyōko [Susanna Hopkins] Misawa Maho
ARENA 07: Minato Tomoka [Ichinose Hajime] Mikage Aki
ARENA 08: Dōmyōji Sakura [Kujyō Tsukiyo] Ai Astin
ARENA 09: Serena [Sarashiki Tatenashi] Mukaido Manaka
ARENA 10: [Kaga Kōko] Shinmoto Chiko Yūōji Ōka
ARENA 11: [Hiradaira Chisaki] Ogiso Setsuna Momoi Satsuki
ARENA 12: Himeragi Yukina [Yaya] Saeki Makoto
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Old 2013-11-26, 15:29   Link #1918
Triple_R
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Newfoundland, Canada
Age: 39
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Arenas 5 and 11 made me pause, but otherwise very easy round. Some people have hyped Kaga Koko, so I'm very interested in seeing how she does here.

ARENA 01: Uchiha Itachi [Kirigaya Kazuto]
ARENA 02: Edward Elric [Lelouch Lamperouge]
ARENA 03: [Otonashi Yuzuru] Sakamaki Izayoi
ARENA 04: Katsuragi Keima [Accelerator]
ARENA 05: Yanagi Fuyumi [Taiyō Akari] Matsuoka Gō
ARENA 06: [Kirigiri Kyōko] Susanna Hopkins Misawa Maho
ARENA 07: [Minato Tomoka] Ichinose Hajime Mikage Aki
ARENA 08: Dōmyōji Sakura Kujyō Tsukiyo [Ai Astin]
ARENA 09: Serena Sarashiki Tatenashi [Mukaido Manaka]
ARENA 10: [Kaga Kōko] Shinmoto Chiko Yūōji Ōka
ARENA 11: Hiradaira Chisaki [Ogiso Setsuna] Momoi Satsuki
ARENA 12: [Himeragi Yukina] Yaya Saeki Makoto
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Old 2013-11-26, 16:47   Link #1919
CrowKenobi
One PUNCH!
*Administrator
 
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
ARENA 01: Uchiha Itachi [Kirigaya Kazuto]
ARENA 02: [Edward Elric] Lelouch Lamperouge
ARENA 03: Otonashi Yuzuru [Sakamaki Izayoi]
ARENA 04: Katsuragi Keima [Accelerator]
ARENA 05: Yanagi Fuyumi Taiyō Akari [Matsuoka Gō]
ARENA 06: Kirigiri Kyōko Susanna Hopkins [Misawa Maho]
ARENA 07: Minato Tomoka [Ichinose Hajime] Mikage Aki
ARENA 08: [Dōmyōji Sakura] Kujyō Tsukiyo Ai Astin
ARENA 09: Serena [Sarashiki Tatenashi] Mukaido Manaka
ARENA 10: [Kaga Kōko] Shinmoto Chiko Yūōji Ōka
ARENA 11: [Abstained] Hiradaira Chisaki Ogiso Setsuna Momoi Satsuki
ARENA 12: Himeragi Yukina [Yaya] Saeki Makoto
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Old 2013-11-26, 18:42   Link #1920
Team Rocket Elite
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