2009-12-28, 00:46 | Link #221 |
ISML Technical Staff
Graphic Designer
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That's your opinion then. IMO, K-ON! is already like Lucky Star, where only Kagami/Mio fags stay faithful and other/Yui fans have moved on. Plus, while they aired at the same time during the year, Lucky Star had double the amount of episodes and ended way later than K-ON!, which left more time for impression and less time to forget.
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2009-12-28, 00:54 | Link #222 |
Ass connoisseur
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Florida
Age: 37
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What does it take to revive lost popularity? The K-ON Ova should be more than enough to give them their lost popularity over the months it's been finished.
Either way, Ova or no Ova, I still think Mio is one tier above Kagami, and Yui is one tier above Tsukasa. Call it my 'gut' if you will, but that's the impression I get while frequenting other anime forums/sites, etc.
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2009-12-28, 00:58 | Link #223 | ||
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2008
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2009-12-28, 01:02 | Link #224 |
ISML Technical Staff
Graphic Designer
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Okay, then we must be frequenting different sites, because no one talks about K-ON! anymore while Lucky Star is still popular. I'm actually hosting a pseudo moe competition that proves this somewhere, but the OVA will make a difference. My stats are based on April of 2010, and if no one watches the OVA.
So it all comes down to what we believe will happen to K-ON!, right? Then further discussion is useless.
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2009-12-28, 01:20 | Link #225 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Brazil
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2009-12-28, 03:31 | Link #229 |
Gamilas Falls
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Republic of California
Age: 46
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One cannot make a statistic based on something that has not happened yet. (One can predict a future event based on existing numbers...not numbers that do not as of yet exist)
K-On will do what K-On will do. Assuming these back and forths don't scour people, they should do fine like their KyoAni cousins simply because more people know they exist and it is recent. That Yui made it to second place in Saimoe without any truely weird vote results complicating things on the way (cutting out the high rollers early...aside from Mio) should be at least a sign that they can hold there own in a fight. Also, though it was Japan, holding a relatively high vote total for the majority of the contest should show at least a mild following. Mio is the one no one knows exactly how she'll fair. Based on the amounts of images produced, she should slaughter all in her way with moe. But she's not done this yet. It might be overconfidence on her fans part. The "Oh Mio will just win anyway" responce that tends to get the character to lose early on because of misplaced sympathy votes, hate votes, and lack of interest due to the expected overwhelming 75% vote sweep. It has happened before. Ui will probably not be able to hold her own, but Azusa might be able to stand a bit. She's got the tough road of only being in half the series. However all is on the whims of the anime watcher. The voters will be different by July than they are come March. As for Eruruu...I think it was more the lack of popularity that Haruhi was getting towards the end of "Endless Eight" that caused that one to happen. Followed by the Haruhi-Yuki-Eruruu split vote in G Block that brought about that win. But G Block was just messed up overall anyway in 2009.
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2009-12-28, 04:34 | Link #230 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Adelaide
Age: 36
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12 Slots? That's a lot. Eh well I guess this means I won't be replacing Kanaru Morimoto.
As for the last spot it's going to Akari from Miracle Train. I was thinking of voting for Chihaya from Magical Canan but with Miracle Train's last episode I can't very well not vote for her. (It's not like anyone has heard of Magical Canan anyway and it also has a hentai version which might confuse people.) Besides now I have characters from two whole recent series. Spoiler for Planned Nominations:
Although the biggest hopes in my list are a girl who didn't make the main tournament last year and this. So yeah. Edit: Also statistics are hard so I'm going to ignore them for now. That way I can still pretend that people like the same characters I do.
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Last edited by Ash Falls Town; 2009-12-30 at 10:30. |
2009-12-28, 06:00 | Link #231 | |||||
Senior Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Planet Earth
Age: 54
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Tohsaka Rin 56 over Okazaki Ushio 44 Error margin +- 4% : Actually I thought of giving bigger error margin in case Korean Fan girls showed up in hordes. Okazaki Ushio supremely benefited from lucky drawing coupled with extreme complacency of Fujibayashi Kyou fans, most of whom that ignored my cry for help in Best Moe 2009. Let's look at it this way. Among hormonal male voters Ushio will attract less than 30, if not 20%, of their votes when pitted against hotties like Rin or Kyou, both with renowned 'thighs'. Among females who consider themselves strong willed and independently minded, Rin would still win. Still Clannad fans and those who find cute babies irresistible are numerous as well, and hard core Clannad fans were willing to put Ushio over Kyou for the story related reasons. In end, Rin will win, but it can either be a blowout or be a very close match depending on which group was willing to make itself known. Above numbers are based on voting groups for 2nd half of DE 2009 as I don't expect those zealots to come to ISML yet. Tsukasa 52 over Yui 48 Error margin +- 3% : This is tough. I know Tsukasa has some rabid fans. Her performance in 2009 was tainted by certain canine fan from 2008 who made many hesitate on campaigning for Tsukasa. Still, if K-On is a phenomenon, Lucky Star has grown to religion like status in Japan and perhaps in Korea as well. Even now, people will be more excited about new Lucky Star episode compared to new K-On episode, judging from the rather subdued reaction people had about ep.14 of K-on being leaked out 1 month early by Korean Cable TV station. Although the two series are close formula wise, Lucky Star offers more diverse personalities and situations, giving people more to think about. I believe Lucky Star to have better staying power and if this match is held late in 2010, with no new materials other than that ep 14. to affect it, I think Tsukasa fans will hold on for victory while Yui fans wavers. Quote:
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Last edited by wontaek; 2009-12-28 at 06:28. |
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2009-12-28, 15:00 | Link #234 |
NOM
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Outside the Asylum
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Isumi (56%) > Chiaki (44%) - Minami-ke's been a while. Furthermore, while Chiaki may still be popular in Japan, I doubt she'd hold her own in ISML. I can't foresee Isumi being too strong, but she's certainly strong enough and fresh enough in people's memories to defeat Chiaki.
Azusa (52%) > Momoko (48%) - Well ain't this a hard nut to crack. Azusa and Momoko were like the most popular secondary characters in some of the most popular series of 2009. Given what I've seen in various places though, Azusa presence is a bit more prevalent than Momoko's, so I'll go with her.
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2009-12-28, 15:02 | Link #235 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2008
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2
2 Chiaki once got out ranked by Osaka in a preliminary match. I wasn't too sure how strong Isumi would be other than being a lot weaker than Nagi, Maria and Hinagiku. I decide on putting her slightly above Chiaki based on Ayumu from 2008 but I don't have much confidence in that choice. Azusa stomp Stealth Momo into the ground. K-On main characters are a few tiers of strength above Saki characters. Minami Chiaki (MK) [47.35%] vs Saginomiya Isumi (HnG) [52.65%] Touyoko Momoko (SAKI) [25.29%] vs Nakano Azusa (K-ON) [74.71%]
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2009-12-28, 16:01 | Link #236 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Planet Earth
Age: 54
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Azunyan no. 1 55 - Stealth Momo 45 Error margin +- 4 % : Momoko and Saki also has her share of zealots, but the following result from Final 4 in KBM 2009 tipped the scale for Azusa. You can't reach final 4 in any moe tournament based on pure luck. Azusa also did rather respectfully against the Double Crown winner Aisaka Taiga Group 1 / 2009-10-05 00:00:00 ~ 2009-10-05 23:30:00 / Top 1 characters will proceed 1 - Taiga Aisaka</span> Toradora! 1394 (52.7%) 2 - Azusa Nakano K-ON! 1251 (47.3%)
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2009-12-28, 16:30 | Link #239 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2009
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If going on just looks alone (Moe) I say Isumi and Azusa (both 60-40)
Staying Power (long after a series is finished) Isumi might be 70-30 but Azusa and Momoko might be too close to call. (Both come from extremely popular series but could lose steam in about one year). Isumi might be the only one out of these 4 who could have staying power. Saki managed to get 4 into J-saimoe quarterfinals while K-on only got 1. But it took only 1 K-on rep to get past all saki rep's bowing only to taiga. |
Tags |
contest, isml, saimoe, tournament, voting |
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